irina_frank

I have spent the weekend looking over the data inside VJ using the tables. It seems to me that in the 2nd quarter of 2014 TSC got killed with more applications they could handle. In looking at our VJ data a number of applications in April and May 2014 were shown here to have moved from TSC to CSC and were expedited. If we can believe that VJ data is a representative sample of what is happening at USCIS for K-1 visa's I think I can see why they are not transferring any cases. The reason is that the number of actual cases (which they know measured in NOA1i applications) in the back half of 2014 actually is going down. Here is my table to show it.

Feb-15 15-Jan 14-Dec 14-Nov 14-Oct 14-Sep 14-Aug 14-Jul 14-Jun 14-May 14-Apr 14-Mar 14-Feb 14-Jan VJ List of NOA 1 at TSC Only 85 111 126 137 173 191 182 219 192 62 95 221 202 190 VJ List of NOA 1 at CSC Only 65 121 82 65 97 95 102 138 97 94 110 113 96 82 VJ List of NOA 1 TX from TSC to CSC 19 10 16 20 20 22 21 13 21 123 130 32 24 39 Estimated TSC Workload Before TX 104 121 142 157 193 213 203 232 213 185 225 253 226 229 3 Month Average 122 140 164 188 203 216 216 210 208 221 235 236 % Below Peak -43.4% -35.2% -24.1% -13.1% -6.0% 0.0% Peak
In looking at the data its like big rat in the snake and it needs to get digested which is happening. The peak at TSC with applications measured with NOA1 was maxed out the first half of 2014. We show in VJ data that NOA1's were transferred for two months that made the NOA1's dated April and May 2014 shift to CSC. After May 2014 nothing of note has shifted. If you look at the estimated TSC workload (adding in the transferred cases) the Peak happens in August NOA1's and then drop after that the back half of 2014. In fact the 3 month rolling average for NOA1 cases for Feb 2015 is 43% lower than shown at the peak. So to me I would expect the time to process a case will drop from 200 to ? Not sure how low but less cases means faster processing.

Again there are a lot of if's in my analysis... but if VJ data tracks actual data. (that people sign up for VJ before or around getting NOA1). Then there is hope that the process may speed up over the next 6 months.... provided the output at TSC stays grinding out stuff at the same rate.

I see hope here, but will it mean 60-90 days faster? Maybe? For us February TSC filers I am hoping we may drop from 200+ to closer to 150. That is welcome news for me.

The knowledge that is back logged is highly seen by the fact that many of those at TSC are waiting 6-10 months for approval alone.You cannot jump ahead of he que and get it sent to another facility which is only the CSC.
The Texas lockbox is where all petitions are sent before they are routed to either CSC or TSC.
They are based on where you live, certain states, if I can find the list I will post it.
Read this pinned thread about the process of the mailing and receiving of petitions.
http://www.visajourney.com/forums/topic/538432-process-for-the-mailing-and-receiving-of-i-129f-petitions/
California Service Center: Alaska, Arizona, California, Colorado, Guam, Hawaii, Idaho, Nevada, Illinois, Indiana, Iowa, Kansas, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Montana, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, Oregon, South Dakota, Utah, Washington, Wisconsin and Wyoming.
Texas Service Center: Alabama, Arkansas, Connecticut, Delaware, Florida, Georgia, Kentucky, Louisiana, Maine, Maryland, Massachusetts, Mississippi, New Hampshire, New Jersey, New Mexico, New York, North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Puerto Rico, Rhode Island, South Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, U.S. Virgin Islands, West Virginia and the District of Columbia.

Yes finally a much better thread (no offense to anyone) but I don't want to get updates on people who are already getting their NOA2 from CSC when most of us are stuck in the bottomless pit of TSC.
I was going to suggest a different post for Feb filers - one for CSC and the other for TSC.
So now this will help when I see someone is approved on this thread.. because they should be from TSC. Then I can start getting excited! :-)

Woohoo. CONGRATS!!!! So happy for you guys

Hi Everyone,
I've been stalking this forum for MONTHs. I was thrilled to see a Jan 2015 filers forum but truthfully I was more excited to see that there is a Jan 2015 TSC forum. I barely squeaked into the Jan forum by receiving my NOA 1 on Jan 30th.
This website has basically become my nightly ritual. With my fiancé 7 hours ahead, he says goodnight around 6pm, leaving me with thoughts of our future floating around my head. When I'm looking for inspiration, I cruise the June/July 2014 forums imagining my reaction to the happy NOA 2 day...what would I actually type to share the news? Would I squeal with joy?
When I'm looking for sympathy, any TSC specific forum will do. It's amazing to find others who can understand the mixed emotions of finally finding the love of your life yet waiting pointless months without the true ability to plan ahead. I long alongside those longing for their SO and pray for those expecting kiddos without the emotional support of their partner.
I've signed the petitions circling around the forum, patiently explained over and over again to as many friends/co-workers/well wishers that I have NO freakin' idea when I'm getting married and how different it would be if I lived in Cali, and have saved form letters to send to my Senator when I'm approaching the 5 month mark.
I've read the Nigerian Consulate specific forums, downloaded copies of the forms he'll need, and tend to get a little feisty when he doesn't email me often enough to add to our documentation.
Did I mention I'm a planner?! What do I do when I'm stressed or emotional? I plan! Unfortunately, its not enough to keep me both realistic as well as distracted. I'm looking for ideas. What are you doing to pass the months?

