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Captain Ewok

US Immigration Petition Approval Stats (I-129F, I-130 and others)

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2 hours ago, Captain Ewok said:

Have you ever wondered how frequently petitions are denied by USCIS?  We've collected a list of statistics on common petition forms.  Interesting results!

 

I-129F (Fiancee Visa Petition):  19.6% of petitions denied

I-130 (Spouse Visa Petition): 17.8% of petitions denied

I-485 (Permanent Residence Petition): 14.4% of petitions denied

I-751 (Remove Conditions on Residence): 3.7% of petitions denied

N-400 (Citizenship): 10.5% of petitions denied

I-131 (Advance Parole): 31.4% of petitions denied

I-765 (Employment Authorization Documents): 17.5% of petitions denied

I-140 (Immigrant Petition for Alien Workers): 7.6% of petitions denied

 

Note, that all numbers above are from the last 3 months at USCIS (3Q19).  Ref: USCIS.

 

How about the visa approvals and denials by the US embassies?! Do you have a statistical list about it?! 

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I wonder why there is a sudden uptick in I-129Fs being denied. I wonder if this is related to number of people filing I-129Fs for a spouse in an attempt to speed up I-130 approval (technically the I-129F is being denied, and those stats don't differentiate the basis of I-129F).

 

9 hours ago, Ajk3visa said:

How about the visa approvals and denials by the US embassies?! Do you have a statistical list about it?! 

Lots of stats available...all depends on what kind of data somebody wants to know:

https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/visa-statistics.html

Edited by geowrian

Timelines:

ROC:

Spoiler

7/27/20: Sent forms to Dallas lockbox, 7/30/20: Received by USCIS, 8/10 NOA1 electronic notification received, 8/1/ NOA1 hard copy received

AOS:

Spoiler

AOS (I-485 + I-131 + I-765):

9/25/17: sent forms to Chicago, 9/27/17: received by USCIS, 10/4/17: NOA1 electronic notification received, 10/10/17: NOA1 hard copy received. Social Security card being issued in married name (3rd attempt!)

10/14/17: Biometrics appointment notice received, 10/25/17: Biometrics

1/2/18: EAD + AP approved (no website update), 1/5/18: EAD + AP mailed, 1/8/18: EAD + AP approval notice hardcopies received, 1/10/18: EAD + AP received

9/5/18: Interview scheduled notice, 10/17/18: Interview

10/24/18: Green card produced notice, 10/25/18: Formal approval, 10/31/18: Green card received

K-1:

Spoiler

I-129F

12/1/16: sent, 12/14/16: NOA1 hard copy received, 3/10/17: RFE (IMB verification), 3/22/17: RFE response received

3/24/17: Approved! , 3/30/17: NOA2 hard copy received

 

NVC

4/6/2017: Received, 4/12/2017: Sent to Riyadh embassy, 4/16/2017: Case received at Riyadh embassy, 4/21/2017: Request case transfer to Manila, approved 4/24/2017

 

K-1

5/1/2017: Case received by Manila (1 week embassy transfer??? Lucky~)

7/13/2017: Interview: APPROVED!!!

7/19/2017: Visa in hand

8/15/2017: POE

 

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Filed: AOS (apr) Country: Uruguay
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1 hour ago, geowrian said:

I wonder why there is a sudden uptick in I-129Fs being denied. I wonder if this is related to number of people filing I-129Fs for a spouse in an attempt to speed up I-130 approval (technically the I-129F is being denied, and those stats don't differentiate the basis of I-129F).

 

Lots of stats available...all depends on what kind of data somebody wants to know:

https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/visa-statistics.html

Probably because a lot of these placeholder submissions that never were completed thoroughly and it needed more input work than the rest or missing a lot of stuff that goes for the submission.

I don't have any link to proof that but it's what I've been hearing on some random new places. I could be wrong and get bumped down with other reason why they were denied that I didn't notice.

K-1 Visa process (I'm the USC [F]) [2018-2019]

Spoiler

Sent packet: August 10, 2018 (Lines Compressed to fit signature restriction guideline)

USCIS Received package: August 14 - Notification in text/email: August 17 - Mail received from USCIS: January 22, 2019
USCIS Approved I-129F Petition: January 17 - NVC Received Case: February 14 - NVC Case # Assigned: February 14

US Embassy Received: Not sure but got email reply - March 11 - Instructions Received via e-mail: March 19

Interview: May 7 - Approved! - Arriving to US/POE: June 12 - Married July 15, 2019

AOS Process [2019-2020]

Spoiler

Sent packet: July 27, 2019 - USCIS Received Package: July 29 - [Hiccup] Package was sent back due to incorrect fee and sent on August 5.
Notification in text/email: August 12 @ 12:30AM - Check cashed: August 12 - NOA 1 Mail: August 16 - Biometric: September 5 @ Atlanta, GA

AOS RFIE: Sept. 28 - got in mail by Oct 3. [They lost my Husband's Birth Certificate] - Sent back AOS RFIE: Oct 16 2019, at office by Oct 17.
AOS Case update notice on April 9th, 2020, waiting for mail. - Interview date: Scheduled as of July 15, date is August 19. Passed the interview!

