AndiB

actually I haven't tested it due to radio silence until NOA2 but you may be able to register on https://egov.uscis.gov/casestatus/landing.do with your case number and give them your email. You can at the very least periodically check your status here if you're worried. However they're currently looking at early Sept 2021 applicants so you're not going to hear anything for months still

did you attach a form with your i-129f requesting email and phone notifications? If you're unsure...did your fiance get anything or only a letter? If only a letter...you'll get a letter for NOA2 (before you have to do anything more)

oh does it just pass through NVC to embassy and embassy handles forms like DS-160? (I'm quite a way from the stage so haven't fully looked...)

no, it's the general bulletin for the public that is updated each week. NVC deals with cases after approval so you're not at the NVC stage yet.

yeah that's why I said prob a plot point. Also swear people saw Jenny with a job at some pt. I'd also be surprised if she's picked up none of the language. It's been confirmed they often make em use translation apps etc for ~drama ~ Tired of Tanya saying she doesn't care about the legal side of her divorce. THEN SIGN IT

Yeah he 100% should work but I'm catching up atm so bit behind. Sounds like he invested in a restaurant so it's not just shift work but kinda 24/7. Does seem a bit of a plot point because who was handeling all the work until now 😅 I totally understand dependence and being scared to do stuff on your own, honestly I'm a lil lost even in US but I do try to learn and do stuff on my own. I warned him it'd take me a few months to work towards independence (going out etc) but months not years! Even needing him for some things or preferring him with her is fine but she shouldn't be that dependent! I'm mostly not over her not learning the language, I really hope it's a fake story pt but wouldn't be the first white westerner who doesn't think they need to learn the language. Not knowing the language super isolates her and limits her freedom. That's not sumit's fault

I feel her issue is more he wants to work 6-7days a week. I assume long hours cause it sounds like he'll be gone all day? If so, I understand but I do find it crazy she can't/won't do anything around the house and hasn't learnt the language. Haven't they been in a relationship for 10years??? I would make an effort to learn if my partner spoke another language, esp his family even if i wasn't moving there.

I was hoping it was something like this. They def had a bunch of new staff it seems but logically I would expect them to have more coming on board over time as they obv haven't got enough yet. And yh it's a slow process cause government + security. I hope we'll have a decent picture by march as there's a lot of holidays coming up I agree it'll most likely be a breakeven pt or 12months. 6 months would be a shock. The backlog is just too large

honestly I struggled to follow this a bit. If the general point is we expect to see reductions in wait time this fiscal year, then yes. They announced in March(?) they wanted wait times to go down to 6months by Oct 2023. I don't think it'll be as low as 6months due to the size of the backlog but I do expect we'll see *some* improvement. I hope a lot but honestly...I can live with minor improvements. Anything that isn't this constant +0.5months increase.

I haven't seen historical data but I doubt it. COVID made a lot of people aware of distance and motivated closing gaps. It also lead to a lot of people meeting. I met mine due to lockdown and I don't know if we'd ever have crossed paths otherwise. Work visas have also become more challenging to get. People knowing it takes so long may also motivate applying earlier than they usually would, we wouldn't have applied now if it was still only 3months for instance.

Like I say, it's based on the previous 6 months and doesn't really say anything about what a new applicant or anyone midway through the wait should expect except 15months *minimum*. We know they aren't processing as many as they're receiving so that number will always go up each month as the queue grows. It's only an estimate if they're completing as many as they receive each week. I agree about the 6months, I have hope it'll at least start barely increasing or maybe even plateau in the next 6months but I'd be shocked if they got the backlog down that fast. I imagine a more likely scenario is they manage to get it down a couple of months by Oct 2023 (so maybe back down to 13-15) but yeah...6, would be a shock

I mean they're based on the prior 6months of data. They don't predict future trends. It is an accurate reflection based on timelines posted in these forums.

