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K-1 Visa Approval Rate -- 95%

#1 BlueTrap

BlueTrap

    Junior Member

  • PipPip


Posted 23 April 2010 - 12:13 AM

All,

For those of you stuck in the same boat as me -- the all-consuming nervousness of the K-1 visa process -- statistics is on our side! While no one can guarantee us a successful interview with immediate visa approval, worldwide, they are approving 95% of K-1 petitions: http://www.travel.st...isaCategory.pdf

If I'm reading this correctly, 95% of petitions are initially approved. Adding in the "Waived / Overcome" column, there is a 99.37% approval rating. There are similar statistics from the Department of State in recent years:

2008 -- http://www.travel.st.../pdf/FY2008.pdf
2007 -- http://www.travel.st.../pdf/FY2007.pdf

The State Department website also has many other statistic one can sort through, including information by country: http://travel.state....stics_4582.html

While this does not quiet the butterflies in my stomach and heart, it does give my logical brain some relief.

Hope this helps you guys, too!
Blue
  • 0
7/10/2009 -- Proposed!
10/23/2009 -- Mailed I-129F to VSC
10/26/2009 -- VSC Received
10/27/2009 -- NOA1
10/29/2009 -- Check Cashed
03/04/2010 -- NOA2
03/11/2010 -- Left NVC
03/15/2010 -- Mumbai Consulate Received and Mailed Packet 3 (never received)
04/14/2010 -- Returned Packet 3 to Mumbai
04/22/2010 -- Mumbai Mailed Packet 4
05/01/2010 -- Received Packet 4 from Mumbai (why is it so outdated?!)
06/14/2010 -- Interview -- ***APPROVED!!!***
07/22/2010 -- POE @ Washington, DC

#2 Ricky+Vanessa

Ricky+Vanessa

    Senior Member

  • PipPipPipPipPip


Posted 23 April 2010 - 12:39 AM

Blue, you have definitely done your homework on that website lol. Wish I had bothered as it would have made me feel a lot calmer about the whole thing.
  • 0

#3 BlueTrap

BlueTrap

    Junior Member

  • PipPip


Posted 23 April 2010 - 01:11 AM

Regardless, congrats on your recent approval!!!
  • 0
7/10/2009 -- Proposed!
10/23/2009 -- Mailed I-129F to VSC
10/26/2009 -- VSC Received
10/27/2009 -- NOA1
10/29/2009 -- Check Cashed
03/04/2010 -- NOA2
03/11/2010 -- Left NVC
03/15/2010 -- Mumbai Consulate Received and Mailed Packet 3 (never received)
04/14/2010 -- Returned Packet 3 to Mumbai
04/22/2010 -- Mumbai Mailed Packet 4
05/01/2010 -- Received Packet 4 from Mumbai (why is it so outdated?!)
06/14/2010 -- Interview -- ***APPROVED!!!***
07/22/2010 -- POE @ Washington, DC

#4 Liz_Allan

Liz_Allan

    Member

  • PipPipPip


Posted 23 April 2010 - 01:26 AM

All,

For those of you stuck in the same boat as me -- the all-consuming nervousness of the K-1 visa process -- statistics is on our side! While no one can guarantee us a successful interview with immediate visa approval, worldwide, they are approving 95% of K-1 petitions: http://www.travel.st...isaCategory.pdf

If I'm reading this correctly, 95% of petitions are initially approved. Adding in the "Waived / Overcome" column, there is a 99.37% approval rating. There are similar statistics from the Department of State in recent years:

2008 -- http://www.travel.st.../pdf/FY2008.pdf
2007 -- http://www.travel.st.../pdf/FY2007.pdf

The State Department website also has many other statistic one can sort through, including information by country: http://travel.state....stics_4582.html

While this does not quiet the butterflies in my stomach and heart, it does give my logical brain some relief.

