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Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Israel
Timeline
Posted
9 hours ago, smilesammich said:

dude, just. wow. i actually hope you cut and pasted the majority of that.^_^

i blame the bubble on trump's arrival and impending doom. and remembering 2008. but i definitely don't deny the current economy's due credit to obama and his admin. and 8 years of relative sanity.

Well that's how I know you didn't read it! Because some of it I wrote last night, and some of it specifically mentioned in there that I was quoting. Sometimes in order to explain something to someone and make them understand it, you need to use alot of words...plus now I already have my post ready for when it's time to prove everybody wrong when the doom does come and all is blamed on Trump, then all I have to do is link to that post :)

 

Anyhow, you can't blame a bubble that's already there and that was already named a bubble (by me and some others) long before Trump, on Trump...he just extended it. You are right about 2008 but again it was baked in the cake already before Trump. There was nothing sane about the bubble. Now, I also disagree it is completely Obama's fault that the recovery has been so weak like the right would claim. The economy isn't going to grow so fast for a long time anymore, it's just how it is. 

09/14/2012: Sent I-130
10/04/2012: NOA1 Received
12/11/2012: NOA2 Received
12/18/2012: NVC Received Case
01/08/2013: Received Case Number/IIN; DS-3032/I-864 Bill
01/08/2013: DS-3032 Sent
01/18/2013: DS-3032 Accepted; Received IV Bill
01/23/2013: Paid I-864 Bill; Paid IV Bill
02/05/2013: IV Package Sent
02/18/2013: AOS Package Sent
03/22/2013: Case complete
05/06/2013: Interview Scheduled

06/05/2013: Visa issued!

06/28/2013: VISA RECEIVED

07/09/2013: POE - EWR. Went super fast and easy. 5 minutes of waiting and then just a signature and finger print.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

05/06/2016: One month late - overnighted form N-400.

06/01/2016: Original Biometrics appointment, had to reschedule due to being away.

07/01/2016: Biometrics Completed.

08/17/2016: Interview scheduled & approved.

09/16/2016: Scheduled oath ceremony.

09/16/2016: THE END - 4 year long process all done!

 

 

Posted
27 minutes ago, OriZ said:

Well that's how I know you didn't read it! Because some of it I wrote last night, and some of it specifically mentioned in there that I was quoting. Sometimes in order to explain something to someone and make them understand it, you need to use alot of words...plus now I already have my post ready for when it's time to prove everybody wrong when the doom does come and all is blamed on Trump, then all I have to do is link to that post :)

 

Anyhow, you can't blame a bubble that's already there and that was already named a bubble (by me and some others) long before Trump, on Trump...he just extended it. You are right about 2008 but again it was baked in the cake already before Trump. There was nothing sane about the bubble. Now, I also disagree it is completely Obama's fault that the recovery has been so weak like the right would claim. The economy isn't going to grow so fast for a long time anymore, it's just how it is. 

i didn't read it, you got that right. bubble will definitely be much worse and difficult to recover from because of trump's deregulation crusade.

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Israel
Timeline
Posted
1 hour ago, smilesammich said:

i didn't read it, you got that right. bubble will definitely be much worse and difficult to recover from because of trump's deregulation crusade.

Here's where I have an issue with people claiming Obama saved the economy(well besides my already long explanation): I know for a fact that there are people, me included but not only so not trying to brag or anything, who knew the market was nearing a bottom in early 09 already...how did we know what Obama was going to do? I know for a fact that I'm going to know when the market nears a bottom in the coming crisis...it was also pretty obvious the market was near a bottom in 2003, how did we know what Bush was going to do? And if the crisis in 2000-2003 was Bush's fault, and if the crisis in 2008 was Bush's fault, then how come the recovery inbetween happened with him still in office? You see, it makes no sense to me that presidents have anything to do with any of that because my experience tells me they don't.

09/14/2012: Sent I-130
10/04/2012: NOA1 Received
12/11/2012: NOA2 Received
12/18/2012: NVC Received Case
01/08/2013: Received Case Number/IIN; DS-3032/I-864 Bill
01/08/2013: DS-3032 Sent
01/18/2013: DS-3032 Accepted; Received IV Bill
01/23/2013: Paid I-864 Bill; Paid IV Bill
02/05/2013: IV Package Sent
02/18/2013: AOS Package Sent
03/22/2013: Case complete
05/06/2013: Interview Scheduled

06/05/2013: Visa issued!

