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Filed: Timeline
Posted

Election Night 2009: The Post-Game Show

by Steve Singiser

Wed Nov 04, 2009 at 06:48:08 AM PST

Well, the off-year elections are now, for all intents and purposes, all over but the shouting. Except for a handful of recounts (I did see a Virginia House of Delegates race that had a 16-vote margin with 100% of precincts reporting), the 2009 election cycle is now in the books.

Of course, there will be no shortage of spin during the balance of the week. That said, it has to be pointed out that, despite the pre-spin that permeated in the week before the election, the Democrats will find at least a handful of things to crow about post-election:

* NY-23: At the top of the list, of course, is the New York 23rd district. Sure, they'd all deny it right now, but there are a lot of folks in the right-wing political sewing circle who would chuck Christie and McDonnell to the curb right now if they could have their Doug Hoffman in Congress. What's even more amazing is that, in the final analysis, it wasn't terribly close--the margin of victory wound up being more than 4%. And had those 11,000 absentee ballots known that the choice was between Owens and Hoffman, there is good reason to believe that his margin would have been even wider.

* CA-10: No, the outcome of the race was not a surprise, but the margin may well have been. Republican David Harmer had raised a lot of money, more than enough to be competitive. Polls showed that the race might fall into the single digits. It did not. Democrat John Garamendi scored a fairly decisive win. What's more--Garamendi is likely to be a political upgrade from former occupant Ellen Tauscher, who maddened progressives often with her stubborn belief that she was still representing a 50/50 district. Garamendi is liable to, at long last, be a strong progressive representing a progressive district.

* WASHINGTON STATE: Many joys are apparently coming from the Evergreen State (although, since they are now a vote-by-mail state, the returns are crawling with glacial speed). Democrat Dow Constantine won the King County Executive's race, despite some fears that the "stealth campaign" of Republican Susan Hutchison might push her over the top (she was a popular TV personality, and had carefully hid her partisanship). Referendum 71, which sought to confer the same rights on domestic partnerships as civil marriages, was narrowly ahead in the latest returns. As in Maine, a TABOR-style tax/budget reform that was teabagger-heaven was decisively thumped. And a Democrat won the Seattle mayor's race (of course, both candidates were Democrats).

* LOCAL ELECTIONS: Leaving aside the amazing spectacle of the totally unsung Bill Thompson coming within five points of the $100 million man in New York City, there was a lot of reasons for Democrats to smile in Mayoral races. For the first time in a long time, a Democrat will lead Charlotte, North Carolina, as African-American Democrat Anthony Foxx scored a narrow win over Republican John Lassiter. Democrats also held onto Chapel Hill, in a race many expected to fall to the GOP. Democrat Mark Mallory also survived a very competitive re-election race in Cincinnati.

Now, it goes without saying, there was a lot for Democrats to be disappointed about, as well. Virginia wound up just being a bludgeoning for Democrats. Not only was Republican Bob McDonnell a runaway winner for Governor (59-41), but the GOP claimed the other two downballot races by double digits. On top of all that, it looks like the GOP claimed a half-dozen seats in the House of Delegates, pushing their edge to a substantial 59-39-2 advantage (though a couple of races will go to recounts, for sure).

New Jersey was disappointing, if only because the state will be saddled with the unimpressive Chris Christie for four years. Though he squandered a fifteen-point lead (mostly by his own missteps), it was tough for a Governor with a 30-something percent approval rating to hang on. In the final analysis, it was a four-point race (49-45-6), virtually identical to the NY-23 outcome.

Of course, there is a key difference--a Republican has represented New Jersey as a governor since the Civil War.

There was a small victory for the Democrats in New Jersey. They managed to hold onto almost all of their legislative majority, despite some predictions that the GOP could gain enough seats to reclaim the majority. When all was said and done, the GOP gained a single seat, leaving Democrats with a 47-33 majority in the Assembly.

And then there was Maine. In many ways (and, of course, in human terms), this was the most disappointing outcome of the night: Question 1 passed, and it appears as if it passed with enough of a margin that a recount will not be necessary. Of course, all available polling data teaches us that this is a battle that the forces of intolerance are going to lose--their base is withering away through the passage of time. But asking our gay friends for a little more patience seems incredibly wrong.

They will win their cause, we can only hope it will be sooner rather than later.

Man is made by his belief. As he believes, so he is.

Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Brazil
Timeline
Posted

why do you hate sausage fests?



* K1 Timeline *
* 04/07/06: I-129F Sent to NSC
* 10/02/06: Interview date - APPROVED!
* 10/10/06: POE Houston
* 11/25/06: Wedding day!!!

* AOS/EAD/AP Timeline *
*01/05/07: AOS/EAD/AP sent
*02/19/08: AOS approved
*02/27/08: Permanent Resident Card received

* LOC Timeline *
*12/31/09: Applied Lifting of Condition
*01/04/10: NOA
*02/12/10: Biometrics
*03/03/10: LOC approved
*03/11/10: 10 years green card received

* Naturalization Timeline *
*12/17/10: package sent
*12/29/10: NOA date
*01/19/11: biometrics
*04/12/11: interview
*04/15/11: approval letter
*05/13/11: Oath Ceremony - Officially done with Immigration.

Complete Timeline

Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Brazil
Timeline
Posted

i hate pig in a blanket



* K1 Timeline *
* 04/07/06: I-129F Sent to NSC
* 10/02/06: Interview date - APPROVED!
* 10/10/06: POE Houston
* 11/25/06: Wedding day!!!

* AOS/EAD/AP Timeline *
*01/05/07: AOS/EAD/AP sent
*02/19/08: AOS approved
*02/27/08: Permanent Resident Card received

* LOC Timeline *
*12/31/09: Applied Lifting of Condition
*01/04/10: NOA
*02/12/10: Biometrics
*03/03/10: LOC approved
*03/11/10: 10 years green card received

* Naturalization Timeline *
*12/17/10: package sent
*12/29/10: NOA date
*01/19/11: biometrics
*04/12/11: interview
*04/15/11: approval letter
*05/13/11: Oath Ceremony - Officially done with Immigration.

Complete Timeline

Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: China
Timeline
Posted

what's the issue? come on - who's lowering my taxes?

Sometimes my language usage seems confusing - please feel free to 'read it twice', just in case !
Ya know, you can find the answer to your question with the advanced search tool, when using a PC? Ditch the handphone, come back later on a PC, and try again.

-=-=-=-=-=R E A D ! ! !=-=-=-=-=-

Whoa Nelly ! Want NVC Info? see http://www.visajourney.com/wiki/index.php/NVC_Process

Congratulations on your approval ! We All Applaud your accomplishment with Most Wonderful Kissies !

 

Filed: Country: Philippines
Timeline
Posted
...who's lowering my taxes?

Speaking of taxes - the Republican approach to taxes is like a patriarchal-type husband who gives his wife the checkbook and tells her to take care of the bills while balancing the checkbook, but never deposits enough of his paycheck to cover the monthly expenses. When she tells him the electricity is about to be shut off if the bill isn't paid, he simply tells her to cut back on spending. An irresponsible, backwards, backass way of managing your finances.

 

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