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Fay really likes Florida

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Kathryn41 Grand Master

Kathryn41   3,205

Posted
Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Canada
 Timeline
Posted (edited)

Most recent weather forecast for Fay- at 11 am (1 hour ago):

WTNT41 KNHC 201444

TCDAT1

TROPICAL STORM FAY DISCUSSION NUMBER 20

NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL062008

1100 AM EDT WED AUG 20 2008

FAY HAS BEEN OVER LAND LONGER THAN ANTICIPATED AND IT HAS CONTINUED

TO WEAKEN. THE SATELLITE PRESENTATION HAS DETERIORATED SIGNIFICANTLY

SINCE YESTERDAY. HOWEVER...THERE ARE NUMEROUS RAINBANDS PRIMARILY

OVER WATER AND THE OUTFLOW IS WELL DEFINED. THE INITIAL INTENSITY

HAS BEEN SET TO 45 KNOTS BASED ON RECONNAISSANCE DATA AND THE SFMR.

SOME HIGHER WIND GUSTS ARE PROBABLY OCCURRING OVER WATER ASSOCIATED

WITH SOME RAINBANDS. ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR

SOME STRENGTHENING IF THE CENTER MOVES OVER WATER AS EXPECTED. THE

OFFICIAL FORECAST NO LONGER FORECASTS FAY TO BECOME A HURRICANE DUE

TO THE CYCLONE'S INTERACTION WITH THE FLORIDA PENINSULA BUT ALLOWS

SOME STRENGTHENING. ONLY THE HWRF INSISTS ON INTENSIFICATION BEFORE

LANDFALL. A LITTLE DEVIATION OF THE TRACK TO THE LEFT WOULD KEEP

THE CENTER OVER LAND AND INTENSIFICATION WILL NOT OCCUR.

FAY HAS BEEN MOVING VERY SLOWLY TOWARD THE NORTH...ABOUT 3 KNOTS...

WHILE EMBEDDED WITHIN VERY LIGHT STEERING CURRENTS. A MID-LEVEL

RIDGE IS FORECAST TO DEVELOP NORTH OF FAY AND THIS PATTERN SHOULD

STEER THE CYCLONE TOWARD THE WEST OR WEST-NORTHWEST. THIS OFFICIAL

FORECAST KEEPS THE CENTER VERY NEAR THE EAST COAST OF NORTH FLORIDA

FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS AND THEN MOVES THE CYCLONE INLAND UNTIL IT

BECOMES A REMNANT LOW. IN THE LONG RANGE...SOME GLOBAL MODELS TURN

FAY WESTWARD ACROSS NORTH FLORIDA AND INTO THE NORTHEASTERN GULF OF

MEXICO. THIS SCENARIO IS NOT LIKELY TO OCCUR BUT I WOULD NOT RULE

OUT THE POSSIBILITY YET GIVEN THE GOOD PERFORMANCE OF THE GLOBAL

MODELS.

http://www.crownweather.com/fay.html

Edited by Kathryn41

“...Isn't it splendid to think of all the things there are to find out about? It just makes me feel glad to be alive--it's such an interesting world. It wouldn't be half so interesting if we knew all about everything, would it? There'd be no scope for imagination then, would there?”

.― Lucy Maude Montgomery, Anne of Green Gables

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Another Member of the VJ Fluffy Kitty Posse!

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Sinergy Mentor

Sinergy   3

Posted
Filed: AOS (apr) Country: Romania
 Timeline
Posted

this is the update i got in my email:

...TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT...

...NEW INFORMATION... TROPICAL STORM FAY IS EXPECTED TO EMERGE OFF THE COAST OF EAST- CENTRAL FLORIDA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON AND BECOME A HURRICANE OVER THE COASTAL WATERS. THIS HAS RESULTED IN THE POSTING OF A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH FOR INLAND AREAS OF SOUTHEAST GEORGIA.

...AREAS AFFECTED... THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY PERSONS IN... NORTHEAST FLORIDA.

...WATCHES/WARNINGS... A TROPICAL STORM WIND WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT THROUGH LATE THURSDAY NIGHT.

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"VJ Timelines are only an estimate, they are not actual approval dates! They only reflect VJ members. VJ Timelines do not include the thousands of applicants who do not use VJ"

IF YOU ARE NEW TO THE SITE, PLEASE READ THE GUIDES BEFORE ASKING ALOT OF QUESTIONS. THE GUIDES ARE VERY HELPFUL AND WILL SAVE YOU ALOT OF TIME!

chri'stina Veteran

chri'stina   190

Posted
Filed: Other Country: India
 Timeline
  • Author
Posted

Thanks for that Kathryn.

