Timeline and VJ's estimates...

[Braley 0]

Hello everyone,

I am very excited to see that VJ's estimated timeframe for our filing to be adjudicated is quickly moving up. When we filed a month ago, it was estimating the end of September to mid October. As of today, it is now showing August 10th to August 22nd. I know that VJ uses everyones experiences to come with this estimate, but in your experience (if you have it), how accurate have you found the dates to be? I am ecstatic if this proves to be true !!!

Thank you and God Bless,

Braley

[reymets10 5]

I don't have any personal experience with how close my estimate is (I am still waiting on NOA2, only been 2 months). However, the estimate will take into account members that had RFE's and other potential trouble with getting the NOA2. Obviously, it will be different depending on if you don't have an RFE. It would be nice if there was a way to have VJ estimate your NOA2 depending on if you had an RFE (or other delay) and if there was no delay.

To put it bluntly, I am not putting any stock in what the estimate says. I look at VJ timelines of couples that have timelines similar to mine (service center, country, etc) and see what their experience has been and estimate a date from that.

[max+patricia 24]

We filed our petition at the peak of the USCIS slowdown before Christmas. Our NOA2 estimate was originally sometime between May 16 and May 30. We received NOA2 approval on April 14. No RFE.

As said above, don't put alot of stock in the estimates. I remember back in January some couple that had their NOA2 less than TWO WEEKS after NOA1 - while everyone else was waiting 5-7 months.

[grumpymcdorky18 7]

sorry to disappoint you but.......nope not for me, my estimated adjucation is from 28 May - 04 June but I still haven't got my NOA2, still waiting, hoping and praying

[gretchen_darren 67]

the timeline gives you a base to work with. However, it is not perfect. But it does give you a base to watch and look at things. the key to know is usually 5 months an application is approved, with 6 months being expedite. Because of the extended budget approval, it delayed a lot of applications. Although it is not understood why the budget in congress affected the K-1 visa at USCIS. USCIS is under government mandate to get rid of backlog. However, this mandate does not seem to apply to K-1 visa process. During budget approval process the K-1 visa slowed down tremendously. The approval process has sped up since budget approvals were given in congress, but the budget approvals only go through the end of the fiscal year. So in October, another slow down could be coming. K-1 is picked on the most since it is a transient, low volume section. (1% of monthly volume) Very few people come back through the process a second or a third time.

[Otto 83]

To add an over-the-long-haul perspective. The projected adjudication date-ranges tend to be fairly accurate (about as accurate as they can be) - for the most part. After all, no one knows for sure but it's an educated guess.

When you're first starting out - it won't be, but as you move through the time portal you'll see it fluctuate, then settle down as that range gets closer. This is due to members creating timelines at different stages and folks updating their approvals. The range relies on member stats (both current/new and historical trends).

Historically - it's usually a good indicator - everyone's mileage may vary of course.

[danik713 21]

It would be nice if there was a way to have VJ estimate your NOA2 depending on if you had an RFE (or other delay) and if there was no delay.

It does automatically when you enter an RFE date.

[Love Eth 14]

The timeline estimator is a good thing that makes you ready for the upcoming process. It gives idea what to do next and the best thing it adjust the time depending the actual USCIS timeline. However the adjustment also solely depends on the VJ's members that update their timeline regularly. So it is advisable to all members to update their timeline or to crate one in order to help each other on this long journey toward to success.

Good luck for everybody.

[reymets10 5]

It does automatically when you enter an RFE date.

I was actually meaning that when they estimate your adjudicated date that if you have not had an RFE request that the estimate would not include anyone that has had an RFE request. As an RFE request will add time to the application process. I am not 100% sure what is included in the estimate, so maybe it already does take this into consideration.

What I find interesting now is VJ is estimating adjudicated date between July 14 and July 26. This would be about 3.5 months. This just seems too soon so I am not getting any hopes up.

[Otto 83]

I am not 100% sure what is included in the estimate, so maybe it already does take this into consideration.

It does not take into consideration RFE's, not the way you might be thinking - An RFE can result from ajudication (likewise an approval or god forbid, a denial). The ajudication date means, when it is likely that someone (an ajudicator) looks at (ajudicates) your petition.

What I find interesting now is VJ is estimating adjudicated date between July 14 and July 26. This would be about 3.5 months. This just seems too soon so I am not getting any hopes up.

It will fluctuate - count on somewhere in the neighborhood of 5 months (NOA1 to NOA2), then around 4 months in, the timelines will start to even out and a more realistic date-range will show up.

[b & q 35]

How do I find my estimated time?

[Otto 83]

How do I find my estimated time?

It will show up in your timeline (once you've entered your NOA1 date).

[aimeevsgarnette 4]

Our timeline estimate was correct...it was more near to the end of it but notheless accuate to our case.

[Love Eth 14]

How do I find my estimated time?

After you recieved your NOA1, you have fill it in the timeline form to get the NAO2 estimate time.

[danik713 21]

I am happy to report mine was rather inaccurate and my approval came today yet the timeline estimate was June 29 - July 19.