06/28/2013: VISA RECEIVED

07/09/2013: POE - EWR. Went super fast and easy. 5 minutes of waiting and then just a signature and finger print.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

05/06/2016: One month late - overnighted form N-400.

06/01/2016: Original Biometrics appointment, had to reschedule due to being away.

07/01/2016: Biometrics Completed.

08/17/2016: Interview scheduled & approved.

09/16/2016: Scheduled oath ceremony.

09/16/2016: THE END - 4 year long process all done!

 

 

Country: Germany
Timeline
Posted
15 hours ago, OriZ said:

Oi....I don't even know where to start, honestly. I bet you also believe Obama lowered gas prices, give me a break. How come it is always those who shout loudest that everyone is living in an alt. reality or that people don't learn from history, who are the ones that live in an alt reality and have not learned from history? Considering I've spent over 35,000 hours studying markets and their history, it does not disprove me and I have 39 pages of my own thread to prove it. I guess I can't blame you for what you consider to be history though, because the mess we're currently in, it's going to take historians decades(if ever) to realize the true reasons for it, but it's going to be much easier to just blame Trump for a while. So how exactly is Obama and the FED creating a bubble a good thing? Being a part of the biggest bubble in history(tied only with the dot.com bubble but even then, many measures are more extreme today) does not make him a hero in my eyes. I said it before and I will again Obama planted the seeds for this crisis.

 

Now, it's going to be Trump's fault as well, because of his protectionist policies, and because he's shooting himself in the foot. Even before the elections, I wrote that the next president needs to just sit on their hands and let things crash to restore some sanity. Then, he would have been able to correctly share the blame with the previous president as it would have not been far away from the end of their(Obama's) term. However, not only has Trump encouraged an extension of the bubble since sitting in office, but he is even taking credit for it publicly, thus setting himself up for being blamed for everything to happen later on. Dumb move, but I know the truth and have shared it many times including this post which was after the elections:

 

 

 

You offer a lot of nonsensical ranting. You dont have to agree with history. All you gotta do is learn from it.

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Israel
Timeline
Posted (edited)
13 minutes ago, CaliCat said:

You offer a lot of nonsensical ranting. You dont have to agree with history. All you gotta do is learn from it.

What I offer you is invaluable, free of charge info that you would be wise to learn from but yet you refuse. I don't need to agree with history, it's already on my side. It's your version of history that's skewed. 

Edited by OriZ
09/14/2012: Sent I-130
10/04/2012: NOA1 Received
12/11/2012: NOA2 Received
12/18/2012: NVC Received Case
01/08/2013: Received Case Number/IIN; DS-3032/I-864 Bill
01/08/2013: DS-3032 Sent
01/18/2013: DS-3032 Accepted; Received IV Bill
01/23/2013: Paid I-864 Bill; Paid IV Bill
02/05/2013: IV Package Sent
02/18/2013: AOS Package Sent
03/22/2013: Case complete
05/06/2013: Interview Scheduled

06/05/2013: Visa issued!

06/28/2013: VISA RECEIVED

07/09/2013: POE - EWR. Went super fast and easy. 5 minutes of waiting and then just a signature and finger print.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

05/06/2016: One month late - overnighted form N-400.

06/01/2016: Original Biometrics appointment, had to reschedule due to being away.

07/01/2016: Biometrics Completed.

08/17/2016: Interview scheduled & approved.

09/16/2016: Scheduled oath ceremony.

09/16/2016: THE END - 4 year long process all done!

 

 

Country: Germany
Timeline
Posted


 

1 hour ago, OriZ said:

What I offer you is invaluable, free of charge info that you would be wise to learn from but yet you refuse. I don't need to agree with history, it's already on my side. It's your version of history that's skewed. 

We're talking about different things. It doesn't matter anyway.

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Israel
Timeline
Posted
58 minutes ago, CaliCat said:


 

We're talking about different things. It doesn't matter anyway.

So let me get this straight - first you quote only a tiny portion of what I said and call it nonsense, without addressing any of the explanations given, and then you say we're talking about different things. How are we talking about different things? Are we not talking about the power(or lack thereof) the president has over the markets and the economy? My view, which is based on centuries of data(FTR - it's not that I'm just against Obama, I don't believe Reagan had much to do with the 80's boom either) is that they don't have much, if any. Your view which you insist on calling "history" is kind of like looking at a round object that has heads and tails drawn on it and calling it a coin. Gotta look deeper than that my friend.

