Olumide & Funlola

Our case reached NVC on 01/25/2018. Things should move quickly from here on ..... Cant wait.
 
NOA1 - 07/05/2017
NOA2 - 01/11/2018
NVC Receive - 01/25/2018

I got my case number yeahhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhhh!
 
NOA1 JUNE 8TH
NOA2 JAN 11,2018
NVC RECEIVED AND CASE NUMBER -JAN 25TH 2018

Lastly, the trend line for the average processing time of all cases received every considered day and approved within the next 204 days, as to 01/20/2018.
 
This time I have added some extra data in case you're interested (number of approved cases, number of received cases and percentage of approved cases (out of received)). As before, note that only updated cases could be considered.
 
As expected it's still too soon for a downward trend, but hopefully we'll start seeing some change by next month!
 
 

 
 

Update of the graphs comparing May and June regarding the length of time from Received to Approved one month later (as to 01/20/2018), this time including July under the same conditions.
 
As a reminder, in the graphs below I try to compare what happened within the next 190 days after that last day of May, June and July 14th (last day with approvals) received cases. In order to see them clearer I put them together in pairs.
 
In that time, with a total of 1877, 818 and 243 approved cases (after removing some outliers) respectively:
 
May had a global mean of 175.25 days from Received to Approval date, with a standard deviation of 14.06 days. June had a global mean of 186.05 days from Received to Approval date, with a standard deviation of 9.16 days. July had a global mean of 193.91 days from Received to Approval date, with a standard deviation of 3.28 days.  
Even if it doesn't look very good (way less approvals in the same period of time for July and also starting from 185+ days) just remember that, because of the holidays, they haven't worked the same number of days, and more importantly, haven't been very consistent updating approvals, which is why these results only apply to the information it comes from, the unreliable information updated by USCIS.
 
If they keep the rate of approvals seen in the last days, I believe we'll start seeing a clear improvement in the next one or two months. Let's hope!
 
 

Hellloooooooo Everyone  
 
June and July had a big update of case statuses yesterday.
They updated backdated approvals too. 
 
This is the details of work done in January (only updated cases)
 
 
                 June        July     Total Jan W1 231 4 235 Jan W2 311 22 333 Jan W3 551 323 874 Total 1093 349 1442  
I'm sure you can see how different it looks when they actually update things online!
We still have lots of cases (dates) that are not updated in the first part of June. 
But here are the latest view into every month!
 
               June         July           Aug           Sept            Oct          Nov        Dec     Total Approved 1317 263 13 6   1   1600 Received 1358 2941 3519 3176 3770 3304 3297 21365 Touched 996 206 139 129 128 67 27 1692 Excluded 370 386 404 287 244 205 185 2081 Total 4041 3796 4075 3598 4142 3577 3509 26738  
 
The latest date they touched at the moment is July 14.
 
DISCLAIMER: Here on are my personal educated opinion.
 
Now my thoughts on this from watching how it flowed in the past is that hopefully they are going to change processing times to July 1 as of November 31. in order to let the June filers be able to officially start inquiries (I am really hoping of this even though I know it is not correct)
 
July is definitely going stronger than how April, May and June did. by having this much ahead with this many approvals in only 1 week didn't happen for a long time.
Please continue watching around carefully. For those in the September, please still do not put money on anything and watch for when and how August will start.
For everyone else, If I were you, before making firm plans I would watch for how things are going on 3 months ahead of you.
 
Even though there is improvement (looks like it) the improvement is not from a perfect place, this improvement still makes lots of July filers get to 200 days. And June filers are already 200+ days. NVC right now is taking about 40 days (although not for everyone). So when you are planning ahead keep all these in mind and calculate as if K1 will finish in 10-12 months.
 
Basically calculate the worst but hope for the best!! Because your positivity will keep you and your relationship healthy and happy!! But being realistic will save your sanity!
 
I'll be here with any other update if I get anything else during the weekends!
 
