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Bb2020

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Posts posted by Bb2020

  1. 4 hours ago, always1234 said:

    Congrats!! can you please tell us which embassy and visa type.

    did you have an inquiry done by congressman before?

    thanks

    Thank you,

    Interviewed in Yerevan armenia, we applied as CR1 but visa is issued as IR1 since 2 years passed from the time of our marriage.  No inquiries from congressman/woman but i emailed the embassy once a month asking them if additional documents were required and  also of the waiver status.

  2. 5 hours ago, MrsMRB786 said:

    Congrats, what was it first refused for? 

    Thank you,

    Refused under presidential proclamation, our status always showed as refused, last week they sent an email saying:”We are pleased to inform you that waiver review of your case is over and your immigrant visa may be processed to conclusion.”

    and they asked us to mail them the passport and two photos. Two days after they received the passport status changed from refused to AP to issued.

    same exact thing happened to a person who interviewed the same day as my wife.

     

  3. 17 minutes ago, salhasl said:

    Fair enough, I mentioned in my post that is analysis - unfortunately there is no way to know for sure

     

    But the facts still hold. There are visas being issued weekly to people I know, lawyers know.

     

    But here are some facts - this is just one example - there are many more.

     

    image.png.850b4624d09019d024519d526042b7ea.png

     

    Another

     

    6 month AP

     

     

    Sorry i didn't see the other source you mentioned, 

    There timeline shows they were on AP for 6 months.

    https://www.visajourney.com/timeline/profile.php?id=213985

     Also iv case number on a greencard determines when a case was created. 

  4. 4 minutes ago, salhasl said:

    Fair enough, I mentioned in my post that is analysis - unfortunately there is no way to know for sure

     

    But the facts still hold. There are visas being issued weekly to people I know, lawyers know.

     

    But here are some facts - this is just one example - there are many more.

     

    image.png.850b4624d09019d024519d526042b7ea.png

    If you click on the link you provided us with https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/visa-statistics/immigrant-visa-statistics/monthly-immigrant-visa-issuances.html

    This is what you see first 

    Monthly Immigrant Visa Issuance Statistics

     

    The reports below contain preliminary data which are subject to change. Any changes would not be statistically significant.

     

     

    Salhasl this picture is from an instagram account of a lawyer/agent trying to get clients to hire her/him, not a valid source, It shows its fx1 (spouse of a permanent resident), it does not show the dates so again i don't believe it.

  5. 40 minutes ago, salhasl said:

    My sources are lawyers + people in facebook groups (first person)  + people who have personally interviewed. There are immediate CR1/IR1 visas, 3 month AP, 6 month AP, immediate DV, immediate Parent (including someone who interviewed last thursday and got visa today - IR5, parent of US citizen) all Iranians. We all know that there were 254 visas issued to Iranians in July. As compared to approx 30 in June, so the automated system the DOS proposed has indeed been implemented. Whats not yet clear, is what is the interview dates for these 250 visas.  

     

    some analysis:

     

    You will see that there have been 15 CR1 visas for Iran. If you had any more than a 6 month AP, its very unlikely you'd get a CR1. It takes atleast 3 months from marriage to NOA1, 8 months from NOA 1 to NOA2. 3 months from NOA2 to NVC compelte, and then 2-3 months to interview. So 1.5 yrs. Those are best case. There is every possibility these 15 had an AP less than 6 months - so 2019 interview OR didnt have an AP at all. 

     

    The problem is that the numbers even before the ban are so small - literally we are talking between 25-40 IR1/CR1 a month. Even a few anomalies throw off the calculations. 

     

     

    This is why i mentioned earlier your fatcs/ analysis/calculations... are speculations

    what you are getting from this link: https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/visa-statistics/immigrant-visa-statistics/monthly-immigrant-visa-issuances.html 

    are what embassies report.

    If embassy receives your document before 2 years they report cr1 being on ap for 3 years wont change that, they will still report cr1.

    POI officer decides the category of the green card.

     

    Once you are approved (for a spousal visa) you have 6 months to enter the states so lets say you get your petition approved in a year and 7 months and you enter the sates 2 years and 1 month into your marriage your visa category now is IR1 not CR1 but the embassy has reported cr1.

     So your analysis are misleading and incorrect.

  6. 4 minutes ago, salhasl said:

    There are firsthand accounts from multiple different individuals of visas being printed everyday after interview. It is true 🙂

     

    Do you personally know people who have interviewed in the past month? Have they ALL been placed into AP? 

     

     

    Firsthand accounts from multiple people you know hmm, if its true i know they are grateful, there case was different than you me and everyone else here, 

     

    Yes i know of several immigration lawyers in los angeles and a few in iran, with there clients approval i get in touch with them and they share with me who gets there visa and who doesn't,  the image below was from a person who interviewed late august, she mentioned only 2 students got visas the rest refused or AP.

     

     

    0E763233-5F79-4B06-9DD6-2DAC96C73979.jpeg

  7. 8 minutes ago, salhasl said:

    I have personally a number of visas from various diff embassies issued with a 2019 case number. This means the case was created in 2019. What i am trying to get to is of people who interviewed in 2019 AFTER June, what percentage is going into AP. I know 4 people who interviewed, 3 got visas. But I wanted to ask more people to see if everyone is getting visas or being put in AP. 

    There are  a few agencies in tehran that deliver passports to embassies in ankara, yerevan and Abu dhabi, 

    Iranians here should be familiar with them, the best one being nilgam, Based on my research no visas were issued for people who interviewed in the past 3 months (  Iranian citizens ) i have read your past post and i believe  most of your facts are based on speculation’s.

    I really hope what you are saying about the people you personally know who interviewed last month and got there visas are true but i tend not to believe anything unless i see it😬.

     

  8. 1 minute ago, salhasl said:

    Backlog is slowly being cleared. I know it sucks, but looks like people who are interviewing now have a decent shot at bypassing AP altogether. July numbers for Iran are almost 10X numbers for June. August is looking to be even better. We will know around Sept 25.

    https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/visa-statistics/immigrant-visa-statistics/monthly-immigrant-visa-issuances.html

     

    They implemented an automated pre-screening mechanism (search my posts) and looks like that is having a meaningful impact. Everyday there are visas being issued with no AP, same week. Just that since all this is very recent, I am having a hard time getting statistics around what percentage, etc. Initially, I only saw visas for people who interviewed in June 2019, but now a days they are calling in people who interviewed 2018. I have hope this trend continues. I am really looking to hear from people who have interviewed within the last month or so.


     

    Its obvious they are issuing visas to people who interview’d in 2018, the stats they are posting are visas issued in july.

    We know MANY MANY people who  were interviewed this year and non have had there visas issued.

    has anyone here  who interviewed in 2019 got there visas?

  9. My spouse (iranian ctzn) was interviewed end of June in yerevan, was put on AP. Interview took about 3 min. The officer requested more documents to be submitted.

    we called the embassy 1 month after the interview and were told to mail the missing documents along with the passport. 

    The same day they received the documents they released the passport.

    I have been following this group for a while and finally decided to join🙏

     

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