I-129F approval rate

[ram1009 42]

I've been studying this :    https://www.visajourney.com/timeline/monthly_filers.php?form=1&visa=1&scenter=1&option=2&sortby=2    page on VJ.  It seems clear to me that the approval rates for I-129F are quite low.  I have heard from others (on this site and elsewhere) that exactly the opposite is true.  Can someone help me resolve this issue?  Thanks.

[Ben&Zian 4,397]

1 minute ago, ram1009 said:

I've been studying this :    https://www.visajourney.com/timeline/monthly_filers.php?form=1&visa=1&scenter=1&option=2&sortby=2    page on VJ.  It seems clear to me that the approval rates for I-129F are quite low.  I have heard from others (on this site and elsewhere) that exactly the opposite is true.  Can someone help me resolve this issue?  Thanks.

 

Some of this depends on if people update their profiles. Some don't ever update them so we don't know. Also, some of these "denials" could be because of failure to respond to an RFE, or maybe they broke up, USC had criminal records excluding them from being able to apply, ect..., we don't know. Generally the I-129f petition approvals are decent numbers so, don't think there is a true statistical showing because of all the different variables involved that could lead to a denial.

[payxibka 10,044]

3 minutes ago, ram1009 said:

I've been studying this :    https://www.visajourney.com/timeline/monthly_filers.php?form=1&visa=1&scenter=1&option=2&sortby=2    page on VJ.  It seems clear to me that the approval rates for I-129F are quite low.  I have heard from others (on this site and elsewhere) that exactly the opposite is true.  Can someone help me resolve this issue?  Thanks.

I129f approval rates are quite high, an approved petition does not translate automatically into an approved Visa 

[ram1009 42]

2 minutes ago, Ben&Zian said:

 

Some of this depends on if people update their profiles. Some don't ever update them so we don't know. Also, some of these "denials" could be because of failure to respond to an RFE, or maybe they broke up, USC had criminal records excluding them from being able to apply, ect..., we don't know. Generally the I-129f petition approvals are decent numbers so, don't think there is a true statistical showing because of all the different variables involved that could lead to a denial.

Well, obviously the author should either find a way of filtering out the instances you mention or, at least post a notice that this is raw data including such instances.  Actually, I'm shocked at the numbers that fail for any reason.  My true interest in data like this would be the quantity of denials.

[Crazy Cat 39,388]

In FY 2018, USCIS received 47,495 fiance visa petitions........USCIS approved 34,902 

73.49% approval rate

 

https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/USCIS/Resources/Reports and Studies/Immigration Forms Data/All Form Types/Quarterly_All_Forms_FY18Q4.pdf

Edited April 12, 2019 by missileman

[Crazy Cat 39,388]

30 minutes ago, ram1009 said:

I've been studying this :    https://www.visajourney.com/timeline/monthly_filers.php?form=1&visa=1&scenter=1&option=2&sortby=2    page on VJ.  It seems clear to me that the approval rates for I-129F are quite low.  I have heard from others (on this site and elsewhere) that exactly the opposite is true.  Can someone help me resolve this issue?  Thanks.

You have reached a false conclusion based on faulty data...........That timeline query actual shows that the number of people inputting information is low.  The data is only as good as the source.  A much better indicator of I29f approval rates comes from numbers published by USCIS, itself.....as reflected in the link I posted above.

[ram1009 42]

17 minutes ago, missileman said:

You have reached a false conclusion based on faulty data...........That timeline query actual shows that the number of people inputting information is low.  The data is only as good as the source.  A much better indicator of I29f approval rates comes from numbers published by USCIS, itself.....as reflected in the link I posted above.

Would you ask a fox how many chickens it had killed in the hen house when nobody was looking?  I don't trust ANY numbers published by politicians especially the group currently in power in the US and especially on the issue of immigration.  The VJ page in question has a lot of information on it.  What would motivate someone to go to the trouble of producing that much false data?  I feel safe predicting that the report you furnished spends most of it's time patting USCIS on the back and demonstrating how fair and unbiased they are.  I'm a firm believer in the old joke about how to tell if a politician is lying.

Edited April 12, 2019 by ram1009

[Crazy Cat 39,388]

1 minute ago, ram1009 said:

Would you ask a fox how many chickens it had killed in the hen house when nobody was looking? 

There is no better data regarding I-129f approval rates than what USCIS, itself, publishes........like it or not..........it seems you already have reached some conclusion in your mind, and you are searching for data to justify it.......

 

I-129f approval rate for FY 2018 was 73.49%......

[ram1009 42]

13 minutes ago, missileman said:

There is no better data regarding I-129f approval rates than what USCIS, itself, publishes........like it or not..........it seems you already have reached some conclusion in your mind, and you are searching for data to justify it.......

 

I-129f approval rate for FY 2018 was 73.49%......

You are galactically naive.

[Crazy Cat 39,388]

2 minutes ago, ram1009 said:

You are galactically naive.

and you are prejudiced if you think the USCIS data is so tainted....good luck on your journey.

[annyfranciscomato 0]

Después que te aprobar el 1-129 que sigue 

[ram1009 42]

1 hour ago, payxibka said:

I129f approval rates are quite high, an approved petition does not translate automatically into an approved Visa 

Thanks for re-stating something that everybody knows and was never at issue here.  I will give due credit to your opinion on approval rates.

[ram1009 42]

17 minutes ago, missileman said:

and you are prejudiced if you think the USCIS data is so tainted....good luck on your journey.

Prejudiced against politicians and the data they manipulate for their own purposes....................GUILTY!!!!!    And justifiably so.  You should try it yourself.  You'll be right much more than you are wrong.

[DaveAndAnastasia 2,079]

2 hours ago, missileman said:

In FY 2018, USCIS received 47,495 fiance visa petitions........USCIS approved 34,902 

73.49% approval rate

 

https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/USCIS/Resources/Reports and Studies/Immigration Forms Data/All Form Types/Quarterly_All_Forms_FY18Q4.pdf

Not exactly; a lot of the petitions approved in FY 2018 were filed in FY 2017, and a lot of the petitions filed in FY 2018 weren't approved until FY 2019, even without any unusual delays. And mid-calendar 2017 to mid-calendar 2018 (which I think is roughly FY2018) was ground zero for the NOA1 to NOA2 processing slowdown. So looking at FY2018 data and comparing received petitions to approvals is likely to understate approval rates, I think.

Edited April 12, 2019 by DaveAndAnastasia

[payxibka 10,044]

38 minutes ago, DaveAndAnastasia said:

. So looking at FY2018 data and comparing received petitions to approvals is likely to understate approval rates, I think.

Ok.  The OP isn't going to like that