Upcoming july visa bulletin 2014

[MalcomX 1]

I think that it will more more interesting if you put only one value instead of a rage as I and Vladdy did, when I take take Africa for exemple, from 54k to 60k you have 6K, I think that it's too much, everybody know that the CN will be between those two values ...., same for OC from 1300 to 1800 you have 500, for me it's too much also, the correct value was 1300, Vladdy got it and I was at 75 from that value but for you we can see 1800 also... so 500 far from ........ too much

My forecasts

Europa - 38000-39500
Asia - 9000-10000
Africa - 54000-60000
SA - 1700-1800
OC - 1300-1800

Egypt - 47000-50000 or exclusion.
Uzbekistan - 18800-19300
Nigeria - 17300-17800

ohhhh I requested same I my previus message lololololol.... but I was more aggressive... let's hope that Sloner will take it easy .... lolololol

No that's what he predicted for july !
Sloner you should give only one guess number !? Not two numbers !
@sloner
So what is your forcast for august?
Remember to only give one number per region!?
Thanks sloner

[MalcomX 1]

in this case please predict that Algeria will loose against everybody 3-0 each game (we are in the same group don't forget lolololololol )

kick into the wall. I will not make predictions on the lottery. I will start to make predictions on the World Cup.

[MalcomX 1]

I think that EU, AF, AS will get more ... I prefer to wait until the next CEAC next month to give my prediction ....

My predictions for August

Europa - 38500

Africa - 66600

Asia - 11000

Oceania - 1500

SA - 1700

Nigeria - 19000

Egypt - ???

[MalcomX 1]

this is more realistic except OC and SA, I think that the first one will be less and the second more .....

Here's how I think how it's gonna play out in August:

EU - 40000

Africa - 69000

AS - 11800

OC - 1700

SA - 1800

That its the pessimistic approach !!!

[MalcomX 1]

So I don't get it. You have been saying all regions are happy, everyone gets visas. Are you then saying that, in September, EU goes from 38.5 to 59k, AF goes from 66 to 116, AS goes from 11 to 27, OC goes from 1500 to 3k and SA goes from 1700 to 3300????

[Britsimon 18]

Spain is half Barca, Half Madrid,

Madrid is strong/Barca is getting old

Spain will suffer from hemiplegia

I just told my (Spanish) wife that - she thinks that describes the country as a whole....

[Britsimon 18]

Sloner was right !!!

Uzbajistan has maxed-out !

Even a broken clock is right twice a day...

in this case please predict that Algeria will loose against everybody 3-0 each game (we are in the same group don't forget lolololololol )

Genius.

[Sloner 0]

in this case please predict that Algeria will loose against everybody 3-0 each game (we are in the same group don't forget lolololololol

I remember.

will play

MalcomX:Sloner

Simon, Do not be an old man.

[MalcomX 1]

I remember.

will play

MalcomX:Sloner

Simon, Do not be an old man.

[Kayend 0]

I think June and July cut off has been deliberately slow down by KCC because they need to have smaller margin of error. Previous years they don't need to because it has more visa than demand but this year it will not. So by slowing down June and July cut off, it has lesser visa slot therefore having a smaller margin of error. In other word, KCC is preparing for cut off for some regions in Sept, so I think most of the region will not get current. If this theory is right, KCC will start will big increase for August and September.

[rafikbo76 2]

I think June and July cut off has been deliberately slow down by KCC because they need to have smaller margin of error. Previous years they don't need to because it has more visa than demand but this year it will not. So by slowing down June and July cut off, it has lesser visa slot therefore having a smaller margin of error. In other word, KCC is preparing for cut off for some regions in Sept, so I think most of the region will not get current. If this theory is right, KCC will start will big increase for August and September.

Kayend,

Everybody says Nepal and Iran took 80%of Asia, but looking at 2013 Data, I found 20% each country. I took KDU and ANK and ABD consulate. am I right?

Also last year the density between 1 and 3K was between 600 and 700 per 1000 case, and than jump to 900 and more. and I didn't find any clue about where those country are maxed out.

Where those numbers come from : 80%, Nepal max arround 10K and may Iran too.

[Alex2014 0]

rafikbo76,

In DV 2013, it is said that there were missing (not complete) data in the first 3 months, so 600~700 per 1k.

In DV 2014, Nepal (KDU) consists of 2544 selectees (34.5%), Iran (ABD+ANK+YRV) consists of 3074 seclectees (41.7%), and others consist of 1753 selectees (23.8%) in the range of 1~6500.

As of May 1, ABD still had not updated (ready) its data from 5351~6500. However, I found that there were visa (didn't show ready on May 1) issued at ABD on May 8 from 5351~6500.

34.5% + 41.7 % is about equal to 80%.

Edited May 9, 2014 by Alex2014

[rafikbo76 2]

rafikbo76,

In DV 2013, it is said that there were missing (not complete) data in the first 3 months, so 600~700 per 1k.

In DV 2014, Nepal (KDU) consists of 2544 selectees (34.5%), Iran (ABD+ANK+YRV) consists of 3074 seclectees (41.7%), and others consist of 1753 selectees (23.8%) in the range of 1~6500.

As of May 1, ABD still has not updated (ready) its data from 5351~6500. However, I found that there were visa issued at ABD from 5351~6500.

34.5% + 41.7 % is about equal to 80%.

OK,

Thanks Alex

Those numbers are for 2014,

Any idea where 10K/11k max out number come from?

Edited May 9, 2014 by rafikbo76

[Britsimon 18]

I remember.

will play MalcomX:Sloner

Simon, Do not be an old man.

I can't help my age Sloner.

[Kayend 0]

OK,

Thanks Alex

Those numbers are for 2014,

Any idea where 10K/11k max out number come from?

Are you referring to 10-11k CN from DV2014 max out for Iran/Nepal? If yes, you can calculate for 10k it will have more than 4k selectees scheduled for interview and Nepal will have around 4k scheduled for interview with percentage from CEAC data in DV2014.