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[Master Thread] 2026 Political Candidates, Races, Elections, Analyses

By TBoneTX in Current Events and Hot Social Topics

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Ban Hammer Grand Master

Ban Hammer   15,222

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Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Brazil
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10 minutes ago, TBoneTX said:

See the ad at bottom of the linked post.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~
DEEP DIVE:  The John Cornyn Failure Spiral

 

It's remarkable how quickly @JohnCornyn is falling apart.

 

The remarkable ad that @kenpaxtontx just dropped on him (below) directly attacked what Cornyn thought was his strength: his alleged support for @realDonaldTrump.

 

But, like Cornyn himself, that claim is brittle and fragile, and it shatters at the slightest contact with anything hard.  Cornyn spent tens of millions of dollars on primary ads in Texas – I saw them every night on Fox – bragging how he has had Trump's back.  But the Paxton ad shows that when Cornyn had Trump's back in his sights, he stabbed it.

 

What else does he have left to run on?  That Paxton is a bad guy?  Even if true, Paxton is never going to help the Democrats with gun control and will never support amnesty.  Cornyn will.  We know that because he has, and because he told us he's going to, respectively.  [...]

 

https://x.com/KurtSchlichter/status/2032835991350943806?s=20

actually, one CAN take classified documents out of a secure area.  how does he think they got in there to begin with?

* ~ * Charles * ~ *
 

I carry a gun because a cop is too heavy.

 

USE THE REPORT BUTTON INSTEAD OF MESSAGING A MODERATOR!

  • 1 month later...
TBoneTX Grand Master

TBoneTX   49,787

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One Senate RINO down.  John Cornyn has 10 days to join him.

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Louisiana Voters Just Ended Bill Cassidy's Senate Career After Two Terms and One Key Vote

 

Bill Cassidy voted to convict Donald Trump in February 2021.  Louisiana Republicans spent five years deciding what to do about it.  On Saturday, they gave their answer.


Cassidy, who has represented Louisiana in the U.S. Senate since 2015, did not finish in the top two of the Republican primary.  He will not advance to the June 27 runoff.  His Senate career is over.  [...]

 

https://redstate.com/joesquire/2026/05/16/cassidy-loses-louisiana-senate-primary-runoff-set-n2202409

06-04-2007 = TSC stamps postal return-receipt for I-129f.

06-11-2007 = NOA1 date (unknown to me).

07-20-2007 = Phoned Immigration Officer; got WAC#; where's NOA1?

09-25-2007 = Touch (first-ever).

09-28-2007 = NOA1, 23 days after their 45-day promise to send it (grrrr).

10-20 & 11-14-2007 = Phoned ImmOffs; "still pending."

12-11-2007 = 180 days; file is "between workstations, may be early Jan."; touches 12/11 & 12/12.

12-18-2007 = Call; file is with Division 9 ofcr. (bckgrnd check); e-prompt to shake it; touch.

12-19-2007 = NOA2 by e-mail & web, dated 12-18-07 (187 days; 201 per VJ); in mail 12/24/07.

01-09-2008 = File from USCIS to NVC, 1-4-08; NVC creates file, 1/15/08; to consulate 1/16/08.

01-23-2008 = Consulate gets file; outdated Packet 4 mailed to fiancee 1/27/08; rec'd 3/3/08.

04-29-2008 = Fiancee's 4-min. consular interview, 8:30 a.m.; much evidence brought but not allowed to be presented (consul: "More proof! Second interview! Bring your fiance!").

05-05-2008 = Infuriating $12 call to non-English-speaking consulate appointment-setter.

05-06-2008 = Better $12 call to English-speaker; "joint" interview date 6/30/08 (my selection).

06-30-2008 = Stokes Interrogations w/Ecuadorian (not USC); "wait 2 weeks; we'll mail her."

07-2008 = Daily calls to DOS: "currently processing"; 8/05 = Phoned consulate, got Section Chief; wrote him.

