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Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Russia
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1 minute ago, Voice of Reason said:

Absolutely not true.  Current predictions are WAY off the charts, IMO.  Based off what we are seeing between Nov and now in Asia, the current estimates are far too high (IMO).

 

Current mortality rate is about 3.7% and recovery rate is about 48.5%.

The big issue is the lack of knowledge of the denominator.

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Filed: Timeline
1 minute ago, Nature Boy 2.0 said:

A car dealer in North Ga sent this out. They have no soul

 



As concerns increase around coronavirus (COVID-19), Five Star Ford in Stone Mountain plans to remain as flexible as possible for our customers during this time. We are taking precautions to make sure we do what’s right for our customers, employees, and surrounding communities. Our staff members are adhering to the guidelines provided by the Center for Disease Control (CDC) to ensure safety for our customers.

To eliminate concerns, if you are looking to purchase a vehicle or take a test drive and cannot make it into the dealership for whatever reason, we will deliver the vehicle to your home, office, school, etc. up to 30 miles at NO CHARGE. Please contact us or give us a call at 678-929-5598 at your earliest convenience to talk with a representative today about your options.

In addition, our website is equipped with the tools you need to Appraise Your Trade, Calculate your Payment and Request Financing. All from the comfort of your home.

Our Sales and Service Departments will be open during as usual and we will continue to do our due diligence as the situation evolves to keep our customers and employees safe. We will keep you updated with any future changes as they arise.

For additional information about COVID-19, visit the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention at cdc.gov.

Jesus!  (yeah, that's 3rd time today)

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Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Russia
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Just now, Voice of Reason said:

Jesus!  (yeah, that's 3rd time today)

Time to crack open another ale.  :devil:

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11 minutes ago, Dashinka said:

That is one thing that is very different this time is all the closings/suspensions, etc.  We were told today to work from home until further notice starting Monday which never happened back in 2009, and schools are being closed nationwide just for caution even though this virus does not seem to impact the youngins as much as those with a few more years under their belt.  The big issue is the unknown with this virus, but I think we can look at the situations in Asia with a bit of optimism.  I know we cannot equate the ROK exactly with the US or the EU (population differences, geography, etc.),  but it does appear if we follow basic hygiene protocols, we should be fine.

 

I certainly hope this does not impact you as the H1N1 did.

Well, about those unknowns... I read a few cases this evening that had infected young children - two who were in contact with an NBA player (touched an autograph), and one with some health conditions. I think it's the fact that perhaps the young can be carriers, that we don't know how long a person could actually be a carrier, and something I'm questioning is if those 'recovered' are actually well and truly recovered, especially since we know there are some individuals who feel fine, have 'recovered' but are still shedding the virus, and some cases where they became sick once more.

 

I hope that over time we can learn more and grow more confident. What we need are real breakthroughs in treatment, so that people aren't so frightened of accidentally contributing to the death of their grandparents etc. This disease does cause a horrible death.

 

6 minutes ago, Voice of Reason said:

Absolutely not true.  Current predictions are WAY off the charts, IMO.  Based off what we are seeing between Nov and now in Asia, the current estimates are far too high (IMO).

 

Current mortality rate is about 3.7% and recovery rate is about 48.5%.

I'd rather go with the scientists on this one, no offense. We will see won't we?

Edited by yuna628

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Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Russia
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Just now, Voice of Reason said:

Of course you are correct.  But the reality is that is is MOST LIKELY larger (though we will never know how much), thereby reducing the percentage.

That is the big difference between this and the common flu.  The 0.1% mortality rate of the common flu is an estimate based on the knowledge we have.  In the case of this coronavirus, we do not have the knowledge to really put forward a good estimation as Dr. Fauci has said many times.

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Filed: Timeline
Just now, yuna628 said:

 

I'd rather go with the scientists on this one, no offense. We will see won't we?

My numbers come from a legit "scientist" site.  It's not like I'm out here making up BS numbers all willy-nilly.  If anything, the percentages I present are likely lower, with respect to the unreliable denominator as Bill pointed out.

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6 minutes ago, Voice of Reason said:

Of course you are correct.  But the reality is that is is MOST LIKELY larger (though we will never know how much), thereby reducing the percentage.

