New Hires and USCIS processing times I-129f

[gooblue 50]

Supposedly USCIS plans on hiring some 4400 new members(See here). I am curious how much do you guys think it would speed up applications for us?

 

Some considerations:

1. They want to get to 95% capacity by December.

2. If just 50 of those adjudicate on K1 Visas, we could see an extra 50-200  touched cases a day(with 50 being a veryyyy low estimate)

3. Of course some people will have left uscis in that time as well.

Edited May 27, 2022 by gooblue

[Crazy Cat 39,754]

There still remains the problem of backlogged consulates and NVC. 

[Boiler 43,792]

Far too many variables, when Title 42 goes for example they are talking about processing 18,000 a day. That is just one thing. Employ more people and nothing else changes seems unrealistic.

[gooblue 50]

I guess in the spirit of that, it's why I'm curious what people think.

 

1. Let's say there's an average of 3500 I-129f(k1) cases a month.

2. lets say the 50 or so adjudicators plus the previous adjudicators can pump out 300 cases a day

3. Let's say 20 days of are productive(case adjudication happens)

 

So in a year you have (3500 * 12) 42,000 cases.

In a month (300 * 20) 6,000 cases are done.

In 7 months, 12 months worth of cases would be done/sped up. so we it's possible that IF(heavy if) they train up enough employees in next month or two, that by December they could be processing this year's 2022 May cases. 

 

I'm aware a lot of us(me included) are cynical about USCIS but was hoping to inject some hopium based on something at least possible

[Crazy Cat 39,754]

1 minute ago, gooblue said:

I guess in the spirit of that, it's why I'm curious what people think.

 

1. Let's say there's an average of 3500 I-129f(k1) cases a month.

2. lets say the 50 or so adjudicators plus the previous adjudicators can pump out 300 cases a day

3. Let's say 20 days of are productive(case adjudication happens)

 

So in a year you have (3500 * 12) 42,000 cases.

In a month (300 * 20) 6,000 cases are done.

In 7 months, 12 months worth of cases would be done/sped up. so we it's possible that IF(heavy if) they train up enough employees in next month or two, that by December they could be processing this year's 2022 May cases. 

 

I'm aware a lot of us(me included) are cynical about USCIS but was hoping to inject some hopium based on something at least possible

It will continue to be a waiting game at either USCIS, NVC, or the consulate.......without increased production at all three, there is not much hope in sight.

[Mike E 11,727]

Given the back logs at DoS, the 4400 extra employees should focus on things other than I-129F. For example:

 

* I-130/I-485 packages 

* I-765, I-131

* I-90

* I-751

* N-400

 

Applications between 2019-2021 have fallen into a deep hole and need a rescue mission. 

 

 

[gooblue 50]

2 minutes ago, Mike E said:

Given the back logs at DoS, the 4400 extra employees should focus on things other than I-129F. For example:

 

* I-130/I-485 packages 

* I-765, I-131

* I-90

* I-751

* N-400

 

Applications between 2019-2021 have fallen into a deep hole and need a rescue mission. 

 

 

No I get the need to spread the load, I was just saying what if you another 50 adjudicators out of the 4400, that's less than 2% to work on the i129fs

Edited May 27, 2022 by gooblue

[Mike E 11,727]

6 minutes ago, gooblue said:

No I get the need to spread the load, I was just saying what if you another 50 adjudicators out of the 4400, that's less than 2% to work on the i129fs

Q: And after the I-129Fs approved, then what? 
 

A: A plethora of posts asking if there is a way to extended expired yet approved I-129Fs because NVC hasn’t forwarded them to the embassy or the embassy hasn’t scheduled interviews.
 

It consular I-130s are getting priority then that’s a signal to get married and go CR-1.  

 

 

Edited May 27, 2022 by Mike E

[gooblue 50]

7 minutes ago, Mike E said:

Q: And after the I-129Fs approved, then what? 
 

A: A plethora of posts asking if there is a way to extended expired yet approved I-129Fs because NVC hasn’t forwarded them to the embassy or the embassy hasn’t scheduled interviews.
 

It consular I-130s are getting priority then that’s a signal to get married and go CR-1.  

 

 

Well not everyone can just go the CR1 route for life circumstance reasons.

Although I see what you are saying, so maybe they adjudicate specifically on the cases where embassies aren't backlogged? I don't even know if they have a way to tell that though.

[Mike E 11,727]

6 minutes ago, gooblue said:

Well not everyone can just go the CR1 route for life circumstance reasons

True if the alien fiancé(e) has children aged 18-20, K-1 is the better route.  If would be good if USCIS and DoS could prioritize those cases.  

[Redro 4,602]

1 hour ago, gooblue said:

No I get the need to spread the load, I was just saying what if you another 50 adjudicators out of the 4400, that's less than 2% to work on the i129fs

Unfortunately... everyone waiting on an immigration petition thinks only about their case forgetting about all the other petitions. 

I-129Fs are no longer a priority to USCIS/NVC and Consulates. 

Even if they hire 4400 people this does not mean I-129Fs will be looked at sooner. They might decide to focus their manpower on Afghanistan, Ukraine and immediate relatives... probably certain work visas for that sweet tax money  

And you have to remember the consulates are now deciding who to prioritize for interview. In Nigeria or Uganda all interviews are at a standstill while they focus on AP cases.... 

You could get your K1 approved in 3-6 months but that means nothing if the embassy isn't scheduling interviews  (making enough interviews available) for K1... 

Edited May 27, 2022 by ROK2USA

[powerpuff 6,020]

Also, it takes months to train the new employees. So even if we see the results, it won’t be immediate at all. 

[Rocio0010 5,573]

3 hours ago, gooblue said:

lets say the 50 or so adjudicators plus the previous adjudicators

I don't think that ALL that workforce just for I-129s is fair.. How about I485s, N400s, I751s, I-131, I-765 etc

[gooblue 50]

14 minutes ago, Rocio0010 said:

I don't think that ALL that workforce just for I-129s is fair.. How about I485s, N400s, I751s, I-131, I-765 etc

There are some 35 different forms (going by this) processed by uscis.

 

Now I DONT what ratio of hr to logistics to managing to adjudicator exists so I'm just throwing out number here. 

Imagine 1/3(33%) of them did adjudication. (I'm probably stretching this but as mentioned I have no idea what true numbers would be).

 

approximately 1500 peoples to work on cases.

 

1500/35 = 42 ish. Considering some forms are used more or less than others, is it really that crazy to posit 50/1500(3.3%) people to just work on i129fs??? 

 

OBVIOUSLY the true number of adjudicators could end up being something else like 500 or idk what but I'm just doing speculation

Edited May 27, 2022 by gooblue

[Redro 4,602]

2 minutes ago, gooblue said:

There are some 35 different forms (going by this) processed by uscis.

 

Now I DONT what ratio of hr to logistics to managing to adjudicator exists so I'm just throwing out number here. 

Imagine 1/3(33%) of them did adjudication. (I'm probably stretching this but as mentioned I have no idea what true numbers would be).

 

approximately 1500 peoples to work on cases.

 

1500/35 = 42 ish. Considering some forms are used more or less than others, is it really that crazy to posit 50/1500(3.3%) people to just work on i129fs??? 

 

OBVIOUSLY the true number of adjudicators could end up being something else like 500 or idk what but I'm just doing speculation

Check out this PDF

36,842 pending K1 cases at the end of December 31, 2021

1,585,539 pending I-130s

89,068 pending I-129s (work visas)

354,751 pending adjustment cases

252,775 pending I-751s...

 

K1s are doing just fine compared to the backlogs in other categories... (still a problem) but better than others~