09/14/2012: Sent I-130
10/04/2012: NOA1 Received
12/11/2012: NOA2 Received
12/18/2012: NVC Received Case
01/08/2013: Received Case Number/IIN; DS-3032/I-864 Bill
01/08/2013: DS-3032 Sent
01/18/2013: DS-3032 Accepted; Received IV Bill
01/23/2013: Paid I-864 Bill; Paid IV Bill
02/05/2013: IV Package Sent
02/18/2013: AOS Package Sent
03/22/2013: Case complete
05/06/2013: Interview Scheduled

06/05/2013: Visa issued!

06/28/2013: VISA RECEIVED

07/09/2013: POE - EWR. Went super fast and easy. 5 minutes of waiting and then just a signature and finger print.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

05/06/2016: One month late - overnighted form N-400.

06/01/2016: Original Biometrics appointment, had to reschedule due to being away.

07/01/2016: Biometrics Completed.

08/17/2016: Interview scheduled & approved.

09/16/2016: Scheduled oath ceremony.

09/16/2016: THE END - 4 year long process all done!

 

 

Posted
6 hours ago, OriZ said:

Here's where I have an issue with people claiming Obama saved the economy(well besides my already long explanation): I know for a fact that there are people, me included but not only so not trying to brag or anything, who knew the market was nearing a bottom in early 09 already...how did we know what Obama was going to do? I know for a fact that I'm going to know when the market nears a bottom in the coming crisis...it was also pretty obvious the market was near a bottom in 2003, how did we know what Bush was going to do? And if the crisis in 2000-2003 was Bush's fault, and if the crisis in 2008 was Bush's fault, then how come the recovery inbetween happened with him still in office? You see, it makes no sense to me that presidents have anything to do with any of that because my experience tells me they don't.

If you're so smart, why are you posting here? 

R.I.P Spooky 2004-2015

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Israel
Timeline
Posted (edited)
35 minutes ago, spookyturtle said:

If you're so smart, why are you posting here? 

Hey spooks, I was waiting for you to show up :D Smarts has nothing to do with it and like I said this isn't about me, it's about the fact that markets are actually very predictable if you only know where to look. When I say predictable I don't mean days or even months, but longer than that. 

 

Why am I posting here is irrelevant. What else do you think I would be better suited doing atm? I post here because when I am on my laptop I usually do one of three things: Post here or in other forums(all the other ones are not immigration forums but market forums), read the news, or work on stuff for either the shop or for trading. Oh and there's a little bit of FB and email somewhere in there too. When I'm at the shop in the mornings I usually have alot of time for VJ(notice I usually disappear in the afternoons), and when I'm home if I'm not doing anything with my wife(if she's painting or something) then the laptop is where I go. But like I said I'm not sure how that's even relevant. If you're implying I should be relaxing on an island somewhere that will come too, it's just not time for that yet. Unlike Trump, I didn't have millions to start with. The plan is to close the shop in Oct 2019 when our lease is up, retire the wife, and for me to work solely at that. I just didn't feel comfortable putting all my eggs in one basket just yet, but I think we'll have enough of a cushion by then. Hopefully that answers it!

Edited by OriZ
09/14/2012: Sent I-130
10/04/2012: NOA1 Received
12/11/2012: NOA2 Received
12/18/2012: NVC Received Case
01/08/2013: Received Case Number/IIN; DS-3032/I-864 Bill
01/08/2013: DS-3032 Sent
01/18/2013: DS-3032 Accepted; Received IV Bill
01/23/2013: Paid I-864 Bill; Paid IV Bill
02/05/2013: IV Package Sent
02/18/2013: AOS Package Sent
03/22/2013: Case complete
05/06/2013: Interview Scheduled

06/05/2013: Visa issued!

06/28/2013: VISA RECEIVED

07/09/2013: POE - EWR. Went super fast and easy. 5 minutes of waiting and then just a signature and finger print.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

05/06/2016: One month late - overnighted form N-400.

06/01/2016: Original Biometrics appointment, had to reschedule due to being away.

07/01/2016: Biometrics Completed.

08/17/2016: Interview scheduled & approved.

09/16/2016: Scheduled oath ceremony.

09/16/2016: THE END - 4 year long process all done!

 

 

Posted
10 minutes ago, OriZ said:

Hey spooks, I was waiting for you to show up :D Smarts has nothing to do with it and like I said this isn't about me, it's about the fact that markets are actually very predictable if you only know where to look. When I say predictable I don't mean days or even months, but longer than that. 

