What is happening at the service centers?

[lecht008 8]

Does anyone know why there has been a huge spike in the timeline from NOA1 to NOA2 at the CSC (and now TSC)?  The times for NOA1 have not seen a spike, and the spikes didn't occur until a month and a half after COVID lockdowns began across the nation.  If there was going to be a spike in the length of processing times, I would have thought we would have seen it soon after lockdowns started, not nearly two months afterwards.  

[NoMansLand2020 298]

8 minutes ago, lecht008 said:

Does anyone know why there has been a huge spike in the timeline from NOA1 to NOA2 at the CSC (and now TSC)?  The times for NOA1 have not seen a spike, and the spikes didn't occur until a month and a half after COVID lockdowns began across the nation.  If there was going to be a spike in the length of processing times, I would have thought we would have seen it soon after lockdowns started, not nearly two months afterwards.  

If course it's because of the pandemic. I'm a December filer and didn't get a response until after 5 full months. At that it was an RFE. Still quite a few December filers waiting for a response. March 17 is about when USCIS, started working with a skeleton crew. 

[lecht008 8]

16 minutes ago, Solaris81 said:

If course it's because of the pandemic. I'm a December filer and didn't get a response until after 5 full months. At that it was an RFE. Still quite a few December filers waiting for a response. March 17 is about when USCIS, started working with a skeleton crew. 

Right, so based on your response we should have seen the spike occur in March (or early April), not now, which is why I was thinking it must be caused by something other than switching to reduced staff.  Anyways, has USCIS said if they plan on increasing their processing capacity (either by bringing more people into the office or having people complete work from home)?

[Quarknase 1,072]

52 minutes ago, lecht008 said:

Right, so based on your response we should have seen the spike occur in March (or early April), not now, which is why I was thinking it must be caused by something other than switching to reduced staff.  Anyways, has USCIS said if they plan on increasing their processing capacity (either by bringing more people into the office or having people complete work from home)?

No - those increased timelines don’t occur instantly, they increase gradually over a longer time frame as staff starts falling behind in daily output of case work.

 

USCIS has announced a possible furlough of employees and contractors due to lack of funds, if the government doesn’t step in to help. This will go down in July as it currently stands. Knowing this administrations position on immigration, I don’t see those needed funds coming (but I hope I stand corrected, for the sake of the employees). The likeliness of having to expect even longer delays is there.

[geowrian 22,335]

1 hour ago, lecht008 said:

Does anyone know why there has been a huge spike in the timeline from NOA1 to NOA2 at the CSC (and now TSC)?

TSC does not handle I-129Fs for a K-1. They stopped that many years ago. Anybody entering that (or a transfer from TSC to CSC) is doing so by mistake. People often believe the Texas lockbox is TSC - it's not....they are different facilities.

So any data you see for TSC here is a mistake and should be ignored.

 

1 hour ago, lecht008 said:

Right, so based on your response we should have seen the spike occur in March (or early April), not now, which is why I was thinking it must be caused by something other than switching to reduced staff.  Anyways, has USCIS said if they plan on increasing their processing capacity (either by bringing more people into the office or having people complete work from home)?

When processing times are speeding up, you typically see this reflected in the numbers quickly as more people are completing their timelines showing approval in a quicker than average timeframe.

 

The opposite is true when timelines slow down. The system has no way to know if the reason it's taking longer than average is because of slower processing or people just not updating their timeline.

As such, it takes longer to see slowdowns reflected. The system needs to see people completing their timelines to reflect the longer processing timeline. That can only occur once groups of those people actually start to get approvals.

Edited June 14, 2020 by geowrian

[lecht008 8]

7 minutes ago, Quarknase said:

No - those increased timelines don’t occur instantly, they increase gradually over a longer time frame as staff starts falling behind in daily output of case work.

 

Makes sense.  I'm guessing they may even have had a pile of approved applications in March that they continued sending out after the lockdown which may have caused the lag in the spike.

