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GaryC

Giuliani 47% Clinton 44%; Clinton 48% Thompson 44%

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Posted

It's a very close race. I am looking forward to see how it all comes out.

Friday, August 31, 2007

Former New York City Mayor Rudy Giuliani leads New York Senator Hillary Clinton 47% to 44% in the latest Rasmussen Reports national telephone survey. A month ago, Giuliani enjoyed a seven-point edge.

In six polls conducted between November 2006 and April of this year, Giuliani was ahead of Clinton each time with margins ranging from two to nine points. The match-up between the frontrunners tightened from May to early July. During that stretch, the two candidates were within a point of each other four times. Clinton led by a single point in a July 10 survey, the only time all year she’s topped Giuliani in a national poll.

However, the last two polls show Giuliani ahead once again.

The latest poll also shows Clinton leading former Tennessee Senator Fred Thompson 48% to 44%. Thompson, who will formally announce his candidacy next Thursday, has been closely matched with Clinton in six polls conducted since March. The candidates have been within one point of each other in three of the six polls while Clinton has enjoyed a 3 or 4 point lead in the others.

This week, Rasmussen Reports released state polling data matching Clinton against Giuliani, Thompson, and two other leading Republican candidates. These results show that close contests are expected in Missouri and Pennsylvania while Democrats can feel more comfortable about Illinois and New York.

Other recent state polls have been released in Ohio, Florida, Arkansas, Wisconsin, Michigan, Oregon, Colorado, and New Hampshire.

Both Clinton and Giuliani lead their respective nomination races. But Clinton's lead is much bigger and there is currently more potential to shake up the GOP race.

In Primary Polls, Clinton leads all Democrats in New Hampshire, South Carolina, and Florida.

The Republican Primary picture is more muddled. Romney leads in New Hampshire, Thompson leads in South Carolina, and Giuliani is on top in Florida.

Clinton is now viewed favorably by 49% of all likely voters, unfavorably by 49% too. While her numbers have moved up and down a bit throughout the year, Clinton generally attracts a roughly equal number of favorable and unfavorable views. She also attracts a far larger number of people with strongly held opinions than any other candidate.

Rudy Giuliani continues to regain popularity. He is now viewed favorably by 56%, the second straight poll in which he’s gained two-points. In late July and early August he hit a low of 50% favorable. Earlier in the year, his favorable rating topped the 70% mark.

Fred Thompson is still unknown to 20% of voters, compared to 1% Not Sure what to think of Clinton, 4% Not Sure of Giuliani. Thompson is viewed favorably by 41%, unfavorably by 39%.

A plurality (42%) consider Thompson to be a political conservative. By contrast, a plurality (46%) consider Giuliani a moderate. A majority of 57% are confident that Clinton is a liberal.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_con..._48_thompson_44

Filed: AOS (apr) Country: England
Timeline
Posted

Did you hear the story about Chelsea Clinton interviewing a US Marine returning from Iraq? She asked him, "Who do you think are the biggest threats to American National Security?", and he said, "Osama, Obama and yo' Mamma!"

Hilary will just damage the US further if she becomes President. Someone more moderate like Obama would be a good choice but personally I like Fred Thompson. President Thompson has a certain ring to it that I like perhaps because we share a common last name... :whistle:

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Filed: K-3 Visa Country: Mexico
Timeline
Posted

should be interestig indeed. :yes:

so, given the number we see now, the US will be looking at a prez of NY.

not bad. i could live happily with either one.

Daniel

:energetic:

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Timeline
Posted
should be interestig indeed. :yes:

so, given the number we see now, the US will be looking at a prez of NY.

not bad. i could live happily with either one.

Daniel

:energetic:

Me too, Daniel, me too.

phew! :D

I was expecting a lashing from you. :lol:

Daniel

:energetic:

Ana (Mexico) ------ Daniel (California)(me)

---------------------------------------------

Sept. 11, 2004: Got married (civil), in Mexico :D

July 23, 2005: Church wedding

===============================

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zzzz deep hibernationn zzzz

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off to NVC.

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Posted
I don't think we have ever had a 'Fred' for prez before :wacko:

He is too sexy for his shirt

So sexy it hurts

thompson.jpg

...I don't think it's Fred who's hurting to take off his top.

Who was that, Right Said Fred or something

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United States & Republic of the Philippines

"Life is hard; it's harder if you're stupid." John Wayne

Filed: Timeline
Posted
should be interestig indeed. :yes:

so, given the number we see now, the US will be looking at a prez of NY.

not bad. i could live happily with either one.

Daniel

:energetic:

Me too, Daniel, me too.

phew! :D

I was expecting a lashing from you. :lol:

Daniel

:energetic:

Nah. Guiliani is a liberal at heart, pro-choice & all. He did a pretty good job in NYC overall & a great job with 9/11. I'd be OK with him as Prez.

Posted

I'm personally a single issue anti-war voter. If I can find a fiscal conservative who holds that opinnion, even better. Thus my first choice for president is definitely the Republican Ron Paul. A second choise would be the Democrat Dennis Kucinich and a third choice would be Mike Huckabee, also a Republican. At this point the opinnion polls matter very little or even not at all. Anything is still possible (believe me, I'm a political scientist so I look at polling numbers all the time for various ellections around the globe). As I'm not a US citizen, I cannot personally vote but after I get my greencard I can still put $2,300 towards the candidate I support the most. I don't think there will be a major change in policy if some of the current top tiers win. Clinton, Obama, Edwards, Thompson, Romney and McCain are almost clones of each other opinnion vice. If you don't believe me, check this out (it is a Karhunen-Loève transform of this data).

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Timeline
Posted

Psst...honey, you can't vote yet :) Give it 3 years.

I'm not a single issue voter...but I definitely prefer candidates that show consistency in their stances :P Where's the anti-war Democratic candidate (aside from Kucinich)? From what I've seen, heard, and read of Clinton and Obama, neither one of them have come out 100% in favor of pulling out. Hilary won't even rule out going into Iran :blink: This is her anti-war stance? Whaaat??

For detailed timeline, see member timeline data.

You have rights antecedent to all earthly governments: rights that cannot be repealed or restrained by human laws; rights derived from the Great Legislator of the universe.

--John Adams

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Setting a good example is a far better way to spread ideals than through force of arms.

--Ron Paul

Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Thailand
Timeline
Posted

I wish there was a candidate that ran on real issues other than gay rights, abortion etc. If a man wants to marry another man or a woman wants to marry another woman...good for them. That is between themselves and their maker. Last time I checked, abortion was a woman's right so quit trying to play off that. You aren't going to overturn Roe v. Wade so how about you focus on something else this time huh? I want a president that is going to focus on getting this country back on track...the big issues. Quit catering to the far left or the religious far right.

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