Bayareaguy

Great news for the CSC K1'ers!!!!

How does one plan accordingly?

Buy ammo.

For myself, the beneficiary. I consider this:

1. This is a "goal" of the USCIS. When you make a goal, you try to make it.

They are not trying. Not even close.

2. I do not have any right to this country (being America) and therefore, cannot complain about processing times. If you think America's are long, I've heard that Canada is longer and harder to get into.

I am American, and I really dont care how long it takes to get into Canada.

3. Granted we all "have needs" and the USCIS isn't going to start taking favourites to any applications. There is direction and expectations of workers of the USCIS.

They are working on other applications other than I-129F's. Why, I really dont care. They should work on all cases fairly and equally.

(although I calculated it to be the 25th of July, based on 1.5 VJ approvals per day).

CSC, VSC, or combined?

Of the last 50 NOA2, 5 were from CSC. There is a difference between CSC and VSC, and has been for the past few months.

CSC is about 0.5 per day, VSC is on about 4 per day. Look at the data people.

Most likely they have concentrated on other petitions for a time, it happens. Be aware that this Igor's list is but a tiny fraction of what is received and hundreds of petitions could be approved and not "hit" one on Igor's list, and then even if they do, the person needs to update their timeline. It is a completely imprecise method to determine what is happening except as a broad gauge.

If I depended on such data for my job I would be fired within a month.

It's about 7%

http://www.visajourney.com/forums/topic/415853-the-differences-between-csc-and-vsc-noa-2s/

Yes, this is going to have error compared to the actual data, but to have only about 1 NOA2 every other day, when you should have about 3-4 a day, for 3 months? Look at the data, and past data, and see for yourself.

But you can't blame them! They have no fault and they deserve to get their applications reviewed in a speedy way. WE just have to be patient

So we don't deserve to have ours processed in a reasonable time? And who gets to decide who is more deserving?

The stated goal is 5 months for processing I-129F's...they are behind their goal...they need to use their resources to get back on track. End of story.

If I had to guess, I would say DACA (The Executive Order for staying deportation of illegals who came here as children, similar to the DREAM Act but definitely not the same thing) is consuming a lot of resources for USCIS because a lot of petitions have been filed. Meanwhile, with Congress slashing the federal budget left and right, I am sure they have not been able to hire additional officers to handle the extra work. Hence the longer backlog.

The USCIS funding structure is one of the principal challenges to efficient and timely delivery of immigration services. The manner in which USCIS obtains its funding affects every facet of USCIS operations, including the ability to: (1) implement new program and processing initiatives; (2) begin information technology and other transformation efforts; and (3) plan for the future. Congress mandates that USCIS be self-funded. This includes covering the cost of programs for which the agency charges no fees, i.e., “unfunded mandates,” such as asylum and refugee processing and U.S. armed forces naturalization filings, as well as operational overhead and information technology modernization.

And they are getting a lot of money from all of those submitted DACA applications.

Here's some more data: http://www.visajourney.com/forums/topic/415853-the-differences-between-csc-and-vsc-noa-2s/

Congrtz, but no one knows how they process, many of u before they are waiting for their NOA-2, including me, i really pray for one of VJs named Sahs, he is 18th July-2012 filler but still waiting, see ur luck lol n dance as much as u can..............

Looking at the graph on Igors list, slightly more than 50% of July filers have been approved, and only ~15% of August filers have their NOA 2.

http://www.visajourney.com/timeline/monthly_filers.php?cfl=

Yes. Look at Igor's list and you'll see submissions with NOA1s as recent as August 31st 2012 receiving NOA2s now. http://www.visajourney.com/timeline/monthly_filers.php?cfl=

At 15 NOA 2's in one month, that does not give much hope. There should be a few a day if they are processing at the same rate they are receiving.

But, you might be one of the lucky ones.

It's almost like a Ponzi scheme, where a very few people get their NOA2's and gives the majority hope...but when you look at the numbers, it doesn't look good. http://www.visajourney.com/forums/topic/415853-the-differences-between-csc-and-vsc-noa-2s/

Getting slower! Comeon now be finished!

Don't be fooled by the February data...it is only half of February's data. Multiply those numbers by 2, and it is not slowing much at all.

