July 2011 Visa Bulletin

[KhanI 2]

KhanI: I think for you it is just a matter of 2-3 months more. I beleive you will have an interview scheduled by then!Keep praying!

yeah i have waited so long HOPEFULY I can get a INTERVIEW for her... i want her to come to the states. If i get the interview that would be my happiest day of my life... :dance:

[Mahrukh 2]

yeah i have waited so long HOPEFULY I can get a INTERVIEW for her... i want her to come to the states. If i get the interview that would be my happiest day of my life... :dance:

I completely understand your situation! I am also going through the same phase..I will also be very happy if you get the interview soon. I read you tragic story. My sympathies are with you! I will pray for you! May Allah bless you and all of us. Ameen.

GO JULY VISA bulletin!!!!! DO something for us!!!!

[Kanchi110 4]

I completely understand your situation! I am also going through the same phase..I will also be very happy if you get the interview soon. I read you tragic story. My sympathies are with you! I will pray for you! May Allah bless you and all of us. Ameen.

GO JULY VISA bulletin!!!!! DO something for us!!!!

Ameen

[KhanI 2]

couple of weeks hope hope

[visabulletin 3]

Jumpin to 2008.

[KhanI 2]

Jumpin to 2008.

lets wait n see

[Mahrukh 2]

Well this is confirmed that visa bulletin for the July 2010 wont move ahead JAN 08 because if you see the previous retrogressions in F2A category, the visa bulletin's cut off date comes back to exactly same date from where it retrogressed! Like this time it retrogressed from 1AUG 2010 to 1JAN 2008 and similarly it further retrogressed to 1JAN 2007. Now first it will come back to 1JAN 2008 and then it will also come back to 1AUG 2010 some day and then it will start to move forward. As an example I have copied some data from previous retrogressions in F2A for INDIA and most and other countries.

1. 2001 Mar. 22-Sep-96

2. 2001Apr. 22-Sep-96

3. 2001 May 22-Sep-96

4. 2001 June 22-Sep-96

5. 2001 July 22-Sep-96

6. 2001 Aug. 1-Jan-95

7. 2001 Sept.1-Feb-95

8. 2001 Oct. 22-Sep-96

9. 2001 Nov. 22-Sep-96

10. 2001 Dec. 22-Sep-96

Also see the following:

1. 2006 Apr. 1-Mar-02

2. 2006 May 1-Mar-02

3. 2006 June 22-Apr-01

4. 2006 July 1-Sep-99

5. 2006 Aug. 8-Sep-99

6. 2006 Sep. 22-Sep-99

7. 2006 Oct. 22-Apr-01

8. 2006 Nov. 1-Sep-01

9. 2006 Dec. 1-Mar-02

I hope what I am trying to say here makes sense. So what I think the next month's cut off date would in OCT 07 or JAN 08. Best of Luck Everybody!

[ylshenaire 0]

so that will be good,, if it will come back to aug2010.. then it will continue move forward.. cos my pd is oct2010... heehe! best of luck! =) more patience for us... =)

[PD is Current. 50]

what I think the next month's cut off date would in OCT 07 or JAN 08. Best of Luck Everybody!

I've also analyzed the historic cut-off date data (91 to now).

The big retrogression that happen in 8/2001 and 6/2006 recovered within 2 months and 6 months respectively to the date before the retrogression. We're also seeing similar trend here, we're recovering back to the cut-off date before regression, i.e. 4/2010 where the wait time was 3.78yrs. Current wait time is 3.72 years.

The key difference is that the last two retrogression did not happen prior to a big forward movement like in 5/2010.

This is my theory :

2009 was a bad year for everyone, financial crisis, massive layoff, F2A applicant rates dropped significantly, USCIS collect a lot less fees, they had to create cash flow to save their jobs also, therefore they open up the gate for F2A to create massive applications (= $$$$$$$$), their jobs are saved once money's collected and now plenty to do, they close the gate and started chilling , relaxing again on our cases.

They created rapid movement because F2A visa usage was low and I think it's all because of the bad year in 2009.

The next few cut-off dates will indicate whether there's a real reduction in wait time for us or it was just a once in a lifetime thing...

[KhanI 2]

I've also analyzed the historic cut-off date data (91 to now).

The big retrogression that happen in 8/2001 and 6/2006 recovered within 2 months and 6 months respectively to the date before the retrogression. We're also seeing similar trend here, we're recovering back to the cut-off date before regression, i.e. 4/2010 where the wait time was 3.78yrs. Current wait time is 3.72 years.

The key difference is that the last two retrogression did not happen prior to a big forward movement like in 5/2010.

This is my theory :

2009 was a bad year for everyone, financial crisis, massive layoff, F2A applicant rates dropped significantly, USCIS collect a lot less fees, they had to create cash flow to save their jobs also, therefore they open up the gate for F2A to create massive applications (= $$$$$$$$), their jobs are saved once money's collected and now plenty to do, they close the gate and started chilling , relaxing again on our cases.

They created rapid movement because F2A visa usage was low and I think it's all because of the bad year in 2009.

The next few cut-off dates will indicate whether there's a real reduction in wait time for us or it was just a once in a lifetime thing...

hopefully once in a life time. lets see next month i think probally 3-4 month movement

[Sirach123 2]

I agree with your analyses folks. And I guess for those who already paid the AOS and IV there is possibility that interview is forthcoming within a year upon payment or else our money should earn interest, hehehe. Just a joke to keep thinking positively.

[longtrip 24]

Nov 2007

DEC 2008

[ylshenaire 0]

i guess.. aug2010. ahahah!

[Ankit 0]

There are many analysis of July 2011 visa bulletin , but I found the below one interesting. Their prediction is done on the deep study on the previous months bulletin published and based on that they predicted for the july month.

July 2011 Visa Bulletin

[KhanI 2]

There are many analysis of July 2011 visa bulletin , but I found the below one interesting. Their prediction is done on the deep study on the previous months bulletin published and based on that they predicted for the july month.

July 2011 Visa Bulletin

"F2A Visa cut-off dates for all countries other than Mexico will have a date in OCT07 to DEC07. Mexico cut-off date will be 01JAN08"

i wont mind a JAN 08 OR A DEC07 AS long as it is moving forward you know :thumbs: :thumbs:

Edited May 25, 2011 by KhanI