May processing

[Ironjobi 2]

When is USCIS going to start processing May 2021, it seems like they operate backwards in typical American fashion.🙄

[Crazy Cat 41,980]

Have you seen this from the VJ processing times page?  There are a lot of petitions pending.   I wouldn't call "typical American fashion" as backwards....I would call it first come-first served.

 

Edited May 12, 2022 by Crazy Cat

[DSBeijing 303]

26 minutes ago, Ironjobi said:

When is USCIS going to start processing May 2021, it seems like they operate backwards in typical American fashion.🙄

Hi, they will probably start processing May 2021 in Mid June 

[DSBeijing 303]

8 minutes ago, Crazy Cat said:

Have you seen this from the VJ processing times page?  There are a lot of petitions pending.   I wouldn't call "typical American fashion" as backwards....I would call it first come-first served.

 

No, they are not processing in - first come-first served - because for last 2 week they have been processing End of June 2021 cases eventhogh they have not started May 2021 processing 

[Crazy Cat 41,980]

Just now, DSBeijing said:

No, they are not processing in - first come-first served - because for last 2 week they have been processing End of June 2021 cases eventhogh they have not started May 2021 processing 

Actually they do generally process first come first serve.....but no 2 cases are exactly the same.  There are a lot of variables.

[DSBeijing 303]

2 minutes ago, Crazy Cat said:

Actually they do generally process first come first serve.....but no 2 cases are exactly the same.  There are a lot of variables.

They are not processing first come first served,  this might have been case 10 years ago, but not now. Check out March, April, May and June 2021 Groups they do all tracking and see for yourself, they started processing April when there was 1000 March cases left. 

In last two weeks they have processed over 150 cases  from June 2021 (that were submitted in 4th week of June) even though there are over 2000 cases left in May and over 2000 cases from June cases that came before these.

[Crazy Cat 41,980]

As  stated by @geowrian, one the best known members here since I joined "USCIS is like a large grocery store with many checkout lanes.  Some are just faster than others". There are a lot of variables.....

[DSBeijing 303]

26 minutes ago, Crazy Cat said:

As  stated by @geowrian, one the best known members here since I joined "USCIS is like a large grocery store with many checkout lanes.  Some are just faster than others". There are a lot of variables.....

Please don't be offended, but we (K1 Filers) have now been tracking process for over 13 Months now, and every now and then, there is an "old-timer" on the forum that shows and starts saying things that are simply not reality anymore. This doesnt help original poster of this topic, since he is getting conflicting information's, and since they have been waiting for so long, they start stressing out that their application is somehow wrong.

In last 6 Months processing times have doubled and went from 7 Months to 13.5 Months.

You can web scrape data from USCIS website yourself and see. I personally track all K1 Cases for last 12 Months. 

There are no checkout lanes, variables or anything, USCIS is simply not processing enough cases to reduce backlog, so they will constantly skip part of months just to artificially show better processing times than they really are. 

Fact is, that in last 6 months processing for K1s has collapsed, and this is clearly visible on screenshot, on screenshot 2 you can see how many NOA1 cases have been touched in last 2 Weeks, as you see 151 June cases. Only reason these cases have been processed, is that they are artificiality trying to keep showing that K1 processing time is 10.5 Months, even though real time is 13.5 Months.

Edited May 12, 2022 by DSBeijing

[Rocio0010 5,579]

2 hours ago, DSBeijing said:

they have been waiting for so long

I’m sorry, but they’ve been waiting for a year. That’s not long in USCIS’s standard.

 

2 hours ago, DSBeijing said:

they start stressing out that their application is somehow wrong.

No need to stress out, or should I say, no point in stressing out. If there is something wrong, the application is already sent. 

 

2 hours ago, DSBeijing said:

variables

There are, indeed, variables. One of them is country of origin. Some countries are deemed “high fraud” and so cases take much more time. They even sit on some cases until you decide to sue them. Another variable is gender. Usually K1 male applicants, especially from African countries, are much more scrutinized.

I think what @Crazy Cat meant is that this is like a box of chocolates; you never know what you’re going to get.

No point in stressing out over applications already sent, or processing times. That’s beyond of what most of us can control.

[DSBeijing 303]

18 minutes ago, Rocio0010 said:

I’m sorry, but they’ve been waiting for a year. That’s not long in USCIS’s standard.

 

No need to stress out, or should I say, no point in stressing out. If there is something wrong, the application is already sent. 

 

There are, indeed, variables. One of them is country of origin. Some countries are deemed “high fraud” and so cases take much more time. They even sit on some cases until you decide to sue them. Another variable is gender. Usually K1 male applicants, especially from African countries, are much more scrutinized.

I think what @Crazy Cat meant is that this is like a box of chocolates; you never know what you’re going to get.

No point in stressing out over applications already sent, or processing times. That’s beyond of what most of us can control.

Current wait for K1 is very long by USCIS standard,  we are double historical averages for K1 (dont compare K1 to other visas). In mid of pandemic wait was 6 Months, we are at 13,5 Months with growing backlog

https://egov.uscis.gov/processing-times/historic-pt

 

Country of origin plays only for Green Cards not for K1 processing at USICS (embassies are different topic entirely). Entire months are affected. They have been processing March 2021 for last 6 months, it is not possible to have that entire March, April, May, June is from High Fraud countries.

Also take look at charts I posted, those are data mined from USCIS website. And no USCIS is not box of chocolates, processing rates go down, wait times goes up, there is no magic there. USCIS needs to process 130 cases per day just to keep backlog from growing, as long this is not happening, wait times will be increasing.

 

Edited May 13, 2022 by DSBeijing

[Rocio0010 5,579]

24 minutes ago, DSBeijing said:

dont compare K1 to other visas).