Hope this helps you guys, too!
Blue



Hi Blue

Thanks for this info, it's very nice to have some statistical reassurance!
  • 0
Our Timeline
June 13, 2009- We met in Honduras (mission trip for me, school for him)
June-July, 2009- Getting to know each other better via Skype & emails
August 2, 2009- Officially a couple
Dec 2009- Thanks to God, Allan visited USA, speaking at churches
Jan 09, 2010- Engaged!!
Jan 13, 2010- Allan returned to Costa Rica

K-1 TIMELINE
Feb 09, 2010 - I-129F sent I-129F via Express mail to VT center
Feb 11, 2010 - NOA1 approved
May 17, 2010 - Received email that NOA2 was issued! (95 days after NOA1)
May 22, 2010 - Received NOA2 Hard Copy
May 25, 2010 - Packet sent to Costa Rican Embassy
June 07,2010 - Phone call from Embassy, arranged to pick up packet
June 17,2010 - Pick up Packet 3
July 23,2010 - Liz travels to Costa Rica
July 26,2010 - Interview Date (70 days after NOA2- long paper chase in Central America)
July 26,2010 - K-1 Visa APPROVED!!!! Thanks to God!!!! \o/\o/
July 28,2010 - Liz returns to USA
July 29,2010 - Allan picks up Visa
Aug 11,2010 - Allan POE (Denver) NO PROBLEMS, it was easy!
Sept 25,2010 - Wedding Date
Posted Image
Sept 25-Oct 1 - Honeymoon away
Oct 2, 2010 - Begin honeymoon at home (for the rest of our lives)

AOS TIMELINE
Oct 13, 2010 - AOS & EAD Application Mailed
Oct 14, 2010 - Tracking number shows packet received at Chicago Lockbox
Oct 20, 2010 - Received Electronic Notice of NOA1 for AOS & EAD

#5 NigeriaorBust

NigeriaorBust

    igwe and lolo



Posted 23 April 2010 - 09:39 AM

I would expect that most petitions get approved. That simply means most forms are filled out correctly enough to forward to the consulates. What is the visa issuance rates ?
  • 0

This will not be over quickly. You will not enjoy this.


#6 sachinky

sachinky

    We just look a lot better under the blue lights.



Posted 23 April 2010 - 09:49 AM

Having a 129f petition approved is no big deal, I'd say.

The requirements are quite simple enough to meet.

I'd be interested in knowing the visa approval rates.
  • 1

03/27/2009: Engaged in Ithaca, New York.
08/17/2009: Wedding in Calcutta, India.
09/29/2009: I-130 NOA1
01/25/2010: I-130 NOA2
03/23/2010: Case completed.
05/12/2010: CR-1 interview at Mumbai, India.
05/20/2010: US Entry, Chicago.
03/01/2012: ROC NOA1.
03/26/2012: Biometrics completed.
12/07/2012: 10 year card production ordered.

09/25/2013: N-400 NOA1

10/16/2013: Biometrics completed

12/03/2013: Interview

12/20/2013: Oath ceremony

event.png


#7 ScottThuy

ScottThuy

    Tenured Member



Posted 23 April 2010 - 10:18 AM

I would expect that most petitions get approved. That simply means most forms are filled out correctly enough to forward to the consulates. What is the visa issuance rates ?

That report says # visas "issued" "Refused" not petitions to USCIS...
  • 0
"Every one of us bears within himself the possibilty of all passions, all destinies of life in all its forms. Nothing human is foreign to us" - Edward G. Robinson.

#8 TBoneTX

TBoneTX

    Among the 99.44% HOSED at the Guayaquil consulate



Posted 23 April 2010 - 10:49 AM

There needs to be a separate category: Visas issued in Guayaquil, Ecuador when U.S. fiance(e)/spouse attends the first interview, ___%; visas issued when fiance(e)/spouse does not attend, 0.

Edited by TBoneTX, 23 April 2010 - 10:49 AM.

