Odds of winning DV

[fs2439 46]

Hello,

 

Does anyone know what are the chances of being selected on the diversity visa lottery? Does it depend on country of birth/chargeability?

 

Thank you

[Dashinka 23,247]

Of course it varies a bit by country, but from what I found, it is about 0.79% of all qualified applicants that get visas based on 2018 numbers.

Edited October 8, 2019 by Bill & Katya

[fs2439 46]

6 minutes ago, Bill & Katya said:

Of course it varies a bit by country, but from what I found, it is about 0.79% of all qualified applicants that get visas based on 2018 numbers.

Thank you

[SusieQQQ 11,584]

It's not country of chargeability per se that matters as much as region - the DV quotas are based on regions. The probability is generally around 0.5% of being selected. It happens (it happened to me  ) but it's obviously not something to rely on. Good luck with your entry though! 

- I do suspect that the new procedure of requiring a passport before entry will reduce the number of entries and could therefore increase the probability of selection, but it will still be a tiny probability. 

 

@fs2439, your profile says Brazil which is not eligible - you were born elsewhere?

Edited October 8, 2019 by SusieQQQ

[fs2439 46]

On 10/8/2019 at 7:46 PM, SusieQQQ said:

It's not country of chargeability per se that matters as much as region - the DV quotas are based on regions. The probability is generally around 0.5% of being selected. It happens (it happened to me  ) but it's obviously not something to rely on. Good luck with your entry though! 

- I do suspect that the new procedure of requiring a passport before entry will reduce the number of entries and could therefore increase the probability of selection, but it will still be a tiny probability. 

 

@fs2439, your profile says Brazil which is not eligible - you were born elsewhere?

Yes, i was born elsewhere. Thank you