Timeline dates accuracy?

[Jessicacallum 14]

So I personally am going through the I-129f application for the k1 visa and I just have a question about the timelines I want to find out how accurate they really are.

I know they depend on people actually updating there timeline cause I presume people use it untill they get their good news and forget about this site that has helped them all through it and them updating there timeline will help others in the situation.

So can anybody verify these timlines are accurate with a tolerance or has anyboy experienced a better date or a significantly worse date.

[N&S 32]

Personally for me initially it wasn't very accurate then started moving around very erratically and then on the final stretch was reasonably accurate. I would say you're still too early in the game to get much sensible data from it - check on Igor's List where your service center is currently that might give you a better indication...

[Mufmer 24]

For me it was just late of 17 days of my actual approval, so at least u can hope for the best...

[dwinge 34]

For us, some steps took longer and some were shorter but in the end the overall time was pretty accurate.

[Jessicacallum 14]

Well I think something should be done about inactive accounts as I have looked through igors for just my service centre and there at least 20 accounts that havnt been logged into since June and before.

[Nich-Nick 3,353]

So I personally am going through the I-129f application for the k1 visa and I just have a question about the timelines I want to find out how accurate they really are.

I know they depend on people actually updating there timeline cause I presume people use it untill they get their good news and forget about this site that has helped them all through it and them updating there timeline will help others in the situation.

So can anybody verify these timlines are accurate with a tolerance or has anyboy experienced a better date or a significantly worse date.

If you are talking about the predicted date given--it is an average so some are faster and some are slower.

A problem with Texas Service Center is many put that because they mail to a lockbox in Texas. That is only a receiving station in Texas, not the Texas Service Center. The NOA1 usually says Vermont or California as the actual service center. And when Vermont got way far behind they shipped out a load for Texas Service Center to work on, even though they normally don't do i-129Fs. Some changed their profile to TSC while others left it VSC. I would say yours being currently set at TSC is less accurate because of those issues.

As far as abandoned accounts, Capt Ewok the head admin/owner posted once that his prediction formula disregards out of date and timelines that appear abandoned. Periodically there is also a house cleaning also I believe.

[Jessicacallum 14]

If you are talking about the predicted date given--it is an average so some are faster and some are slower.

A problem with Texas Service Center is many put that because they mail to a lockbox in Texas. That is only a receiving station in Texas, not the Texas Service Center. The NOA1 usually says Vermont or California as the actual service center. And when Vermont got way far behind they shipped out a load for Texas Service Center to work on, even though they normally don't do i-129Fs. Some changed their profile to TSC while others left it VSC. I would say yours being currently set at TSC is less accurate because of those issues.

As far as abandoned accounts, Capt Ewok the head admin/owner posted once that his prediction formula disregards out of date and timelines that appear abandoned. Periodically there is also a house cleaning also I believe.

Our case is being done through the Texas service center they have only just started doing them

Out receipt number begins with SRC followed by the file numbers, SRC is the Texas service center not the lock box. If you look on igors list you will find out that cases around our time are through Texas

[Allanah and Chris 8]

So I personally am going through the I-129f application for the k1 visa and I just have a question about the timelines I want to find out how accurate they really are.

I know they depend on people actually updating there timeline cause I presume people use it untill they get their good news and forget about this site that has helped them all through it and them updating there timeline will help others in the situation.

So can anybody verify these timlines are accurate with a tolerance or has anyboy experienced a better date or a significantly worse date.

Provided the system doesn't have a hiccup, you can trust the timeline. During our K-1 process there was a hiccup (VSC->TSC transfer) and we'll be 264 days from NOA1 to Interview. Many people applied far after us and are interviewing far before we are.

It is a total ####### shoot :-)

So, my advice would be to take a low ball of 6 months and a high ball of 12 months from NOA1 to Interview and plan accordingly.

[Nich-Nick 3,353]

Our case is being done through the Texas service center they have only just started doing them

Out receipt number begins with SRC followed by the file numbers, SRC is the Texas service center not the lock box. If you look on igors list you will find out that cases around our time are through Texas

All I meant was some screw up the TSC data because they think lockbox=service center and never go back and change it. So TSC could have some odd extra profiles or lingering stats from the workload shift.

[d3adc0d3 186]

It depends on what is going on.

There's not a lot of data on Texas, so the timeline for them will vary rather widely.

California will be pretty accurate, but any disaster or sudden influx of petitions can cause delays.

My case was one of the transfers to Texas and I would check my timeline estimates every day and it was constantly changing.

The timelines take the estimated processing times from the USCIS website, the data from people's timelines filing the same petitions to the same service center, and calculate an average.

If for any reason people are not updating their timelines regularly, or the USCIS website is massively out of date, or any other extenuating circumstances it will not be accurate.

But for a general idea, just check it once a week and see if it changes drastically, but don't make ANY plans or purchase tickets until you have your visa in hand.

I personally would recommend a courthouse wedding to appease the 90 day visa requirement, and then plan your BIG wedding after. No one has to know it's not the legal ceremony, and there is less stress on you without that time crunch.

Edited August 22, 2013 by d3adc0d3

[Jessicacallum 14]

It depends on what is going on.

There's not a lot of data on Texas, so the timeline for them will vary rather widely.

California will be pretty accurate, but any disaster or sudden influx of petitions can cause delays.

My case was one of the transfers to Texas and I would check my timeline estimates every day and it was constantly changing.

The timelines take the estimated processing times from the USCIS website, the data from people's timelines filing the same petitions to the same service center, and calculate an average.

If for any reason people are not updating their timelines regularly, or the USCIS website is massively out of date, or any other extenuating circumstances it will not be accurate.

But for a general idea, just check it once a week and see if it changes drastically, but don't make ANY plans or purchase tickets until you have your visa in hand.

I personally would recommend a courthouse wedding to appease the 90 day visa requirement, and then plan your BIG wedding after. No one has to know it's not the legal ceremony, and there is less stress on you without that time crunch.

Oh we planned on a cheap courthouse wedding just to get the wedding done and be married and after that get the AOS going and have a bigger wedding