xavier2014

Monthly Immigrant Visa Issuance Statistics OUT!

after looking at data, expecting few more big movement in VB for sure

golden year of F2B movement, now at 8.5 years

20 hours ago, Mundo254 said:

 

C'mon now! It would be a big stretch asking people to start using these predictors. Not at this point in time atleast when we just started having some movement after 4 years +

not really, it will keep move, we could see at least another 6 months movement in this fiscal year

Dec 2016 would be current in March 2025

Dec 2016 would be current in March 2025

9 hours ago, zaback21 said:

Let's hope it doesn't stop here for the next 6 months but moves a month or so every month. 

I am expecting at least one move in Chart B besides Chart A, look at F3, they started moving Chart B after clearing backlog.

Pre- covid we see 10-30 months overall movement per fiscal year. If lucky most F2B 2016 applicant may be eligible for IL at the end of the fiscal year. 

On 3/10/2024 at 7:21 PM, xavier2014 said:

after seeing 2019 VB data, I am expecting 10 more months of movement in this fical year, I think state dep. cleared the covid backlog. would be a great year for 2016 applicants. Hope for the best

so far 6 months movement happened , we are on track plus VISA AVAILABILITY IN THE COMING MONTHS prediction working perfectly 

On 3/10/2024 at 7:21 PM, xavier2014 said:

after seeing 2019 VB data, I am expecting 10 more months of movement in this fical year, I think state dep. cleared the covid backlog. would be a great year for 2016 applicants. Hope for the best

so far 6 months movement happened , we are on track plus VISA AVAILABILITY IN THE COMING MONTHS prediction working perfectly 

On 3/10/2024 at 7:21 PM, xavier2014 said:

after seeing 2019 VB data, I am expecting 10 more months of movement in this fical year, I think state dep. cleared the covid backlog. would be a great year for 2016 applicants. Hope for the best

so far 6 months movement happened , we are on track plus VISA AVAILABILITY IN THE COMING MONTHS prediction working perfectly 

On 3/10/2024 at 7:21 PM, xavier2014 said:

after seeing 2019 VB data, I am expecting 10 more months of movement in this fical year, I think state dep. cleared the covid backlog. would be a great year for 2016 applicants. Hope for the best

so far 6 months movement happened , we are on track plus VISA AVAILABILITY IN THE COMING MONTHS prediction working perfectly 

On 3/10/2024 at 7:21 PM, xavier2014 said:

after seeing 2019 VB data, I am expecting 10 more months of movement in this fical year, I think state dep. cleared the covid backlog. would be a great year for 2016 applicants. Hope for the best

so far 6 months movement happened , we are on track plus VISA AVAILABILITY IN THE COMING MONTHS prediction working perfectly 

7 hours ago, Clarke84 said:

Seems like for the rest of FY 2024 based on this:

 

The above final action date projections for the Family and Employment categories indicate what is likely to happen throughout Quarter Three and Quarter Four of FY24. 

 

Looking at the October 2016 Visa Bulletin, it followed the predicted movement per month. The text is almost identical, with the only difference being the mention of months instead of quarters. The upcoming Visa Bulletin next month will likely clear up any confusion.

7 hours ago, Divinepath said:

Is the prediction monthly or for the the rest of FY 2024?

I would say monthly, read the text below similar to VB-2016 feb or Oct text, plus there's no way F4 only move 1 month in whole fiscal year.

April VB surprised us with this prediction, I would be surprised if it doesn't move from next May-VB according to this prediction 

The F2B category moved consistently each month during the 2020 fiscal year, experienced movement in only a few months in 2021, and was frozen in 2022-23. Meanwhile, a small number of visas were issued in 2020-21. Since 2020, the F2B category has only advanced by approximately 14 months over four years, which should have been enough time to clear the backlog. This is why we are seeing VISA AVAILABILITY IN THE COMING MONTHS prediction. The data for old F2B applicants has not changed, including the number of PD (of applicants) from 2016. Hope I have cleared your covid  backlog confusion 

after seeing 2019 VB data, I am expecting 10 more months of movement in this fical year, I think state dep. cleared the covid backlog. would be a great year for 2016 applicants. Hope for the best

Do you think these predictions are for each month or until FY25? F4 worldwide up to 4 weeks each month or up to 4 weeks until FY25?

Look at Oct’16, Feb’19 bulletins where they place in the notes predicted movements ahead for both family and employment. They precisely followed their own statements each time so fingers crossed

9 minutes ago, RR159 said:

See how DoS is protecting their rear end, “Up to….”

