Mundo254

C'mon now! It would be a big stretch asking people to start using these predictors. Not at this point in time atleast when we just started having some movement after 4 years +

Thanks for the share. A very elaborate document. Hopefully this clears up any concerns raised about Dominican Republic numbers. And I will quote; ''INA Section 202 prescribes that visa issuances to nationals of any single country may not exceed seven percent during a fiscal year. This limit serves to avoid the potential monopolization of the annual limitation by applicants from only a few countries. That limitation is not a quota to which any particular country is entitled, however. For FY 2024 the per-country limit will be approximately 27,090''

Smile brother Celebrate the small wins. Tomorrow will take care of itself.

Good God!!! Patience is indeed a virtue. This is very unexpected, pleasantly! Guys, keep staying hopeful.

We already have a year's prediction in last month's VB. (10 weeks movement in Q1and Q2, whatever that meant. You can't really fault the guy who grabbed 4 slices of Pizza if at the start everyone was told it was okay to do that by the supervisor. The guy just reacted quicker. DR numbers are legal. The laws and policies just need to change. The resentment won't help. I've heard many say these types of immigration visas to the US rarely exist in other first worlds, so its a privilege of some sorts. They may be right. We keep waiting!

Do you realize these numbers are etched in law? Is the USA DOS breaking the law in plain sight in regards to this matter? I bet not. Why are we not seeing class action lawsuits all over the place? And btw, the movement/spill over of FB to E visas is also in law so I'm confused when you say lawyers are pushing that. ion, I think this paragraph in the article shared above collaborates your analysis.

Great read. Thanks for the link.

Have you paused for a while and asked yourself that maybe you might be wrong with your calculations? And if I may ask, what do you think is the motivation of 'over issuing' visas to certain countries? (DR for e.g) I mentioned here before that I doubt visas are being issued to the said countries haphazardly because c'mon ... we would be hearing a lot of uproar from various quarters party to this matter.

Probably also meant it may move 10 weeks Q3 (to June) and 10 weeks Q4 (to Sept), 20 weeks to the end of the FY. We wait!

Funny how whoever drafted the text had to be so complicated; Would have been easy to say, 'this fiscal year'. The 'throughout Q3 and Q4' is confusing and unnecessary. lol Anyway, as said, we wait for next months VB, what they meant will be clearer.

This is big considering we haven't seen such movement in years. Lets hope it keeps up the pace (even more increases pace) as we get deep into the fiscal year. All the best good people, hang in there!

Not sure what you mean but they can and have advanced dates before (last VB) irrespective of Current numbers in DR. Nobody out here knows how and when they advance dates because specific Current and DQ numbers for specific countries/regions aren't provided. I guess it's an internal thing and how they advance dates is at their discretion. That's why we have Visa Bulletins after they are done with their internal processes 🤷

Well, I'm not an expert in interpreting law...but I'm inclined to believe that if any law is being broken here by the state, we would have been seeing a lot more uproar. That's why I feel there is something you are missing.

Its time we stop focusing on DR numbers. Most seem to suggest the numbers they are receiving are 'illegal', which I doubt is the case. Probably our math or understanding of the cap numbers is wrong. There are a miriad of reasons why things are sluggish, and we all know them. As one stated, these kinds of visas seldom exists for other countries, we are at their mercy, and it shows with the way they treat these FB visas. The law just needs to change for significant improvements to be seen. For now, Let's hope things ramp up soon.

We have been doing analysis, making predictions and speculating for the last 3 years now and nobody has nailed it. Point is, even with the data we have been provided, you have seen that we simply cannot speculate! We have been and are still in unprecedented times, nobody knows out here what the future holds.

This is obviously good news! Any movement after 3 years 4 months should be something! As you should know by now, VB movement has always been unpredictable, it can move 9 days, 7 days, 4 months, 2 months, sometimes 0 days as we have observed over the last couple of years ... it cant be an accurate assesment if we say we will only now be seeing 9 day movements here on forward. Stay positive! This is good news!

Really handy resource. I would love to see how the Annual Numerical Limits for FY2023 were and confirm if this was followed to the letter, because DR F2B Visa Numbers for FY2023 seemed a little bit over the top.

If this is the case, we are yet to see an astounding jump soon in waiting times we have never seen. Just glad to be somewhere in the queue near the PD date. I can only Imagine those who are filing now. Plus some of us when it all done and we have our Visas, we still have our fiances, girlfriends, kids to worry about who we will be leaving back in our home countries ... Sigh! US Immigration Journey esp for Family Sponsored Applicants and their Families is really draining!

It sure seems like a factor. What could possibly trigger an increased number of applicants in your opinion? Because everuthing seemed to be moving well before Covid!

Generally this has been the trend over the past years (even before Covid) where there have been low F2B issuance numbers in most countries and high numbers in DR and a few others. This doesnt seem new or strange to me. Im not convinced that much that DR numbers are affecting Visa Issuance for other countries. The Backlog that stemmed from consulate closures worldwide during covid clearly had a big impact on F Visas processing, worse still, the Ban during that time on some F Visa made it even worse. The fact that we are still seeing the same Visa Issuance numbers worldwide even after 3 years of the Visa Bulletin not moving paints the whole picture. A lot of people with PD before Sept 22 2015 are still being processed. Its bad! ...we wait. and it will be a painful one. But Damn! Dominican Republic...Those are a lot of people being processed monthly. Whats the explanation here!? Who says what visas numbers go where? Id really love to know.

Its been 3 years now of speculation/ 'prediction'. At this point it's fair to conclude no one out here knows. I dunno if the new numbers for new quarters is true because I guess it wouldnt make much sense releasing the visa bulletin monthly then. As they say, we keep waiting.

At this point now it's hard to predict what's going on at consulates and NVC. I believe the figures are inclusive of immediate relatives numbers so it's hard to tell where they may be at with family based visas. Wish we had category specific data. We keep crossing our fingers for good tidings.

Can you please share your reasoning behind this?

As expected. Fact they've released VB this early may mean they have the Visa numbers figured out already for the next couple of months. Mexico moved 4 months, hopefully when rest of the world starts moving it will be at that pace or more! As mentioned, let's hope our predictions with the backlog report stands. Stay positive good people! This immigration journey will end someday.