I never did. 

 

25 minutes ago, DSBeijing said:

(embassies are different topic entirely). Entire

True. However, the concept of backlog and the excuses they use are barely the same.

 

27 minutes ago, DSBeijing said:

And no USCIS is not box of chocolates

You’re missing the point. The box of chocolate concept means that no two cases are equal. 
I seriously doubt that they were at the 6 month mark prior to the pandemic. Read old VJ posts and you’ll see that it was not the case for most people

[DSBeijing 303]

Just now, Rocio0010 said:

I never did. 

 

True. However, the concept of backlog and the excuses they use are barely the same.

 

You’re missing the point. The box of chocolate concept means that no two cases are equal. 
I seriously doubt that they were at the 6 month mark prior to the pandemic. Read old VJ posts and you’ll see that it was not the case for most people

Good that you are not comparing K1 to other cases, on the link I posted you can see for yourself that K1 is suffering from unprestiteted backlog for our Visa class, never in history have wait times been so high as they are now, so comment "wait time of 1 year is not unusual" is not appropriate. 

I believe you are missing the point of entire topic. Situation of original poster (K1 May 2021) asked when they will start processing May 2021 cases. He is waiting for processing not because USCIS => is box of chocolate. But because unprecedented low processing rates by USCIS, so there is no secret.

[Vegas i-751 66]

Hey! I don’t think anyone here has the exact justification for what you are seeking or looking based on your data analysis as we don’t work for USCIS. My K1 took 9 months back in 2017/8 pre covid so the current pandemic had a huge impact as you know. Not looking to compare visas but some field offices are super backlogged still for AOS. I understand the frustration but people here are truly only trying to help. I wish you all the speediest approval and again so sorry for the delays 🙏

 

https://www.uscis.gov/newsroom/news-releases/uscis-announces-new-actions-to-reduce-backlogs-expand-premium-processing-and-provide-relief-to-work

Edited May 13, 2022 by Vegas i-751

[DSBeijing 303]

22 minutes ago, Vegas i-751 said:

Hey! I don’t think anyone here has the exact justification for what you are seeking or looking based on your data analysis as we don’t work for USCIS. My K1 took 9 months back in 2017/8 pre covid. The current pandemic had a huge impact as you know. Not looking to compare visas but some field offices are super backlogged still for AOS. I understand the frustration but people here are truly only trying to help. I wish you all the speediest approval and again so sorry for the delays 🙏

 

https://www.uscis.gov/newsroom/news-releases/uscis-announces-new-actions-to-reduce-backlogs-expand-premium-processing-and-provide-relief-to-work

Thank you for the link but  this link was already posted several times, it had absolutly 0 Impact on processing times.

 

Second, Covid backlog has nothing to do with current situation in K1 since they are processing cases that were submitted in March/April 2021 => pandemic started in Feb 2020. 

And my charts show exactly what happened, in October 2021 processing rate for K1 has collapsed, it went from over 2200 cases per month to 1100 per month. This led to the situation where they took 3 Months to process February 2021.

Since Mid of January 2022 they have been processing March 2021 cases and are still not finished. 

 

Highlight happened last week when USCIS decided to change their website, to make it "more transparent", were basicaly they hid actual waiting times that were 10-13 Months (13 months being actual waiting time) to show only 10,5 Month as average waiting time (what is anything but honest) and hid actual wait time of 13,5 Months. You can see new layout of the Website on screen shot bellow. First red circle is "fake processing time", second is hidden actual processing time in my case 13.5 Months. Now to see actual processing time, you need to check your receipt date.

 

Also what happened in 2019 is not relevant to what is happening now, please follow what is happening in the Topic Groups for each month since this has been discussed for last 2 Weeks now., since many people have been upset by dishonesty of USCIS, and we had influx of new members to ask, why they case is not being processed when according to new website wait is 10,5 months and they are already waiting for 13+ Months 

Edited May 13, 2022 by DSBeijing

[Vegas i-751 66]

34 minutes ago, DSBeijing said:

Thank you for the link but  this link was already posted several times, it had absolutly 0 Impact on processing times.

 

Second, Covid backlog has nothing to do with current situation in K1 since they are processing cases that were submitted in March/April 2021 => pandemic started in Feb 2020. 

And my charts show exactly what happened, in October 2021 processing rate for K1 has collapsed, it went from over 2200 cases per month to 1100 per month. This led to the situation where they took 3 Months to process February 2021.

Since Mid of January 2022 they have been processing March 2021 cases and are still not finished. 

 

Highlight happened last week when USCIS decided to change their website, to make it "more transparent", were basicaly they hid actual waiting times that were 10-13 Months (13 months being actual waiting time) to show only 10,5 Month as average waiting time (what is anything but honest) and hid actual wait time of 13,5 Months. You can see new layout of the Website on screen shot bellow. First red circle is "fake processing time", second is hidden actual processing time in my case 13.5 Months. Now to see actual processing time, you need to check your receipt date.

 

Also what happened in 2019 is not relevant to what is happening now, please follow what is happening in the Topic Groups for each month since this has been discussed for last 2 Weeks now., since many people have been upset by dishonesty of USCIS, and we had influx of new members to ask, why they case is not being processed when according to new website wait is 10,5 months and they are already waiting for 13+ Months 

I can see what you mean. I don’t and never have focused on processing times they state even from applying for K1 way back. E.g. when I applied for I-751 June 2021 it stated 18-25 months for California but low and behold I got approved in 9-9.5 months without interview despite what they had posted for processing times on their website. Not specifically K1 but indication that their processing times aren’t always accurate. 
 

I’m not justifying it but again the accuracy of what they post isn’t always the case. There is no other option but to remain patient 🥺

Edited May 13, 2022 by Vegas i-751