 

Even if we accept that F2B will move by ten weeks at the end of this FY2024, which is September 2024, then the PD will move a total of 2 months + 10 weeks = 4.25 months. Simple math shows that to clear the current backlog it will take 24 years.

I am assuming 5 months in last 2 quarters, still backlog will be huge, it used to move 10+ months per fiscal year, already passed 7+ years, at this rate I have to wait at least 3 more years, not encouraging for new applicant at this time

7 hours ago, Newbuddy said:

Hang on guys it may take 3-4 years only.

im hanging on from several years even if my shorts is down.,

you too look up in the sky.. don’t pull the chain 😅 

7 years passed already, it seems have to wait at least 3 more years, that's brutal 

@RR159  @zaback21

We could have already received interviews if the Dominican Republic received normal F2B visa numbers. People are thinking the pandemic backlog is causing this delay, but it's not the case anymore. Just look at F3 it's moving faster. The difference between Chart A and B is only around 5 months, whereas F1 has a difference of 2.5+ years and F2B has a difference of over 1 year (by freezing chart B though). F2B and F1 are not like F2A, F3, or F4. Some major decisions are related to this visa class or gets void. If it were to become 9+ years, most people wouldn't even apply in the first place. NVC is not aware of how brutal the waiting process is for applicants from RW who are waiting indefinitely.

Did any F2B Applicants received the Interview Letter yet from March VB

17 hours ago, RR159 said:

These numbers does include the FX category that is exempt from country limitations. But the total and grand total figures in the report are not unlimited. They are still bound by the total limits and per country limits set by the Congress.

Before the pandemic, the Dominican Republic used to receive 400-500 visas per month, but now it's receiving 1200-1300. If it doesn't return to pre-pandemic levels soon, the F2B category could see the F4 category type backlog

On 2/29/2024 at 7:34 PM, RR159 said:

Maybe something along these lines:

 

”With regards to the situation whereby Dominican Republic received excessive number of Family visas, it’s not fair to the business community. To rectify this injustice to the employers (including our paying clients, of course), let’s award the extra amount (45k - 27k = ) 18k visas to the employment categories.” 🙂

this lawyer encouraging people to sue, I wonder if it works here

21 hours ago, RR159 said:

F2B visas obtained from adjustment of status process are not included yet.

already exceeded the 7% mandate set by Congress? I wonder how Charlie will explain this situation

2 hours ago, RR159 said:

F2B visas obtained from adjustment of status process are not included yet.

March visa statistic would be interesting after recent F2B chart A movement 

38 minutes ago, RR159 said:

https://travel.state.gov/content/travel/en/legal/visa-law0/visa-statistics/annual-reports/report-of-the-visa-office-2023.html

wow 27,588 visas issued for F2B

Top 3 receiver of F2B visas

1. DR -13,690

2. philipines - 2,939

3. Vietnam- 2,320

On 2/26/2024 at 7:51 AM, Waiting4ever2 said:

Has anyone been invited for an interview recently? It would be great to hear if some of us have received invitations, especially since the bulletin has recently moved forward.

Does anyone know when the interview schedule notifications are typically sent out? From what I understand, they're usually distributed at the start of the month.

It will start to issue IL (March VB) next month when you become eligible according to your PD

Waiting4ever2 next month

On 2/12/2024 at 10:53 AM, RR159 said:

The 2023 annual report will be an interesting one, it’s going to show which country/countries exceeded congress mandated 7% limit on family + employment visas.

The EV limit was 140k. Last fiscal year, they issued 197k visas, all of which came from the family quota. This fiscal year, it's 21k only(for that we are getting F movement) it will come from the family quota again. Unfortunately there isn't much push from the F category to issue more visas

Well every category is moving so it's a good sign that F2B is moving as well(already 9 yrs backlog). F3 is moving more than 4 months hopefully, we'll see similar F2B progress in the coming months. With that more people are now eligible for interviews and can expedite their cases. Let's hope that no single country hampers the momentum, and each country gets 10-15 visas from now

@makers

If you become a naturalized citizen, applicants immigration category would change to F1. At that point, you would need to request to stay in the F2B category. If your children get married, the category would further change to F3. The wait time between F3 and F1 or F2B is almost 6 years.

Yes, we are all waiting, and the existence of the F2B/F1 category seems unjustified, especially when the wait time period stands at 9+ years now. Remaining unmarried is a significant factor that impacts applicants, especially if the applicant is female. I'm guessing that most female applicants from 2015-17 have already gotten married. 

Immigration is a crucial topic in this year's US election, but there is a noticeable lack of focus on the legal immigration system.