  • 0
06-04-2007 = TSC stamps postal return-receipt for I-129f.
06-11-2007 = NOA1 date (unknown to me).
07-20-2007 = Phoned Immigration Officer; got WAC#; where's NOA1?
09-25-2007 = Touch (first-ever).
09-28-2007 = NOA1, 23 days after their 45-day promise to send it (grrrr).
10-20 & 11-14-2007 = Phoned ImmOffs; "still pending."
12-11-2007 = 180 days; file is "between workstations, may be early Jan."; touches 12/11 & 12/12.
12-18-2007 = Call; file is with Division 9 ofcr. (bckgrnd check); e-prompt to shake it; touch.
12-19-2007 = NOA2 by e-mail & web, dated 12-18-07 (187 days; 201 per VJ); in mail 12/24/07.
01-09-2008 = File from USCIS to NVC, 1-4-08; NVC creates file, 1/15/08; to consulate 1/16/08.
01-23-2008 = Consulate gets file; outdated Packet 4 mailed to fiancee 1/27/08; rec'd 3/3/08.
04-29-2008 = Fiancee's 4-min. consular interview, 8:30 a.m.; much evidence brought but not allowed to be presented (consul: "More proof! Second interview! Bring your fiance!").
05-05-2008 = Infuriating $12 call to non-English-speaking consulate appointment-setter.
05-06-2008 = Better $12 call to English-speaker; "joint" interview date 6/30/08 (my selection).
06-30-2008 = Stokes Interrogations w/Ecuadorian (not USC); "wait 2 weeks; we'll mail her."
07-2008 = Daily calls to DOS: "currently processing"; 8/05 = Phoned consulate, got Section Chief; wrote him.
08-07-08 = E-mail from consulate, promising to issue visa "as soon as we get her passport" (on 8/12, per DHL).
08-27-08 = Phoned consulate (they "couldn't find" our file); visa DHL'd 8/28; in hand 9/1; through POE on 10/9 with NO hassles(!).

#9 ScottThuy

ScottThuy

    Tenured Member



Posted 23 April 2010 - 11:00 AM

Si Man!!!Wouldn't that be nice to see what the stats are by consulate... wouldbenice tosee APstats by country as well...
  • 0
"Every one of us bears within himself the possibilty of all passions, all destinies of life in all its forms. Nothing human is foreign to us" - Edward G. Robinson.

#10 Lorenzoid

Lorenzoid

    Member

  • PipPipPipPip


Posted 23 April 2010 - 01:12 PM

To me, this statistic suggests, assuming that USCIS is doing a reasonably good job, that the vast majority of visa applicants are honest people who just want to live with their loved one(s) in the US and are not trying to defraud the government. THAT is reassuring.
  • 0
12/31/2009 Married in the U.S. on K-1 visa
01/28/2010 received copy of marriage certificate (what a delay!)
02/01/2010 AOS (I-485/I-765/I-131/I-1145) package sent to USCIS via FedEx (Day 0)
02/02/2010 AOS package received at USCIS confirmed by FedEx (Day 1)
02/08/2010 NOA1 for I-485/I-765/I-131, noting Date of Receipt 02/02/2010 (Day 7)
02/10/2010 Biometrics Letter date, noting appointment on 02/26/2010 (Day 9)
02/23/2010 Notice of Transfer to CSC (Day 22)
02/26/2010 Completed Biometrics Appointment (Day 25)
03/01/2010 I-765 status first available on-line (Touch) (Day 28)
03/03/2010 I-485 status first available on-line (Touch) (Day 30)
04/12/2010 EAD Card Production Ordered (via text message and on-line) (Day 70)
04/12/2010 AP approved and mailed (status shown on-line) (Day 70)
04/17/2010 AP received in mail (Day 75)
04/19/2010 EAD Card received in mail (Day 77)
07/28/2010 AOS Card Production Ordered (via text message and on-line) (Day 177)
08/03/2010 Welcome Letter received in mail (Day 183)
08/06/2010 Green Card received in mail (Day 186)
04/30/2012 Remove Conditions (I-751) sent to USCIS
06/25/2012 Completed Biometrics Appointment
01/30/2013 Card Production Ordered
02/07/2013 Green Card received in mail