08-07-08 = E-mail from consulate, promising to issue visa "as soon as we get her passport" (on 8/12, per DHL).

08-27-08 = Phoned consulate (they "couldn't find" our file); visa DHL'd 8/28; in hand 9/1; through POE on 10/9 with NO hassles(!).

TBoneTX Grand Master

TBoneTX   49,787

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Posted

Fascinating analysis, and not boring.  Thoughts?

~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Will 2026 Be a Normal Midterm?

 

Although much can change before November and a great deal depends on the resolution of the Iran War, as matters now stand, conventional wisdom and early polling have it that Republicans will lose a significant number of seats and their slim House majority in the midterm.


Substantial in-party midterm losses are the rule (averaging 21 seats in recent midterms), but there are exceptions.  In three of the 28 post-1912 midterms, the president's party actually gained some seats (fewer than 10) and in another five the losses were minor (also fewer than 10).


The rare seat-gain midterms are Franklin D. Roosevelt's New Deal realignment midterm of 1934 with a soaring Depression-recovery economy (GDP up 10.8% in 1934), Bill Clinton's post-impeachment midterm in 1998 (with GDP up 4.5%) and George W. Bush's 2002 midterm a year after 9/11.  More on the 1934 midterm later.


The five midterms with minor losses for the president's party are [...]

 

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2026/05/19/will_2026_be_a_normal_midterm.html

06-04-2007 = TSC stamps postal return-receipt for I-129f.

06-11-2007 = NOA1 date (unknown to me).

07-20-2007 = Phoned Immigration Officer; got WAC#; where's NOA1?

09-25-2007 = Touch (first-ever).

09-28-2007 = NOA1, 23 days after their 45-day promise to send it (grrrr).

10-20 & 11-14-2007 = Phoned ImmOffs; "still pending."

12-11-2007 = 180 days; file is "between workstations, may be early Jan."; touches 12/11 & 12/12.

12-18-2007 = Call; file is with Division 9 ofcr. (bckgrnd check); e-prompt to shake it; touch.

12-19-2007 = NOA2 by e-mail & web, dated 12-18-07 (187 days; 201 per VJ); in mail 12/24/07.

01-09-2008 = File from USCIS to NVC, 1-4-08; NVC creates file, 1/15/08; to consulate 1/16/08.

01-23-2008 = Consulate gets file; outdated Packet 4 mailed to fiancee 1/27/08; rec'd 3/3/08.

04-29-2008 = Fiancee's 4-min. consular interview, 8:30 a.m.; much evidence brought but not allowed to be presented (consul: "More proof! Second interview! Bring your fiance!").

05-05-2008 = Infuriating $12 call to non-English-speaking consulate appointment-setter.

05-06-2008 = Better $12 call to English-speaker; "joint" interview date 6/30/08 (my selection).

06-30-2008 = Stokes Interrogations w/Ecuadorian (not USC); "wait 2 weeks; we'll mail her."

07-2008 = Daily calls to DOS: "currently processing"; 8/05 = Phoned consulate, got Section Chief; wrote him.

08-07-08 = E-mail from consulate, promising to issue visa "as soon as we get her passport" (on 8/12, per DHL).

08-27-08 = Phoned consulate (they "couldn't find" our file); visa DHL'd 8/28; in hand 9/1; through POE on 10/9 with NO hassles(!).

TBoneTX Grand Master

TBoneTX   49,787

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Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Ecuador
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Posted

About time, and VERY wise move.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Trump Endorses Paxton

 

[...] Ken Paxton has my Complete and Total Endorsement to be the next United States Senator from the Great State of Texas [...]

 

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116602192066577324

06-04-2007 = TSC stamps postal return-receipt for I-129f.

06-11-2007 = NOA1 date (unknown to me).

07-20-2007 = Phoned Immigration Officer; got WAC#; where's NOA1?

09-25-2007 = Touch (first-ever).

09-28-2007 = NOA1, 23 days after their 45-day promise to send it (grrrr).