I beleive California received like 4 times the amount of DACA applications than VT since they are more people in CA applying for it. I'd guess VT manage to digest the 100K of application they got while CSC is just in a middle of it cashing checks and entering applications.

I couldn't find any data on any breakdown of applicants to service center. For all we know, all of them are being processed in CSC...Have you found any service enter specific data?

I do find it interesting that they are very on top of putting out the data for DACA (they update every half month, you can even get the data up to Feb 15 now), while they only have updated through november for K1 data. I guess we can see who is important, and who is not.

Great!

The CSC continues to trickle them out

They do everything exactly on time, believe me.

On average per month how many VJ users never actually update their timelines?

What is the actual number of applications' received by both service centre's per each of those months?

Looking at Igors list, it looks like the NOA2's to NOA1's tops out around 85%. Some of those have not updated their profiles I'm sure. Some may have cancelled their petition. Some may have been denied as well. I assume the number of those are more or less consistent through time, so it would still be a valid comparison.

Looking at CSC, They average about 1880 NOA1's a month, compared to VJ data, which is about 125/month, so that is 6.6% of the USCIS data, again, close to the 7% seen for NOA2's. I did ignore the last few months of VJ data to get the average, as there is the affect of visa filers "discovering VJ" after filing their NOA1.

why the curren wait times are so extendet if when you call to the embasssy to ask they are telling you 4 to 6 months? We are passing now the 5th month since NOA1 and we really hope to have NOA soon.

The embassy doesn't know what they are talking about. Call USCIS if you really want to know.

but was born in new jerz.

I think that was the problem.

But do you think that you might have been part of the problem? Don't mind me, just thinking out loud.

if the current timeline estimates on this website are reasonably accurate, then i'd say they're moving "on time".

anyway, nothing is certain.

Looking at the data, CSC is most definitely not on time.

But you're right, nothing is certain, and it could pick up at any time.

It's so bad for CSC K1 applicants that this is what it has come to...we are happy to receive an RFE.

There are relationship red flags in your post, but filing an I-129F a month after being divorced is not a red flag to USCIS. It might be something asked about in the Visa interview.[quote name=juju ' timestamp='1361308756' post='5990648]

I need your opinion

I met my fiancee last year August 2011 when he was on delployment. We become friends and later become a couple, month goes by i keep asking him if he is married? And i always end up with an answer that his not married. As a couple i can say that i feel blessed, happy, and contented with my partner. Middle of 2012 i was suprise when he told me that he is married i break up with him and stop seeing him, i dont even listen to his explanation what are the reason behind why he lied to me, i was hurt! Month pass by our path crosses again he expalin to me everything and he told me that their marriage is over and he is about to file a divorce to her wife but since his on deployment he cannot proceed on the application. I ask lot of question why? Why? Why? And why me?? After all the drama our relationship countinue, he meet my family and showed the sincerity to marry me. July 2012 he went back to US as his deployment is over... August 2012 my fiancee and her wife sign and filled a divorce... Dec. 2012 divored filled finally over.

now my is question...

My fiancee file our I-129 K1 Jan 2013, it would be a red flag for our k1? I know were not the only couple whose having same issue.

CSC has prioritized other applications over I-129F's, it seems.

There are plenty of people slowly but surely being approved from July and August '12 right now.

False.

I wouldn't call 30 people in 2 months "plenty" when the rate of NOA1 applicants on VJ is over 100/month.

Anyways they are working on August 2012 case sand when I called them a week ago they said that I should be getting a respond by the end of this month and as far as I have seen lots and lots of August fillers are getting their NOA 2 in the past 7 days which is phenomenon and you will soon hear a good news....

I wouldn't call "2" NOA 2's in 7 days "lots and lots". If you are counting VSC, then sure. But CSC still looks to be stifled.

Who would be the congressman of California??? If you could plz let me know and I contacted the senator Barbara Boxer a month ago with no respond from her up until now

It depends on what district you live in.

http://m.house.gov/representatives/

http://www.house.gov/representatives/find/

Yes, there is no dream act yet.

But there is DACA, which USCIS began accepting applications for on August 15. And those do appear to be impacting application processing, specifically for CSC K1s. Not sure about other types as I have only been following K1s.