My Husband got his GC! 2 Year Conditional Green Card expires 08/19/2022, Residence since 08/19/2020

ROC Process [2022-2024]

Spoiler

Sent packet: June 16, 2022 via USPS, USCIS Received Package: June 21
Notice in text (didn't get email nor text on other phone): June 24
Notice date: June 23, package is at SRC (Texas Service Center), Paid with Credit Card, payment taken on June 25
NOA 1 Mail: June 30, Biometric: Reused
Got letter in mail for extension: April 12th, Received date June 21, 2022, Notice date: April 5, 2023 = 48 Months Extension. No physical card yet.
Approved without interview as of Feb 15th, 2024. Was not a combo interview with N-400.

Naturalization N-400 [2023-...]

Spoiler

Filed Online: July 28, 2023NOA: July 29, 2023
Service Center: NBC, application # starts with IOE#.
Biometrics waived. Got NOA mail Jan 5, 2024 says Interview in Nashville, TN on Feb 6, 2024.
Queue for review and approval. Already in line for Oath Ceremony as of Feb 13th, 2024.

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2 hours ago, geowrian said:

I wonder why there is a sudden uptick in I-129Fs being denied. I wonder if this is related to number of people filing I-129Fs for a spouse in an attempt to speed up I-130 approval (technically the I-129F is being denied, and those stats don't differentiate the basis of I-129F).

 

Lots of stats available...all depends on what kind of data somebody wants to know:

https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/visa-statistics.html

Or perhaps the move to deny outright ( vs RFE) incomplete  ‘placeholder’ petitions?

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Both of the above are certainly possible. Although the deny vs RFE issue wouldn't explain the ~5% uptick last quarter (it might explain the upticks prior, though) since I believe that has been policy now for more than Q3 FY2019.

Timelines:

ROC:

Spoiler

7/27/20: Sent forms to Dallas lockbox, 7/30/20: Received by USCIS, 8/10 NOA1 electronic notification received, 8/1/ NOA1 hard copy received

AOS:

Spoiler

AOS (I-485 + I-131 + I-765):

9/25/17: sent forms to Chicago, 9/27/17: received by USCIS, 10/4/17: NOA1 electronic notification received, 10/10/17: NOA1 hard copy received. Social Security card being issued in married name (3rd attempt!)

10/14/17: Biometrics appointment notice received, 10/25/17: Biometrics

1/2/18: EAD + AP approved (no website update), 1/5/18: EAD + AP mailed, 1/8/18: EAD + AP approval notice hardcopies received, 1/10/18: EAD + AP received

9/5/18: Interview scheduled notice, 10/17/18: Interview

10/24/18: Green card produced notice, 10/25/18: Formal approval, 10/31/18: Green card received

K-1:

Spoiler

I-129F

12/1/16: sent, 12/14/16: NOA1 hard copy received, 3/10/17: RFE (IMB verification), 3/22/17: RFE response received

3/24/17: Approved! , 3/30/17: NOA2 hard copy received

 

NVC

4/6/2017: Received, 4/12/2017: Sent to Riyadh embassy, 4/16/2017: Case received at Riyadh embassy, 4/21/2017: Request case transfer to Manila, approved 4/24/2017

 

K-1

5/1/2017: Case received by Manila (1 week embassy transfer??? Lucky~)

7/13/2017: Interview: APPROVED!!!

7/19/2017: Visa in hand

8/15/2017: POE

 

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Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Jordan
Timeline
On 9/26/2019 at 3:14 PM, Alexa&Nathan said:

19%..... that makes me feel a little nauseous. 

Mostly due to incomplete petitions not as bad as it states.  They are not really seeing toi many RFE’s. Per my lawyer 

 

 

 

Spoiler
Spoiler
Spoiler

 

 

 

 

10685284_10203853223303551_1747007237_n.jpg

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  • 5 weeks later...
Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Morocco
Timeline
On 9/25/2019 at 7:23 AM, geowrian said:

Both of the above are certainly possible. Although the deny vs RFE issue wouldn't explain the ~5% uptick last quarter (it might explain the upticks prior, though) since I believe that has been policy now for more than Q3 FY2019.

It is more than likely the I129F K3 filers from Nebraska.  There has been a large surge with the success of applying and having the I130’s approved faster.

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