My understanding is the US has a big worker shortage partly because of COVID delaying or stopping immigration and then backlogs etc. Biden has said he's prioritising work visas because they need workers for the economy and to fight recession. You may be a tax payer or a contributor to the economy but on a family visa, your work and education is irrelevent so your 'value' as a worker is non-existent compared to someone applying for work or business.

Tbh, I read somewhere staff take about 6months to onboard due to training and security which would explain the increase in processing in Oct, putting at us at about 6months since they announced the aim to improve. Maybe the processing will continue to gradually improve as staff join? Maybe I'm just dreaming 😂

I am really unsure of spousal timeline, I see people say 1-2yrs (but obv no adjustment of status etc after like a fiance) so it's recommended that if you're already in the fiance queue, stay in it. I don't know the numbers personally but that's been the general advice on the forum I've seen.

If you look at https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/u/0/d/15hiSOTm85W1CG6c0jzQ8B7lXLo1JEwsWKr3zIszC2Zg/htmlview# You can see that the number they process per week has almost doubled. It's about 500, but they get about 800 new ones a week. ie they aren't processing them at the pace they are coming in so more and more are going on the backlog pile. As the pile grows the wait time increases as there are more applications between current and yours. ie it takes longer to get to the front of the line. We won't see wait times improve until amount processed per week exceed amount they receive. Edit: if they hadn't nearly doubled the number they process, wait times would have increased more rapidly, so basically the amount the wait time increases is slowing. That's the improvement. It's not great but it could be worse

The 15month estimate is for *current* people coming up on their NOA2 expected date. By the time we get to the front of the line it'll most likely be longer than 15months. Different people have different estimates but https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC-j8oeknNu89pFRZLEWSwwQ seems to be in line with the kind of estimates I get. So for you, at the current trend it'd be Oct 2023. This could improve, it already has in the last few months. Mine went from 24 months to 20 so I would just keep an eye on the trends and estimate the worst, hope for the best

that seems the most likely. If you have a timeline on your profile, I believe visa journey bases the estimate off current members timelines (so most up to date) instead of the USCIS estimate. This would probably be a decent guide to keep an eye on.

I replied to somebody else but no, they are increasing the number they processed, it's almost double/ week what is was in april but it isn't enough to offset backlog currently which leads to an increase. In april about 400-500 would be added to the backlog/week, now it's 'only' 200-300. I would hope they aim to at least process as many as they receive or maybe a bit more to start bringing the times back down. 6months by Oct 2023 is a pipedream though

they won't, if it was that simple, they'd already prioritise newer applications to look better. They do seem to 'move on' to a new month faster than they maybe did in the past to improve numbers but they won't just move newer apps to the front of the line. It's too blatant

I agree that the chances of it going to 6months feel close to nill unless a dramatic shift happens soon but the trend has improved. The amount being processed almost doubled from april to october this year. It's just that it's not enough to off set the backlog. I don't think they've just left K1's to die and I do think 6months seems very unrealistic unless they know something we don't that will equate to 1000+ cases processed per week soon, ie another doubling. They're definitely improving, we just have to hope it continues and maybe more rapidly than it has in the past. New staff and new technology takes forever to implement and from what I read on another forum here, USCIS has high turn over so even with a lot of new hires, it may not be as many as they'd hoped with others leaving.

yes, it's an average of the last 6months so most are already on 15-16month timetables. Yours will, as things stand, most likely take 15months-ish, so yes a couple more months. The timeline is always a current, or most current one. People who just applied are likely to be waiting longer than 15months

ah I couldn't fully comprehend what that meant. I would be shocked if it was only 40mins to go through everything

I will admit I didn't go through with a fine tooth comb but only 40min I see is for the non-immigrant worker I-129, not I-129F It's also from 2019

Probably not a shock to anyone but officially 15months on website now and will continue to increase as we're only at ~500 processed/week v ~800 new/week. Positive is they've almost doubled the number processed per week compared to april so hoping that'll continue