 

 

7 minutes ago, Quarknase said:

 

USCIS has announced a possible furlough of employees and contractors due to lack of funds, if the government doesn’t step in to help. This will go down in July as it currently stands. Knowing this administrations position on immigration, I don’t see those needed funds coming (but I hope I stand corrected, for the sake of the employees). The likeliness of having to expect even longer delays is there.

That is terrible news.  I hope this funding issue doesn't apply to the NVC as well?  

[Greenbaum 12,258]

2 hours ago, lecht008 said:

Does anyone know why there has been a huge spike in the timeline from NOA1 to NOA2 at the CSC (and now TSC)?  The times for NOA1 have not seen a spike, and the spikes didn't occur until a month and a half after COVID lockdowns began across the nation.  If there was going to be a spike in the length of processing times, I would have thought we would have seen it soon after lockdowns started, not nearly two months afterwards.  

Be a part of the conversation here https://www.visajourney.com/forums/forum/120-consulate-uscis-service-center-discussion/ as it will enlighten you to everything that is transpiring with immigration and immigration issues. Good luck and stay engaged. 

[Ryan H 3,790]

Moved from K1 Process & Procedures to USCIS Service Centers forum.

[igoyougoduke 1,604]

Any one knows if it is confirmed that ASC will open on June 22nd ?

[geowrian 22,335]

10 minutes ago, James120383 said:

Any one knows if it is confirmed that ASC will open on June 22nd ?

Where was that date reported? It's the first I've seen.

uscis.gov still says "Beginning June 4, 2020, certain USCIS field offices and asylum offices will resume non-emergency face-to-face services to the public. Application support centers will resume services later. "

[igoyougoduke 1,604]

3 minutes ago, geowrian said:

Where was that date reported? It's the first I've seen.

uscis.gov still says "Beginning June 4, 2020, certain USCIS field offices and asylum offices will resume non-emergency face-to-face services to the public. Application support centers will resume services later. "

Some folks have posted about it on the forum. Not confirmed officially 

[geowrian 22,335]

4 minutes ago, James120383 said:

Some folks have posted about it on the forum. Not confirmed officially 

Gotcha, thanks. No, this is the first I've heard of any ASC date, and I a quick search shows nothing from a reputable source.

[Cody&Razely 134]

06/15/20: 8AM - Well the numbers are up this month, it's looking a lot better then last and continuing. Although the Avg. Processing times recently spiked pretty high it has however come down a bit as the month progresses from an original 168 days to now just 160 days Avg. processing time. The Current Total of VJ member approvals in the first half of June is 50 thus far!  Lets hope the trend carries, for all who are waiting  

      The Trend is approx. a 50/50 split between Nov./Dec. and Jan./(smidgen of Feb.) of approvals with what seems to be now an equal amount of attention on both 2019/2020. So hopefully  they can clear out the backlog and move forward efficiently and timely and stay on top of the future petitions as well. 

      Though, the attention shift as of late towards processing the backlogs has primarily fed the higher avg. processing times of 160 days (previously 168 days), in any case even current timelines (not withstanding the backlogs) sit at a higher than normal Avg. of 137 days still.

Good Luck to all!  

 

Btw, there are many reasons why the numbers would change after the lock downs, mass hysteria, ect... and the like. one for example would be aux. agencies USCIS uses to get background information from reacted later to the "situation" and there fore may have still been sending timely information to the USCIS for a while before it started to slow, ect... or any reason listed above as well as a plethora of others. 

 

[JeanneAdil 6,198]

If everyone making an application at USCIS was a VJ member and IF they all did a timeline (as when i check from many OP,  they don't), then and only then could the stats be 100% accurate / VJ does a good job with the info provided and even with all the charts and info USCIS shows,  they don't map everything. you can find out how many applications by quarter

and check for approvals of visas by embassy and class

and each embassy has to do do a monthly report

but still i look for charts to show how fast any office works (don't forget when they transfer a case to another facitlity,  it looks like they did their work ??????)