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Captain Ewok

US Immigration Petition Approval Stats (I-129F, I-130 and others)

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2 hours ago, Captain Ewok said:

Have you ever wondered how frequently petitions are denied by USCIS?  We've collected a list of statistics on common petition forms.  Interesting results!

 

I-129F (Fiancee Visa Petition):  19.6% of petitions denied

I-130 (Spouse Visa Petition): 17.8% of petitions denied

I-485 (Permanent Residence Petition): 14.4% of petitions denied

I-751 (Remove Conditions on Residence): 3.7% of petitions denied

N-400 (Citizenship): 10.5% of petitions denied

I-131 (Advance Parole): 31.4% of petitions denied

I-765 (Employment Authorization Documents): 17.5% of petitions denied

I-140 (Immigrant Petition for Alien Workers): 7.6% of petitions denied

 

Note, that all numbers above are from the last 3 months at USCIS (3Q19).  Ref: USCIS.

 

How about the visa approvals and denials by the US embassies?! Do you have a statistical list about it?! 

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I wonder why there is a sudden uptick in I-129Fs being denied. I wonder if this is related to number of people filing I-129Fs for a spouse in an attempt to speed up I-130 approval (technically the I-129F is being denied, and those stats don't differentiate the basis of I-129F).

 

9 hours ago, Ajk3visa said:

How about the visa approvals and denials by the US embassies?! Do you have a statistical list about it?! 

Lots of stats available...all depends on what kind of data somebody wants to know:

https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/visa-statistics.html

Edited by geowrian

Timelines:

Spoiler

AOS (I-485 + I-131 + I-765):

9/25/17: sent forms to Chicago

9/27/17: received by USCIS

10/4/17: NOA1 electronic notification received

10/10/17: NOA1 hard copy received. Social Security card being issued in married name (3rd attempt!)

10/14/17: Biometrics appointment notice received

10/25/17: Biometrics

1/2/18: EAD + AP approved (no website update)

1/5/18: EAD + AP mailed

1/8/18: EAD + AP approval notice hardcopies received

1/10/18: EAD + AP received

9/5/18: Interview scheduled notice

10/17/18: Interview

10/24/18: Green card produced notice

10/25/18: Formal approval

10/31/18: Green card received

 

K-1:

Spoiler

I-129F

12/1/16: sent

12/14/16: NOA1 hard copy received

3/10/17: RFE (IMB verification)

3/22/17: RFE response received

3/24/17: Approved!

3/30/17: NOA2 hard copy received

 

NVC

4/6/2017: Received

4/12/2017: Sent to Riyadh embassy

4/16/2017: Case received at Riyadh embassy

4/21/2017: Request case transfer to Manila, approved 4/24/2017

 

K-1

5/1/2017: Case received by Manila (1 week embassy transfer??? Lucky~)

7/13/2017: Interview: APPROVED!!!

7/19/2017: Visa in hand

8/15/2017: POE

 

 

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1 hour ago, geowrian said:

I wonder why there is a sudden uptick in I-129Fs being denied. I wonder if this is related to number of people filing I-129Fs for a spouse in an attempt to speed up I-130 approval (technically the I-129F is being denied, and those stats don't differentiate the basis of I-129F).

 

Lots of stats available...all depends on what kind of data somebody wants to know:

https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/visa-statistics.html

Probably because a lot of these placeholder submissions that never were completed thoroughly and it needed more input work than the rest or missing a lot of stuff that goes for the submission.

I don't have any link to proof that but it's what I've been hearing on some random new places. I could be wrong and get bumped down with other reason why they were denied that I didn't notice.


K-1 Visa process (I'm the USC [F])

Spoiler

 

Sent packet: August 10, 2018

USCIS Received package: August 14, 2018
Notification in text/email: August 17, 2018
Mail received from USCIS: January 22, 2019
USCIS Approved I-129F Petition: January 17, 2019

NVC Received Case: February 14, 2019

NVC Case # Assigned: February 14, 2019

US Embassy Received: Not sure but got email reply - March 11, 2019
Instructions Received via e-mail: March 19, 2019

Interview: May 7, 2019 - Approved!
Arriving to US/POE: June 12, 2019
Married July 15, 2019

 

AOS Process
Sent packet: July 27, 2019
USCIS Received Package: July 29, 2019
[Hiccup] Package was sent back due to incorrect fee and sent on August 5, 2019.
Notification in text/email: August 12, 2019 @ 12:30AM
Check cashed: August 12, 2019
NOA 1 Mail: August 16, 2019
Biometric: September 5, 2019 @ Atlanta, GA

RFIE: Sept. 28, 2019 - got in mail by Oct 3, 2019. [They lost my Husband's Birth Certificate]
Sent back RFIE: Oct 16, at office by Oct 17.

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2 hours ago, geowrian said:

I wonder why there is a sudden uptick in I-129Fs being denied. I wonder if this is related to number of people filing I-129Fs for a spouse in an attempt to speed up I-130 approval (technically the I-129F is being denied, and those stats don't differentiate the basis of I-129F).

 

Lots of stats available...all depends on what kind of data somebody wants to know:

https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/visa-statistics.html

Or perhaps the move to deny outright ( vs RFE) incomplete  ‘placeholder’ petitions?

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Both of the above are certainly possible. Although the deny vs RFE issue wouldn't explain the ~5% uptick last quarter (it might explain the upticks prior, though) since I believe that has been policy now for more than Q3 FY2019.


Timelines:

Spoiler

AOS (I-485 + I-131 + I-765):

9/25/17: sent forms to Chicago

9/27/17: received by USCIS

10/4/17: NOA1 electronic notification received

10/10/17: NOA1 hard copy received. Social Security card being issued in married name (3rd attempt!)

10/14/17: Biometrics appointment notice received

10/25/17: Biometrics

1/2/18: EAD + AP approved (no website update)

1/5/18: EAD + AP mailed

1/8/18: EAD + AP approval notice hardcopies received

1/10/18: EAD + AP received

9/5/18: Interview scheduled notice

10/17/18: Interview

10/24/18: Green card produced notice

10/25/18: Formal approval

10/31/18: Green card received

 

K-1:

Spoiler

I-129F

12/1/16: sent

12/14/16: NOA1 hard copy received

3/10/17: RFE (IMB verification)

3/22/17: RFE response received

3/24/17: Approved!

3/30/17: NOA2 hard copy received

 

NVC

4/6/2017: Received

4/12/2017: Sent to Riyadh embassy

4/16/2017: Case received at Riyadh embassy

4/21/2017: Request case transfer to Manila, approved 4/24/2017

 

K-1

5/1/2017: Case received by Manila (1 week embassy transfer??? Lucky~)

7/13/2017: Interview: APPROVED!!!

7/19/2017: Visa in hand

8/15/2017: POE

 

 

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On 9/26/2019 at 3:14 PM, Alexa&Nathan said:

19%..... that makes me feel a little nauseous. 

Mostly due to incomplete petitions not as bad as it states.  They are not really seeing toi many RFE’s. Per my lawyer 


 

 

 

Spoiler
Spoiler
Spoiler

 

 

 

 

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