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ZamboMichigan

Question about the Time estimates from VJ

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I find it interesting that the estimated timing based on my inputed profile information has been changing each day.

But what is this based on? Are all filers being averaged together?

Even though certain filers based on their status as non-US Citizens are assured to have a longer wait, how is this difference accounted for in these estimates?

Are open cases listed here also included? And what about the double entries?

Thanks to anyone that could shed more light as we try and get a realistic estimate.


N400 Timeline

MAILED N400 -AUG 01 2015

CHECK CASHED -AUG 06 2015

RECEIVED NOA IN THE MAIL - AUG-10-2015 (PRIORITY DATE AUG-03-2015)

Appt FOR BIOMETRICS RECEIVED AUG-14-2015 - APPOINTMENT AUG-25-2015

INTERVIEW DATE- NOV -09-2015

OATH CEREMONY NOV-12-2015

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your timeline here is merely an estimate of VJ users. The average processing time at the USCIS is currently 5 months. It could be less, it could be more. No one can give you an exact time. This time does not include processing time at the NVC or the consulate.



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Moved from IR-1/CR-1 Process & Procedures to Site-Related Discussion. Topic is about the VJ timeline estimated date of adjudication of the immigration benefit that was filed for at USCIS; not the spousal visa process.


Our journey:

Spoiler

September 2007: Met online via social networking site (MySpace); began exchanging messages.
March 26, 2009: We become a couple!
September 10, 2009: Arrived for first meeting in-person!
June 17, 2010: Arrived for second in-person meeting and start of travel together to other areas of China!
June 21, 2010: Engaged!!!
September 1, 2010: Switched course from K1 to CR-1
December 8, 2010: Wedding date set; it will be on February 18, 2011!
February 9, 2011: Depart for China
February 11, 2011: Registered for marriage in Wuhan, officially married!!!
February 18, 2011: Wedding ceremony in Shiyan!!!
April 22, 2011: Mailed I-130 to Chicago
April 28, 2011: Received NOA1 via text/email, file routed to CSC (priority date April 25th)
April 29, 2011: Updated
May 3, 2011: Received NOA1 hardcopy in mail
July 26, 2011: Received NOA2 via text/email!!!
July 30, 2011: Received NOA2 hardcopy in mail
August 8, 2011: NVC received file
September 1, 2011: NVC case number assigned
September 2, 2011: AOS invoice received, OPTIN email for EP sent
September 7, 2011: Paid AOS bill (payment portal showed PAID on September 9, 2011)
September 8, 2011: OPTIN email accepted, GZO number assigned
September 10, 2011: Emailed AOS package
September 12, 2011: IV bill invoiced
September 13, 2011: Paid IV bill (payment portal showed PAID on September 14, 2011)
September 14, 2011: Emailed IV package
October 3, 2011: Emailed checklist response (checklist generated due to typo on Form DS-230)
October 6, 2011: Case complete at NVC
November 10, 2011: Interview - APPROVED!!!
December 7, 2011: POE - Sea-Tac Airport

September 17, 2013: Mailed I-751 to CSC

September 23, 2013: Received NOA1 in mail (receipt date September 19th)

October 16, 2013: Biometrics Appointment

January 28, 2014: Production of new Green Card ordered

February 3, 2014: New Green Card received; done with USCIS until fall of 2023*

 

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We generate a range of statistics from the timeline data to make the estimates. We reject incomplete timelines, bad dates, and other data outliers. We also perform a range of general statistical measures to best estimate the timeline approval times for benefits. The estimates may vary some amount day to day as new data is entered by members.


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