Emm2018

I really hope they’ll do more of ours tomorrow. This wait sucksssssss.

It sure seems like more updates are happening on the new site, so make sure you are registered there!  Old site still shows received for us and probably always will.  Don't be discouraged by the low scan numbers!  Seems like they are trying to make a push to get all data through the new site.

We were relying on the app (by Steven Aldous) for status and it shows "case was received" but we just found out today from the new website that our case was approved on May 4th (NOA1 is Nov 17th).

Thank you!
Hoefully we all will hear something back soon.
Fingers crossed!

Totally agree with you 

November Full Scan 5/16 10:30pm CST
 
Only 38 cases worked on today, I am actually a little disappointed given very early in the day I had found 7 already. I was hoping for a 100+ day.
The 17th-27th continues to get the bulk of the attention right now.
 
One positive thing, if you look at the 2nd chart. Daily Virgins Touched + Daily Approvals map each each, and it basically shows they approve the majorirty of the cases they touch on the first try, and we've actually seen almost 0 outright denials (we don't post them here  but there has only been 5 compared to 251 approvals)
 
Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 15 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 23 Grand Total 38  
Approvals:
Receive Date Status Date 11/01/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/16/18 11/01/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/16/18 11/01/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/16/18 11/01/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/16/18 11/02/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/16/18 11/06/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/16/18 11/06/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/16/18 11/17/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/16/18 11/17/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/16/18 11/20/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/16/18 11/20/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/16/18 11/22/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/16/18 11/27/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/16/18 11/27/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/16/18 11/27/17 Your Current Status: Case Was Approved 05/16/18  
RFEs:
11/20/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/20/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/20/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/20/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/20/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/20/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/20/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/20/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/20/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/20/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/24/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/27/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/27/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/27/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18 11/27/17 Your Current Status: Request for Additional Evidence Was Mailed 05/16/18  

 

Yesssss! I am so rooting for us. 💃🏻

I hope so it's day 197 for us 😔😔😔🙏🙏 hope you're one comes soon

Yours is coming soon! ❤️

Just did a (single set of 500) mini scan using the phone app, starting with November 1, already see 4 approvals today. I think it's going to be a good day.

Nov 2nd NOA1 on old website and Nov 6th on new website, just opened up the new website and we are approved (May 14th)! 193 days total so just hang in there guys. 
 
Also check both sites diligently, old website still says received. 

What's wrong with USCIS? Soooo slow the last two days. or are they working on the remaining ones from previous months? It drives me crazy at the moment. I finally want to be together with my fiance, Mr. Bean!

As of May 14th on the new website we are approved!

Just got home from work... scan running.
 
A lot of RFEs on the 3rd.... still running, let's see what happens

Thank you so much!! I'll keep lurking around here and I can't wait to see you get approved too!

Yezzzzz I truly truly hope so. Congrats again! I’m super happy someone with the same noa1 as me already got approved! 😀😀😀
 

APPROVED!!
Received date: 11/24
NOA2: 05/14
 
No notification. Approved on new website. Still shows received on the old website.

Hey everybody!
 
I've been lurking for awhile and just thought I'd post since reading a post in this thread just encouraged me to check the new website. I don't know if it's helpful for others to know, but just in case
NOA1: 11/24 old site, 11/29 new site
NOA2: 5/14 new site
 
No updates on the old site, no text, no email.
 
I'm sorry to everyone that's been waiting longer than us, but your time has to be coming soon. I'm sure of it!

just did a scan around my number and seen 3 approvals for the 1st of Nov. 

Well, they don't necessarily work in order but for what it's worth the case after mine got an RFE on the 9th, case before mine was approved on the 11th and ours got approved on the 14th.

Their way to work is sooo weird. So there's no guarantee. 😕

When it hits the later time frame for a case date, that's when uscis suspects they have only finished 93% of the cases to that point. Which leaves 7% that reach the "out of normal processing time" frame.

Here's some interesting data, fuzzy math, and some senseless babbling about it...
 
In the 1st quarter of 2018, USCIS received 11,460 new I-129f petitions.
During this quarter, USCIS approved 5,708 and denied 1,991.
At the end of the quarter there were still 28,587 applications pending. This includes those in received status, all of the RFEs, and various other update statuses. 
 
I wish we knew how many RFEs were still outstanding, but they don't seem to publish that. 
 
5,708 + 1,991 = 7,699 total cases worked to completion. There were 68 working days in Q1, so they are processing about 113 Approvals + Denials per day + ??? RFEs, withdrawals, and other minor updates.
 
Another way to look at is is they say processing times are 5 -7  months, which means that entire backlog of 28,587 should be processed in less than 7 months, that's just over 4,000 cases per month. At approximately 21 working days per month after weekends and holidays, we're just under 200 cases a day, with some extra because we know some cases get multiple RFEs or other updates.... I could totally see them processing just as many RFEs in a day as they do approvals or denials, so I think this very rough math checks out. Or, if we go back to the known numbers of received, approvals, and denials, there is a gap of just under 3800.
 
I'd be willing to bet they mostly have enough staff to keep pace with applications coming in, and thus these could potentially represent cases that have been worked and are sitting in RFE status, that's about 50% of the approvals or denials.
So... I'd be willing to guess their average daily processing is somewhere between 160 and 230 cases a day across all months. 
 
What are they doing on "slow" days in the scans like this? Are they tidying up past months? Silent Approvals & RFEs ? Preparing a bunch of work for the following day to cruise through it? 
 
Data: https://www.uscis.gov/sites/default/files/USCIS/Resources/Reports and Studies/Immigration Forms Data/All Form Types/Quarterly_All_Forms_FY18Q1.pdf
 
Also, the Case Inquiry date is now up to October 17th, in theory this means they believe they should have all cases prior to this date completed. So... to finish November there'd be about 6 weeks left to go in a perfect world.  If they are closing about 200 cases a day, in 6 weeks that,s about 6,000 cases. The remainder of October (1700ish) November (2900ish), and some oddballs from month's past and the start of December (the other 1,400).
 
Maybe I'm just babbling and making up, but I like to at least attempt to make sense of the known data... and I'd estimate almost all of us should have our approvals in 6 weeks at the latest; and 50% or more of us have it by the end of the month or the first week of June.
 
And for you December filers reading, I estimate they will start December processing no earlier than June 2nd, but most likely closer to June 12th. I don't know jack though, it's just a wild guess.

Awesome!
 
addition : in the scans it showed roughly 4000 cases as processed as approved during this quarter so about 1700 cases was silent noa2.(that makes 30%)
 
in this quarter they went really slow and had mostly covered April May and June. However June was extremely slow unlike these past 4 months since they started July. 
 
the past quarter (quarter 2) had 4967 cases approved that we can see. If we go by 30% that should be 6500 cases at least.
 
Consistently denials at uscis stage stays at about 2000s. 
 
If you need any other info info let me know! (Applies to anyone!)
 
I’ll update all months this weekend to let you know.
 
Good luck!
 
sorry i was away for a while.. finally finished my medical and gathered all the documents...now I wait (again) and hope everything will be alright  

Meetings notes from after all the phone calls you guys have been making...