Vanessa D

Hey everyone,
Long time lurker. Noa1 Sept. 6th. Looking forward to everyone getting their approvals! Seems like they are starting to work on our moth a little! 🎉

I was doing some analysis on the data to forecast when I could expect an approval and found some nice information that I thought would be worth sharing for positivity. 
 
I received NOA1 in early September. If USCIS continues at a rate of 1050/week approved/withdrawn cases per week for the next 4 weeks, as they have been the last few weeks (I exclude denials since most are instantaneous and aren't necessarily backlog removal), even if processing drops to 700/week after that, I am expecting a 70% likelihood of getting approved in September timeframe. Very similar to this if you received NOA1 around the same time as me.
 
We only need a few more good weeks before a large decrease in processing starts to have little impact on overall timing. My guess is processing will start to decelerate from current rates once the backlog is more caught up, but I wouldn't expect that to happen before the fall.

We are very close to launching a webpage. These information will be there!

How spoiled we have gotten lol I remember in January and we were PRAYING for ~800 cases and now we are like "ehhh you freaking bums" lol

I have been on a natural high ALL DAY LONG after seeing todays numbers! There is NOTHING easy about this process but when you have an amazing community to lean on, it makes it so much more bearable!! I’m a November filer and I’m starting to not feel like being back with my fiancé is light years away 😅

O Boy it feels amazing to scan my own approval
 
*September 2/9/23 Updates*
 
132500: 2 RFESs (2 new / 0 in progress)
133000: 2 RFESs (2 new / 0 in progress)
133500: 1 RFES, 1 RFER (1 new / 1 in progress)
134000: 1 Approval, 1 RFER (1 new / 1 in progress)
134500: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)
135500: 3 Approvals, 1 RFER (2 new / 2 in progress)
136000: 1 Approval (0 new / 1 in progress)
137000: 1 Approval, 1 Other (Document Was Returned To USCIS) (2 new / 0 in progress)
137500: 13 Approvals (11 new / 2 in progress)
138500: 2 Approvals (2 new / 0 in progress)
139000: 1 RFER (0 new / 1 in progress)
140000: 2 Approvals, 1 RFER (0 new / 3 in progress)
140500: 1 Approval (1 new / 0 in progress)
2/9/23: 36 Total Updates: 25 Approvals, 5 RFESs, 5 RFERs, 1 Other (Document Was Returned To USCIS)
 
Total for this month: 174 Untouched, 1860 Approvals, 368 RFESs, 126 RFERs, 260 Denials, 5 Expedites(Denied: 4 / Received: 1), 119 Withdrawals, 89 Others

this thread will  get killed  if members continues their arguments in here. lets stick to uscis data mining results....