you can also use articles online as evidence but most of it needs to be from the United States for example travel.state.gov.

There is no way for officials to know if any of your information has changed unless they ask for it again so it can be updated. Plus, your previous application has most likely been archived and was likely done before a lot of the process was electronic, so would not be easy to retrieve. And -- there is actually a good reason why new photos are requested even though you gave them some in August....photos have to have been taken within the past six months to be used during the immigration process. This ensures it is recent enough to actually look like the person. Sorry, but the government is only asking you to follow the process -- it may be a pain, but it's not their fault that you have to do it again.

Don't take this as me being negative or anything but...
You keep saying "WE ARE MARRIED" as if that is enough to not have to prove to uscis that you are legitimate?
Being married isn't proof of anything other than being in the same place at the same time and having said some stuff and signed a piece of paper.
We have to go through all this because they don't know who we are or what our intentions are.
I'm thankful for the process, and I get mad myself at the situation with illegals but they have no baring on my process.
I was shocked to find out the amount of people that do k1 visas.
Especially those that do them multiple times which confuses me.
I don't know why anyone would seek out to do this process, it's horrible.
Anyway I guess I just want to point out that being married does not give you a right to be in America.
You've just gotta accept the process because being mad at it is pointless.

That's very easy to explain. People will lie, cheat, and steal to get into this country. You may know your husband is a good man, but the government does not. Of course they want to investigate him and know his background before welcoming into this country. The government doesn't even know if you are a good woman, so they want to take a look at you too. Believe it or not, there are people that want to come here to do bad things! And there are people that live here that want to help them do bad things!
Coming here is a privilege, not a right. I know illegals that are here and they live in constant fear of deportation. How would you like to for your husband to be deported and you to be left alone with children (if you have any)? Simple and fast immigration is not going to happen. Illegal immigration is a completely different issue than legal immigration anyway. If we allowed everyone to just move here then there would be a problem, right? Our population would double in 5 years.
The process is not "hard." Yes, it takes a little time to gather the correct documents, but it isn't hard. The waiting and separation is difficult, I agree.
Avoiding the process is like robbing a bank instead of getting a job. It is all great until you get caught, then not so good.
Please don't take offense at my post- it is not directed at you pr your husband personally. I just wanted to respond in general.

You will have to weigh whether TRP is worth having her daughter wait 10 years to immigrate.
IMHO - I would gladly do the 90 in 90 out if it would make my wife happy to be with her daughter. Can she tolerate 10 years where she can go to visit her daughter in the Ukraine and her daughter not be able to visit her in the US? How often do you think your wife will be able to visit the Ukraine? Will you be able to tolerate your wife's sadness?

Follow aaron2020's advice if you want the child to come with mother. K-1 all the way and file asap.

I didn't know you can use the word "fuckin" on VJ

Hi,
Your lawyer is a fuckin idiot.
If you marry abroad, her child will not be able to immigrate with her. You can never file anything for her daughter. Once your wife immigrates, it will take her 10 years to bring an unmarried child over 21 to the US.
You are way better off pursuing a K-1 fiancée visa. Do this quick. File today. Get marry in the US. You are under a tight timeline. If you can get the K-1 through in the average time of 6-12 months, her daughter can get a K-2 visa. The K-2 and her entry into the US MUST happen before she turns 21. Once in the US, you marry and both of them will get green cards.
Once the daughter has her green card, she can file for a Re-Entry permit which will allow her to be outside the U.S. for up to 2 years. She can go back to Europe to finish her education. This is what many people have successfully done in your situation when the fiancée has a child between age 18-21.
Don't marry on the B1/B2 in the US. The daughter will be SOL.
Your lawyer is a fuckin idiot.
Do not marry in the Ukraine if she wants her daughter to immigrate with her.
Best of luck.

Congrats everyone - makes me feel really glad to see these cases moving forward.

You can check here--they have examples for Russia but it is possible to use for Ukraine too. They also have lots of questions and answers as for translation of the documents.
http://fiancee-visa-usa.blogspot.com/2013/04/2_6.html