Good luck to all of us!

Just got off phone with NVC. Received jan 17th, CASE # ASSIGNED JAN 19th. NVC seems to be picking up the pace ladies and gentleman!  
Interview will be scheduled Monday!

Hello everyone. I'm new here and just want to say my fiance is awesome. She's my queen and I cant wait to join her. I just can't wait..
 

Hello October!

I don't tend to go to other month threads, but I wanted to come here and brighten the mood a little.

I personally am a June 12th filer, and I only recently got my NOA2 after 214 days... BUT... I want to tell you a few things...

1.  There is ALOT happening that is not ever updated and recorded on the online system, so the numbers you may hear and see are usually on the pessimistic end.

2. After June, the following months have MUCH less applications, meaning that if USCIS stay at their current rate, the wait time WILL reduce by the time things reach Sept/Oct.

3. In the past two days alone, (and today isn't complete yet), USCIS approved around 150 cases in June alone... I have good reason (based on reports and trends) that there are plenty more that are not updated online (as previously stated), meaning things ARE hopefully going to get better.

4. People who are going through this process get mired down sometimes, and its not their fault, but when you spend a month or more watching those around you, and after you, being approved, whilst you remain stuck, it has an effect, and that effect spreads without you even realising it... this creates bias, which although it isn't intentional, it is inaccurate, and shouldn't be taken to make the future applicants downhearted.

TL;DR - Stay strong.  Stay positive, but realistic.  Trust in the data and analysis provided by the people who scan and watch the updates every day - I believe @Daniel P is scanning this month when the time comes, and I can say with certainty that he will guide you well, trust him... he won't be right for all of you - there will be people who get left behind, but support each other, and hope to be one of the lucky ones.  Be mindful of those who are not so lucky, and help to bring them out of the flames when they feel like they are in hell.

With that said, be very careful of planning wedding dates, and comitting non-refundable money, or getting your heart set on a date - it may lead to financial loss and heartbreak and nobody wants to see that for you, so remember (as we all have learned previously - we have VERY little control over this and there is nothing you can do about it, including get information much of the time, so remain robust and adaptable, but hopeful!)

I can tell you from experience now that recieving your NOA2 approval isn't the end of the journey, but it is a HUGE weight off of your shoulders - so be strong and supportive and you all will get that feeling too.

I wish you all the very best with your journeys!

Day 37 after NOA2, NVC RECEIVED!
 

Wooooow, so many approvals today! This is more than I've seen in a while. 

Here is the Mid-Day scan. So far looking great!
 
Also to make it even better, as I was going through today's scan I noticed that there was a bunch of updated approvals and movement yesterday which did not show up in the full day scan. I will work on that and post the results from yesterday after a quick break.
 
