arnab221

If you look at the rate of processing , USCIS scheduled( not interviewed) everybody ( in our chart) from July, August and September of 2021 between May/25 to July/1. So in the past 35 or so days they have scheduled about 90 days worth of interviews. If they continue to schedule interviews at the same rate 🤞, ie schedule 90 days worth of interviews in the next 35 days , most folks with filing dates close to end of December 2021 should be scheduled by mid August 2022. 😀 123amv 06/17/2021 06/17/2021 Y Y 05/26/2022 tratata 06/17/2021 11/10/2021 N Y 05/26/2022 gigi & kona 07/13/2021 07/14/2021 Y Y 06/03/2022 d&e 07/23/2021 07/23/2021 Y Y 06/03/2022 DD&ST 07/31/2021 08/01/2021 Y Y 06/24/2022 G & M 08/03/2021 12/03/2021 N Y 06/13/2022 JS 08/31/2021 08/31/2021 Y Y 06/23/2022 AHM 09/03/2021 11/20/2021 N Y 06/23/2022 Alan & Alan 09/07/2021 09/07/2021 Y Y 06/23/2022 PedroDaGr8 09/15/2021 Y 09/15/2021 Y Y 07/01/2022 DoudouMiao 09/16/2021 09/16/2021 Y Y 06/27/2022 Skg 09/26/2021 10/04/2021 Y Y 07/01/2022

Still showing 12 months for you ? I am showing 8 months now . It reduces by a month every month , whatever that means .

Many congratulations !! Interestingly there is no one filer with an Oct filing date in the tracker . Sept is followed by a light Nov and then a heavy December. Can the number of filers be really light in October 21 ? Wishful thinking .🤞😀

Their own cycle time goals state that in October 2023 they must have pending cases no earlier than May 2023. To bridge the one year pending to six month pending will take a tremendous amount of acceleration which means more cases dispositioned than filed . I see that in other FOs but but not in Seattle so far. Lets see what the 2022 data says when it comes out.

If getting denaturalized because of this issue surfacing is the concern(future issues) that's making you ask this , relax. USCIS has a valid prosecution case only when the information that was suppressed was material to the degree where naturalization could have been denied had it been disclosed . Example : Illegal Entry , Impersonation , etc . This is not a piece of information which would have impacted the Naturalization had it been known. Also denaturalization is a hugely expensive litigation intensive process which is done very rarely only for very serious cases.

This post shows that while the Seattle FO is indeed processing cases from 06/21 it has a got a very long tail extending upto 12/20 . So the processing is highly varied and this makes me worried on absolute progress on case processing acceleration .

Looks like they have picked someone with PD of 07/23/2021. They have a cycle time target of no more than 6 month pf pending inventory by Oct 2023 ( i.e earliest case must be no more than May 2023) . They are still trending at 11 months if current data is anything to go by. This compared with other West Coast offices which normally schedule interviews in 3 to 4 months. I would love to see a calculation of equated month over month acceleration that would be needed if they are to meet the 6 month inventory target in October 2023. Anyone ? 🤓

In order to meet N400 cycle time goals of 6 months by end of FY23 ( October 23) , they would need to have no more than 6 months worth of pending cases by Oct 2023(i.e , earliest case must be no more than May 2023) . To make this happen they must be able to finish all of 2021 AND 70% of 2022 by early 2023. The numbers above do not show that sort of acceleration for Seattle FO.

Would you mind telling which city you live in the Puget Sound area ? Just trying to evaluate if there is any method to assigning cases to Portland.

Thanks , I did see these numbers in the past . If backlog reduction were to be graded, Seattle would receive an F. Just look at the ferocious rate at which other large volume field offices are attacking their N400 backlogs and then look at Seattle which is in fact adding to the backlog.

Do they capture the biometrics again before resubmitting or do they resubmit the ones captured 15 months prior ? Looks they are now striving to keep interview timelines to < 15 months ( hence the April 21 acceleration ~ 14 months) to avoid the 40 minute delay in each N400 interview. Also if they are filling two batches a day of 30 each , barring a few offsite naturalization events, they are tracking at 1200 naturalizations a month. I am not sure how they intend to eliminate the backlog at this rate . Unlike 485 , we also do not have a way to determine intake by month else we could have understood if there are any dips in N400 intake during mid or latter part of 2021 .

But the time shown is not the interview time , its time to a final case decision. So if the final design is 10 months away(this is my clock ) , then interview notification must be 8 months away ?

I am Jan 10th 2022. Shows 10 months for me now ( 5 year filer) . 😪😪

Firstly , Many Congratulations !! You folks are nearly there . They have a self imposed target of around 1.5 years( Oct-2023 / End of FY 23) to get cycle times down to 6 months. They would need to incrementally reduce the timelines between now and Oct 23 if they are to meet this target. I hope rate of reduction accelerates between now and then .

IMHO , USCIS should simply provide interview a graph of filing and interview times for people by field office ( like we track) and let people come to their conclusions as opposed providing these grand and irrelevant statistical calculations.

I felt that the earlier range was a better representation ( inaccuracy not withstanding) because it transparently exposed inefficiencies when it came to processing time windowed application blocks. They simply appear to have removed the lower value and have retained the upper value at 80%. I am not sure what purpose this serves except for obfuscating the earlier exposed inefficiency. When it comes to Seattle , they have not done anything concrete on the ground to process more cases , the only way backlogs can be handled. I do not see a reducing timeline either. Plotted on a chart the wait times would simply fluctuate long an axis averaging ~450 days with a few outliers at > 500 days. I however congratulate them for having finally graduated from extremely bad to very very bad.