10-20 & 11-14-2007 = Phoned ImmOffs; "still pending."

12-11-2007 = 180 days; file is "between workstations, may be early Jan."; touches 12/11 & 12/12.

12-18-2007 = Call; file is with Division 9 ofcr. (bckgrnd check); e-prompt to shake it; touch.

12-19-2007 = NOA2 by e-mail & web, dated 12-18-07 (187 days; 201 per VJ); in mail 12/24/07.

01-09-2008 = File from USCIS to NVC, 1-4-08; NVC creates file, 1/15/08; to consulate 1/16/08.

01-23-2008 = Consulate gets file; outdated Packet 4 mailed to fiancee 1/27/08; rec'd 3/3/08.

04-29-2008 = Fiancee's 4-min. consular interview, 8:30 a.m.; much evidence brought but not allowed to be presented (consul: "More proof! Second interview! Bring your fiance!").

05-05-2008 = Infuriating $12 call to non-English-speaking consulate appointment-setter.

05-06-2008 = Better $12 call to English-speaker; "joint" interview date 6/30/08 (my selection).

06-30-2008 = Stokes Interrogations w/Ecuadorian (not USC); "wait 2 weeks; we'll mail her."

07-2008 = Daily calls to DOS: "currently processing"; 8/05 = Phoned consulate, got Section Chief; wrote him.

08-07-08 = E-mail from consulate, promising to issue visa "as soon as we get her passport" (on 8/12, per DHL).

08-27-08 = Phoned consulate (they "couldn't find" our file); visa DHL'd 8/28; in hand 9/1; through POE on 10/9 with NO hassles(!).

Crazy Cat Grand Master

Crazy Cat   46,612

Posted
Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Taiwan
 Timeline
Posted
1 hour ago, TBoneTX said:

About time, and VERY wise move.
~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~~

Trump Endorses Paxton

 

[...] Ken Paxton has my Complete and Total Endorsement to be the next United States Senator from the Great State of Texas [...]

 

https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116602192066577324

Paxton will crush Talarico, imho.

"The US immigration process requires a great deal of knowledge, planning, time, patience, and a significant amount of money.  It is quite a journey!"

- Some old child of the 50's & 60's on his laptop 

 

Senior Master Sergeant, US Air Force- Retired (after 20+ years)- Missile Systems Maintenance & Titan 2 ICBM Launch Crew Duty (200+ Alert tours)

Registered Nurse- Retired- I practiced in the areas of Labor & Delivery, Home Health, Adolescent Psych, & Adult Psych.

IT Professional- Retired- Web Site Design, Hardware Maintenance, Compound Pharmacy Software Trainer, On-site go live support, Database Manager, App Designer.

______________________________________

In summary, it took 13 months for approval of the CR-1.  It took 44 months for approval of the I-751.  It took 4 months for approval of the N-400.   It took 172 days from N-400 application to Oath Ceremony.   It took 6 weeks for Passport, then 7 additional weeks for return of wife's Naturalization Certificate.. 
 

TBoneTX Grand Master

TBoneTX   49,787

Posted
Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Ecuador
 Timeline
  • Author
Posted (edited)
1 hour ago, Crazy Cat said:

Paxton will crush Talarico, imho.

We can hope.  Would like to see him crush Cornyn first, and decisively.

I don't know a single person who's voting for Cornyn.

---

In TX 18, which was condensed, new Congressman Christian Menefee (recently elected to fill a vacant seat) faces the infamous Al Green.

 

Green has been totally invisible.  I wonder if he sees the writing on the wall.

Menefee, as before, has run some actually very good TV commercials.

Menefee would be merely a younger version of Green, sadly.

And he's endorsed by (drum roll) Jasmine Crockett.

Edited by TBoneTX

06-04-2007 = TSC stamps postal return-receipt for I-129f.

06-11-2007 = NOA1 date (unknown to me).

07-20-2007 = Phoned Immigration Officer; got WAC#; where's NOA1?

09-25-2007 = Touch (first-ever).