 

  We will eventually have a good enough idea to have a solid estimate. We started hospital based drive through testing today, as have several other hospitals in the area. Requires a doctors order and should be 100% reimbursed. More people getting  tested will lead to more accurate data. I still think it will be <1% at some point.

995507-quote-moderation-in-all-things-an

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32 minutes ago, Nature Boy 2.0 said:

A car dealer in North Ga sent this out. They have no soul

 



As concerns increase around coronavirus (COVID-19), Five Star Ford in Stone Mountain plans to remain as flexible as possible for our customers during this time. We are taking precautions to make sure we do what’s right for our customers, employees, and surrounding communities. Our staff members are adhering to the guidelines provided by the Center for Disease Control (CDC) to ensure safety for our customers.

To eliminate concerns, if you are looking to purchase a vehicle or take a test drive and cannot make it into the dealership for whatever reason, we will deliver the vehicle to your home, office, school, etc. up to 30 miles at NO CHARGE. Please contact us or give us a call at 678-929-5598 at your earliest convenience to talk with a representative today about your options.

In addition, our website is equipped with the tools you need to Appraise Your Trade, Calculate your Payment and Request Financing. All from the comfort of your home.

Our Sales and Service Departments will be open during as usual and we will continue to do our due diligence as the situation evolves to keep our customers and employees safe. We will keep you updated with any future changes as they arise.

For additional information about COVID-19, visit the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention at cdc.gov.

"We'll even do the paperwork and the signing for you, no charge!"

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15 minutes ago, Burnt Reynolds said:

"We'll even do the paperwork and the signing for you, no charge!"

Wow lol . I cant believe they sent that out, in second thought yes i can 

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Really sad..

 

 

 

 

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First met: 12/31/04 - Engaged: 9/24/09
Filed I-129F: 10/4/14 - Packet received: 10/7/14
NOA 1 email + ARN assigned: 10/10/14 (hard copy 10/17/14)
Touched on website (fixed?): 12/9/14 - Poked USCIS: 4/1/15
NOA 2 email: 5/4/15 (hard copy 5/11/15)
Sent to NVC: 5/8/15 - NVC received + #'s assigned: 5/15/15 (estimated)
NVC sent: 5/19/15 - London received/ready: 5/26/15
Packet 3: 5/28/15 - Medical: 6/16/15
Poked London 7/1/15 - Packet 4: 7/2/15
Interview: 7/30/15 - Approved!
AP + Issued 8/3/15 - Visa in hand (depot): 8/6/15
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Wedding: 9/30/15

Filed I-485, I-131, I-765: 11/7/15

Packet received: 11/9/15

NOA 1 txt/email: 11/15/15 - NOA 1 hardcopy: 11/19/15

Bio: 12/9/15

EAD + AP approved: 1/25/16 - EAD received: 2/1/16

RFE for USCIS inability to read vax instructions: 5/21/16 (no e-notification & not sent from local office!)

RFE response sent: 6/7/16 - RFE response received 6/9/16

AOS approved/card in production: 6/13/16  

NOA 2 hardcopy + card sent 6/17/16

Green Card received: 6/18/16

USCIS 120 day reminder notice: 2/22/18

Filed I-751: 5/2/18 - Packet received: 5/4/18

NOA 1:  5/29/18 (12 mo ext) 8/13/18 (18 mo ext)  - Bio: 6/27/18

Transferred: Potomac Service Center 3/26/19

Approved/New Card Produced status: 4/25/19 - NOA2 hardcopy 4/29/19

10yr Green Card Received: 5/2/19 with error >_<

N400 : 7/16/23 - Oath : 10/19/23

 

 

 

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Filed: Timeline
38 minutes ago, Steeleballz said:

 

  We will eventually have a good enough idea to have a solid estimate. We started hospital based drive through testing today, as have several other hospitals in the area. Requires a doctors order and should be 100% reimbursed. More people getting  tested will lead to more accurate data. I still think it will be <1% at some point.

Maybe.  Look how many false positives there have been world-wide though.  Even in Korea, where I applaud their effort, they have had quite a few mistakes, from what I read.  And 63% from one religious sect... wow.

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4 minutes ago, Burnt Reynolds said:

I doubt it wins many customers over tbh.

You underestimate the general public. If 10% of the people fall for this, it would be a huge lead base. If 1% bought it would be huge. Tmof course it may turn many off. Its tacky and sleazy either way 

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