 
WAC1790382708    7/3/2017    790382708    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed
WAC1790383176    7/3/2017    790383176    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed
WAC1790383787    7/3/2017    790383787    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed
WAC1790383813    7/3/2017    790383813    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed
WAC1790383831    7/3/2017    790383831    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790383896    7/3/2017    790383896    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790383898    7/3/2017    790383898    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed
WAC1790383918    7/3/2017    790383918    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790383922    7/3/2017    790383922    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed
WAC1790383929    7/3/2017    790383929    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790383930    7/3/2017    790383930    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790383948    7/3/2017    790383948    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790383963    7/3/2017    790383963    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed
WAC1790384005    7/3/2017    790384005    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790384115    7/3/2017    790384115    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed
WAC1790384129    7/3/2017    790384129    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790385597    7/5/2017    790385597    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790385618    7/5/2017    790385618    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790385631    7/5/2017    790385631    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790385671    7/5/2017    790385671    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790385710    7/5/2017    790385710    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790385735    7/5/2017    790385735    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790385809    7/5/2017    790385809    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790387063    7/6/2017    790387063    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790387066    7/6/2017    790387066    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790387072    7/6/2017    790387072    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790387073    7/6/2017    790387073    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790387110    7/6/2017    790387110    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790387116    7/6/2017    790387116    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790387118    7/6/2017    790387118    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790387121    7/6/2017    790387121    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790387122    7/6/2017    790387122    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790387136    7/6/2017    790387136    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790387168    7/6/2017    790387168    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790387173    7/6/2017    790387173    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790389989    7/10/2017   790389989    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790389998    7/10/2017   790389998    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Name Was Updated
WAC1790390069    7/10/2017   790390069    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790390202    7/10/2017   790390202    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790390225    7/10/2017   790390225    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790390401    7/10/2017   790390401    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790390408    7/10/2017   790390408    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790390926    7/11/2017   790390926    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790390934    7/11/2017   790390934    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790391453    7/11/2017   790391453    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790391541    7/11/2017   790391541    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790391544    7/11/2017   790391544    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790391556    7/11/2017   790391556    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790391665    7/11/2017   790391665    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790391694    7/11/2017   790391694    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790391696    7/11/2017   790391696    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790391713    7/11/2017   790391713    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790391742    7/11/2017   790391742    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790391748    7/11/2017   790391748    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790392737    7/12/2017   790392737    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790392738    7/12/2017   790392738    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790392741    7/12/2017   790392741    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790392743    7/12/2017   790392743    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790392747    7/12/2017   790392747    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790392755    7/12/2017   790392755    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790392760    7/12/2017   790392760    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Request for Initial Evidence Was Mailed
WAC1790392975    7/12/2017   790392975    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790392979    7/12/2017   790392979    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790392981    7/12/2017   790392981    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Request for Initial Evidence Was Mailed
WAC1790392989    7/12/2017   790392989    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Request for Initial Evidence Was Mailed
WAC1790392991    7/12/2017   790392991    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Request for Initial Evidence Was Mailed
WAC1790392993    7/12/2017   790392993    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790393082    7/12/2017   790393082    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790393083    7/12/2017   790393083    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Request for Initial Evidence Was Mailed
WAC1790393084    7/12/2017   790393084    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Request for Initial Evidence Was Mailed
WAC1790393090    7/12/2017   790393090    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Request for Initial Evidence Was Mailed
WAC1790394619    7/13/2017   790394619    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790394622    7/13/2017   790394622    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
WAC1790394649    7/13/2017   790394649    1/18/2018    Your Current Status: Case Was Approved
 

Hey guys, so I wanted to share the information USCIS gave my congressman. They stated that they are indeed experiencing a large backlog for the I129f. They stated that this backlog was "due to a shift in priority to to other workloads". They are now adding additional resources to assist in the backlog. My petitioned should be assigned to an adjudications officer sometime in the month of February....... I am praying that this is worst case scenario and hopefully it is already assigned since I see that there is now some movement for July. Crossing my fingers.

Hi guys
 
I added all of November please let me know if I missed anyone  
 
Here are the full updated monthlies:
                 May        June       July         Aug.      Sept.       Oct.       Nov.       Total Approved 1986 386 13 11 5     2401 Virgins (Received)  995 2959 3284 3541 3189 3789 3340 21097 Pending (RFEs, Updates, etc.) 1127 313 80 87 81 76 21 1785 Excluded 460 383 419 436 323 277 216 2514 Total 4568 4041 3796 4075 3598 4142 3577 27797  
 
Here are the link to the updated case files: 
*November included - because I did November in 2 batches there may be some numbers missing.
 Especially if your number is after 72000, please let me know and I'll check and add it when I'm back!
 
https://drive.google.com/drive/folders/1nOldX1MGHgTmZYtF64gGXNHoROGIksA0
 
November Overall ( Received cases only per date)
 
11/01/17 71 11/02/17 134 11/03/17 135 11/06/17 330 11/07/17 158 11/08/17 64 11/09/17 127 11/10/17 169 11/13/17 266 11/14/17 152 11/15/17 71 11/16/17 148 11/17/17 166 11/20/17 338 11/21/17 140 11/22/17 108 11/24/17 352 11/27/17 123 11/28/17 55 11/29/17 94 11/30/17 139 Total 3340

Hi everyone,
 
By now, you know I am crazy right?
Ok so that's established... I checked March hehe....hehe... distraction from the most needed fire....
It is getting extremely close to my wedding venue... (I feel so bad for even thinking like this )
 
These are the concluded cases - only concluded cases- that will appear as either denial or approval on USCIS reports for this quarter.
This data has March to November mostly up to date.
 
