You said yourself Myprogress tab is not to be trusted. And it shouldn’t be, you’re still within normal processing times which is what USCIS will reply with as they will rely on the processing pages on USCIS which, if you input your info when you scroll down to “Get inquiry date”, it will tell you your case is progressing normally and not to contact them until November 2024:
https://egov.uscis.gov/processing-times/