#11 Miss smarty pants

Miss smarty pants

    Gold Member

  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip


Posted 23 April 2010 - 01:15 PM

All,

For those of you stuck in the same boat as me -- the all-consuming nervousness of the K-1 visa process -- statistics is on our side! While no one can guarantee us a successful interview with immediate visa approval, worldwide, they are approving 95% of K-1 petitions: http://www.travel.st...isaCategory.pdf

If I'm reading this correctly, 95% of petitions are initially approved. Adding in the "Waived / Overcome" column, there is a 99.37% approval rating. There are similar statistics from the Department of State in recent years:

2008 -- http://www.travel.st.../pdf/FY2008.pdf
2007 -- http://www.travel.st.../pdf/FY2007.pdf

The State Department website also has many other statistic one can sort through, including information by country: http://travel.state....stics_4582.html

While this does not quiet the butterflies in my stomach and heart, it does give my logical brain some relief.

Hope this helps you guys, too!
Blue

LOL! I am willing to bet these 95% approval statistics do not apply to MENA countries!!
  • 0

#12 a loves a

a loves a

    Senior Member

  • PipPipPipPipPip


Posted 23 April 2010 - 02:47 PM

LOL! I am willing to bet these 95% approval statistics do not apply to MENA countries!!



i agree with you 100 present
  • 0
06-15-2008 : my fiancee first visit to me ( stayed 3 weeks ) .
06-23-2009 : my fiancee secound visit me in Egypt ( stayed 6 weeks ).
06-28-2009 : ENGAGED
10-29-2009 : I-129F Sent
01-27-2010 : my fiancee 3rd visit to Egypt ( stayed 6 weeks ) .
02-09-2010 : travel with my fiancee to turkey in a vacation (5 days)
05-25-2010 : my fiancee 4th visit to ( stayed 2 months ) .
06-03-2010 :Interview Date .
Interview Result : approved ( ya right ! )
07-01-2010 : we got a letter had my passport and over the visa stamp says ( canceled without prejudice )!!
06-29-2010 : case sent back to usa !!!
07-07-2010 : MARRIED
01-12-2011 : the letter state the k1 case is expired , and ther was no prob to file back for any kind of visa
04-25-2011 : my wife here now visiting me in egypt for 2 and half mounth yayyyyyyyyyyyy
05-18-2011 : travel with my wife to malaysia in a 1 week vaction
06-14-2011 : register our marraige papers in cairo
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Posted Image

#13 MRStee

MRStee

    Super Star Member



Posted 23 April 2010 - 02:51 PM

To me, this statistic suggests, assuming that USCIS is doing a reasonably good job, that the vast majority of visa applicants are honest people who just want to live with their loved one(s) in the US and are not trying to defraud the government. THAT is reassuring.



I agree Posted Image
  • 0

#14 JimVaPhuong

JimVaPhuong

    Does this 嫪 d跬 make me look fat?



Posted 23 April 2010 - 03:18 PM

I would expect that most petitions get approved. That simply means most forms are filled out correctly enough to forward to the consulates. What is the visa issuance rates ?


The statistics the OP linked to are from the Department of State, and not USCIS, and they ARE the visa issuance rates.
  • 0

12/15/2009 - K1 Visa Interview - APPROVED!
12/29/2009 - Married in Oakland, CA!
08/18/2010 - AOS Interview - APPROVED!

05/01/2013 - Removal of Conditions - APPROVED!


#15 Starlight95

Starlight95

    Platinum Member



Posted 23 April 2010 - 07:42 PM

Any of those were in AP and still got approved? Its good to get the stats, but just dreading the AP

Star
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