It seems the meteorologists actually get disappointed when a storm weakens or falls apart. I know they don't want a very strong hurricane to happen but the words they use sometimes..."over water is the best chance for the storm to strengthen..." Best chance? You mean worst case? :lol: They say things like that all the time.

Married since 9-18-04(All K1 visa & GC details in timeline.)

Ishu tum he mere Prabhu:::Jesus you are my Lord

Sinergy Mentor

Sinergy   3

Posted
Filed: AOS (apr) Country: Romania
 Timeline
Posted
anyone know why they always publish this stuff in caps?

Drama :)

vj2.jpgvj.jpg

"VJ Timelines are only an estimate, they are not actual approval dates! They only reflect VJ members. VJ Timelines do not include the thousands of applicants who do not use VJ"

IF YOU ARE NEW TO THE SITE, PLEASE READ THE GUIDES BEFORE ASKING ALOT OF QUESTIONS. THE GUIDES ARE VERY HELPFUL AND WILL SAVE YOU ALOT OF TIME!

Sinergy Mentor

Sinergy   3

Posted
Filed: AOS (apr) Country: Romania
 Timeline
Posted
anyone know why they always publish this stuff in caps?

Drama :)

no, even when its good weather... always in caps.

they let noobs type :blush:

vj2.jpgvj.jpg

"VJ Timelines are only an estimate, they are not actual approval dates! They only reflect VJ members. VJ Timelines do not include the thousands of applicants who do not use VJ"

IF YOU ARE NEW TO THE SITE, PLEASE READ THE GUIDES BEFORE ASKING ALOT OF QUESTIONS. THE GUIDES ARE VERY HELPFUL AND WILL SAVE YOU ALOT OF TIME!

Sinergy Mentor

Sinergy   3

Posted
Filed: AOS (apr) Country: Romania
 Timeline
Posted
anyone know why they always publish this stuff in caps?

Would you prefer everything in bold? :lol:

yes, with a devil icon at the end of every sentence in lieu of a period

:lol:

vj2.jpgvj.jpg

"VJ Timelines are only an estimate, they are not actual approval dates! They only reflect VJ members. VJ Timelines do not include the thousands of applicants who do not use VJ"

IF YOU ARE NEW TO THE SITE, PLEASE READ THE GUIDES BEFORE ASKING ALOT OF QUESTIONS. THE GUIDES ARE VERY HELPFUL AND WILL SAVE YOU ALOT OF TIME!

chri'stina Veteran

chri'stina   190

Posted
Filed: Other Country: India
 Timeline
  • Author
Posted
anyone know why they always publish this stuff in caps?

Drama :)

no, even when its good weather... always in caps.

It's probably just how the system is set up. I know some people have to only use caps at their jobs b/c that's how the computer system works and recognizes it. You probably know that since you are a computer person. :P But that may be a reason, who knows.

Married since 9-18-04(All K1 visa & GC details in timeline.)

Ishu tum he mere Prabhu:::Jesus you are my Lord

HAL 9000 Grand Master

HAL 9000   96

Posted
Filed: AOS (apr) Country: Colombia
 Timeline
Posted
anyone know why they always publish this stuff in caps?

Would you prefer everything in bold? :lol:

yes, with a devil icon at the end of every sentence in lieu of a period

:lol:

Wishing you ten-fold that which you wish upon all others.

chri'stina Veteran

chri'stina   190

Posted
Filed: Other Country: India
 Timeline
  • Author
Posted

I've been on message boards where a person said "don't be offended at my caps, I have to use them while working so I don't switch it while typing on the board." So some people still have to do that. I think when I used the old school computer system at a car dealership I worked at years ago, it was only caps used in the program and print outs.

Married since 9-18-04(All K1 visa & GC details in timeline.)

Ishu tum he mere Prabhu:::Jesus you are my Lord

*JG* Grand Master

*JG*   2

Posted
Filed: Country: Jamaica
 Timeline
Posted
Thanks for that Kathryn.

It seems the meteorologists actually get disappointed when a storm weakens or falls apart. I know they don't want a very strong hurricane to happen but the words they use sometimes..."over water is the best chance for the storm to strengthen..." Best chance? You mean worst case? :lol: They say things like that all the time.

Worst case for people and property. Best chance for the storm to do anything.

Life's just a crazy ride on a run away train

You can't go back for what you've missed

So make it count, hold on tight find a way to make it right

You only get one trip

So make it good, make it last 'cause it all flies by so fast

You only get one trip

 

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