 

Why am I posting here is irrelevant. What else do you think I would be better suited doing atm? I post here because when I am on my laptop I usually do one of three things: Post here or in other forums(all the other ones are not immigration forums but market forums), read the news, or work on stuff for either the shop or for trading. Oh and there's a little bit of FB and email somewhere in there too. When I'm at the shop in the mornings I usually have alot of time for VJ(notice I usually disappear in the afternoons), and when I'm home if I'm not doing anything with my wife(if she's painting or something) then the laptop is where I go. But like I said I'm not sure how that's even relevant. If you're implying I should be relaxing on an island somewhere that will come too, it's just not time for that yet. Unlike Trump, I didn't have millions to start with. The plan is to close the shop in Oct 2019 when our lease is up, retire the wife, and for me to work solely at that. I just didn't feel comfortable putting all my eggs in one basket just yet, but I think we'll have enough of a cushion by then. Hopefully that answers it!

I was only kidding:devil:.  But thank you for answering. 

R.I.P Spooky 2004-2015

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Israel
Timeline
Posted
19 minutes ago, spookyturtle said:

I was only kidding:devil:.  But thank you for answering. 

Just making sure all is clear :jest:

09/14/2012: Sent I-130
10/04/2012: NOA1 Received
12/11/2012: NOA2 Received
12/18/2012: NVC Received Case
01/08/2013: Received Case Number/IIN; DS-3032/I-864 Bill
01/08/2013: DS-3032 Sent
01/18/2013: DS-3032 Accepted; Received IV Bill
01/23/2013: Paid I-864 Bill; Paid IV Bill
02/05/2013: IV Package Sent
02/18/2013: AOS Package Sent
03/22/2013: Case complete
05/06/2013: Interview Scheduled

06/05/2013: Visa issued!

06/28/2013: VISA RECEIVED

07/09/2013: POE - EWR. Went super fast and easy. 5 minutes of waiting and then just a signature and finger print.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

05/06/2016: One month late - overnighted form N-400.

06/01/2016: Original Biometrics appointment, had to reschedule due to being away.

07/01/2016: Biometrics Completed.

08/17/2016: Interview scheduled & approved.

09/16/2016: Scheduled oath ceremony.

09/16/2016: THE END - 4 year long process all done!

 

 

Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Ecuador
Timeline
Posted

An inappropriate post has been removed.

06-04-2007 = TSC stamps postal return-receipt for I-129f.

06-11-2007 = NOA1 date (unknown to me).

07-20-2007 = Phoned Immigration Officer; got WAC#; where's NOA1?

09-25-2007 = Touch (first-ever).

09-28-2007 = NOA1, 23 days after their 45-day promise to send it (grrrr).

10-20 & 11-14-2007 = Phoned ImmOffs; "still pending."

12-11-2007 = 180 days; file is "between workstations, may be early Jan."; touches 12/11 & 12/12.

12-18-2007 = Call; file is with Division 9 ofcr. (bckgrnd check); e-prompt to shake it; touch.

12-19-2007 = NOA2 by e-mail & web, dated 12-18-07 (187 days; 201 per VJ); in mail 12/24/07.

01-09-2008 = File from USCIS to NVC, 1-4-08; NVC creates file, 1/15/08; to consulate 1/16/08.

01-23-2008 = Consulate gets file; outdated Packet 4 mailed to fiancee 1/27/08; rec'd 3/3/08.

04-29-2008 = Fiancee's 4-min. consular interview, 8:30 a.m.; much evidence brought but not allowed to be presented (consul: "More proof! Second interview! Bring your fiance!").

05-05-2008 = Infuriating $12 call to non-English-speaking consulate appointment-setter.

05-06-2008 = Better $12 call to English-speaker; "joint" interview date 6/30/08 (my selection).

06-30-2008 = Stokes Interrogations w/Ecuadorian (not USC); "wait 2 weeks; we'll mail her."

07-2008 = Daily calls to DOS: "currently processing"; 8/05 = Phoned consulate, got Section Chief; wrote him.

08-07-08 = E-mail from consulate, promising to issue visa "as soon as we get her passport" (on 8/12, per DHL).

08-27-08 = Phoned consulate (they "couldn't find" our file); visa DHL'd 8/28; in hand 9/1; through POE on 10/9 with NO hassles(!).

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Canada
Timeline
Posted
9 hours ago, OriZ said:

What I offer you is invaluable, free of charge info that you would be wise to learn from but yet you refuse. I don't need to agree with history, it's already on my side. It's your version of history that's skewed. 

I have looked back at some of your posts and determined that had I followed your advice, I would have missed out on some awesome upside market activity.  Not sure how history is on your side. 

ftiq8me9uwr01.jpg

 

 

 

 

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