   March      April      May     June     July       Aug       Sept         Oct      Nov      Total Oct W1 74 163 111 7 8 7 16 31   417 Oct W2 58 109 191 4 2 2   62   428 Oct W3 70 95 161 1 1     42   370 Oct W4 60 84 239 2   1   47   433 Nov W1 63 105 345 12 9 11 3 56 8 612 Nov W2 23 59 223 8 3   3 1 41 361 Nov W3 29 83 278 20 2 4 1   26 443 Nov W4 17 74 172 69 1         333 Nov W5 31 63 187 115 2         398 Dec W1 4 35 93 105           237 Total 429 870 2000 343 28 25 23 239 75 4032  
As it shows around 4000. I want to add something to that number.
I've checked all of March and April.
 
And this is how it looks (I have also checked February but not relevant to our numbers at the moment.)
 
               March      April     Total Received 2105 830 2935 Pending 859 593 1452 Approved 1019 1898 2917 Excluded 679 636 1315 Total 4662 3957 8619  
Apparently, especially in March the tracker wasn't working properly,  and I believe we can easily say the same for April & a 20% of May. 
However, as most of March was done by October, I'll only give a 500 cases concluded in this Q for them, and about a 1000 for April.
I believe we can also easily say a 500 cases in May goes into the same category.
 
So I'll be generous about denials and Make this a total of 3000 cases not updated on the tracker.
which makes a 4000(from above)+3000=7000
 
As a low expected number per quarter would be around 10000 cases. we have 3000 to go.
 
This is a close touch to the end of June to July.
I hope they won't suddenly slow down again, 
however at this point I am expecting for June to be touched every where by Christmas (just like May a few weeks ago, touched everywhere but a few Juners waiting around)
 
And for July to start slowly please understand this really means slowly.
Just like May and June it will start with small amount of 30-40s would be my estimation.
 
I really hope things can pick up further, because at this moment I believe VJ timelines are +-a week correct.
 
But hey I am still hoping for a Valentine day approval----romantic in me never dies and I like to live dangerously
 
*Notice for new comers:
(I'm sorry if anyone is new and never heard or read about the past calculations and discussions has been made here.)
 However, 2 important things to know would be
  1) They don't update every status correctly, we have seen many approvals without an update on the USCIS case tracker
  2) The new month tends to start when "case received" status is around 1000s 

You'll be a December filer. I mailed mine out October 30th but got my NOA1 in november so I'm considered a November filer. 

We finally got our NOA1!!!!!!! Whoo! The K1 visa journey has officially begun!  

We finally got our NOA1!!!!!!! Whoo! The K1 visa journey has officially begun!  

Hi everyone! Our lawyer submitted yesterday and accordIng to USPS it should be in Texas tomorrow!! Good luck to everyone during this long process! 

I sent off the packet on Oct 30th and We received our NOA1 (text/email) earlier today! So super exciting. VJ has our estimate for NOA2 at the end of April but here’s to hoping for a slightly earlier date! 

We finally got our NOA1!!!!!!! Whoo! The K1 visa journey has officially begun!  

Hi all
Happy to share we just got the NOA1 e-mail. My ETA on NOA2 is end of April. Good luck to you all!!!!  The application was mailed on October 31st and received on Nov-2nd. 

Noa2 watch can be a huge headache but we're here to give love and support the wait will be over before you know it ..