09-28-2007 = NOA1, 23 days after their 45-day promise to send it (grrrr).

10-20 & 11-14-2007 = Phoned ImmOffs; "still pending."

12-11-2007 = 180 days; file is "between workstations, may be early Jan."; touches 12/11 & 12/12.

12-18-2007 = Call; file is with Division 9 ofcr. (bckgrnd check); e-prompt to shake it; touch.

12-19-2007 = NOA2 by e-mail & web, dated 12-18-07 (187 days; 201 per VJ); in mail 12/24/07.

01-09-2008 = File from USCIS to NVC, 1-4-08; NVC creates file, 1/15/08; to consulate 1/16/08.

01-23-2008 = Consulate gets file; outdated Packet 4 mailed to fiancee 1/27/08; rec'd 3/3/08.

04-29-2008 = Fiancee's 4-min. consular interview, 8:30 a.m.; much evidence brought but not allowed to be presented (consul: "More proof! Second interview! Bring your fiance!").

05-05-2008 = Infuriating $12 call to non-English-speaking consulate appointment-setter.

05-06-2008 = Better $12 call to English-speaker; "joint" interview date 6/30/08 (my selection).

06-30-2008 = Stokes Interrogations w/Ecuadorian (not USC); "wait 2 weeks; we'll mail her."

07-2008 = Daily calls to DOS: "currently processing"; 8/05 = Phoned consulate, got Section Chief; wrote him.

08-07-08 = E-mail from consulate, promising to issue visa "as soon as we get her passport" (on 8/12, per DHL).

08-27-08 = Phoned consulate (they "couldn't find" our file); visa DHL'd 8/28; in hand 9/1; through POE on 10/9 with NO hassles(!).

TBoneTX Grand Master

TBoneTX   49,787

Posted
Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Ecuador
 Timeline
  • Author
Posted

In another "thank God" occurrence:  In KY-4, Ed Gallrein has been called (86% of vote in) as having ousted the traitorous Thomas Massie.  Bye, RINOs!

06-04-2007 = TSC stamps postal return-receipt for I-129f.

06-11-2007 = NOA1 date (unknown to me).

07-20-2007 = Phoned Immigration Officer; got WAC#; where's NOA1?

09-25-2007 = Touch (first-ever).

09-28-2007 = NOA1, 23 days after their 45-day promise to send it (grrrr).

10-20 & 11-14-2007 = Phoned ImmOffs; "still pending."

12-11-2007 = 180 days; file is "between workstations, may be early Jan."; touches 12/11 & 12/12.

12-18-2007 = Call; file is with Division 9 ofcr. (bckgrnd check); e-prompt to shake it; touch.

12-19-2007 = NOA2 by e-mail & web, dated 12-18-07 (187 days; 201 per VJ); in mail 12/24/07.

01-09-2008 = File from USCIS to NVC, 1-4-08; NVC creates file, 1/15/08; to consulate 1/16/08.

01-23-2008 = Consulate gets file; outdated Packet 4 mailed to fiancee 1/27/08; rec'd 3/3/08.

04-29-2008 = Fiancee's 4-min. consular interview, 8:30 a.m.; much evidence brought but not allowed to be presented (consul: "More proof! Second interview! Bring your fiance!").

05-05-2008 = Infuriating $12 call to non-English-speaking consulate appointment-setter.

05-06-2008 = Better $12 call to English-speaker; "joint" interview date 6/30/08 (my selection).

06-30-2008 = Stokes Interrogations w/Ecuadorian (not USC); "wait 2 weeks; we'll mail her."

07-2008 = Daily calls to DOS: "currently processing"; 8/05 = Phoned consulate, got Section Chief; wrote him.

08-07-08 = E-mail from consulate, promising to issue visa "as soon as we get her passport" (on 8/12, per DHL).

08-27-08 = Phoned consulate (they "couldn't find" our file); visa DHL'd 8/28; in hand 9/1; through POE on 10/9 with NO hassles(!).

 

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