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xillini

USCIS released data for 3rd quarter and I 751....

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TLDR: After transferring all these I 751 applications, USCIS did outperform processing applications (whether to approve or deny), but it is a drop in the bucket, so hang on tight. 

 

USCIS lately published the statistics for 3rd quarter when they started to transfer I 751 to Nebraska and Texas, but still a lot of backlog remains and no feasibility to get it done on time. 

 

For instance, they processed 33000 cases in 3rd quarter of 2018 (April, May, June), It is somewhat tiny improvement considering in 1st and 2nd quarter of 2018 as well as all quarters in 2017, they only processed 24000 cases in average,

which is why the processing time is guaranteed an year if luckiest, and around 18-20 months in average. 

 

However, based on historic USCIS's data, quarterly I 751 application received is around 42000 cases in average, and therefore USCIS did not even catch up the speed that they receive, in other words. 

Specifically, USCIS received total of 43592 cases in 3rd quarter, and processed only 33200 cases in the same period, leaving roughly 10,000 cases are stacking up in their storage. 

 

 

Now some questions to bring in a reasonable way to ask to USCIS would be

1) If they transfer to Nebraska and Texas, how many IOs are reviewing I 751 in each service center (including CSC/VSC)?

Based on my understanding each field service center has department and chief section, and one department leads family/employment/others type category, under which a section has a chief supervising I 751. 

 

2) How IOs are assigned to each I 751, and what is the average time that IOs are completing to adjucate the cases with standard deviation once it is assigned? 

 

3) Looking at the data, in 2013, USCIS processed almost 65,000 cases per each quarter, and how were they able to do?

2013 can be exceptional year to adjucate I 751, but in average, looking at the data, USCIS successfully adjucated around 40000 cases until 2017 fiscal year.

Why, starting in 2017, USCIS failed to catch up I 751 adjucation? (I.e were there any specific guidance change? If so, what change? If not, Please give specific answers such as some departmental restructures that resulted in less numbers of IOs were assigned to?) 

 

These can be questions to share some concerns with your congressman and congresswomen, especially Alexandra Ocasio to name a few when they have chances to hear USCIS director and what they have to offer to explain. 

 

To evaluate whether the transfer of I 751 really accelerate the I 751 processing time, still we would need 4th quarter, but apparently, the transfer was not really effective until 3rd quarter. 

Hope this helps to explain why I 751 backlog got even worse. 

 

quarter 1st Quarter1       2nd Quarter1     3rd Quarter1     4th Quarter1     Fiscal Year 2015 To-Date
year Forms Received2 Approved3 Denied4 Pending5 Forms Received2 Approved3 Denied4 Pending5 Forms Received2 Approved3 Denied4 Pending5 Forms Received2 Approved3 Denied4 Pending5 Forms Received2 Approved3
2018 42,913 23,385 1,340 215,780 45,745 24,017 1,213 243,300 43,592 31,649 1,608 259,207         132,250 79,068
2017 36,263 23,838 1,448 133,568 44,614 22,604 1,853 153,009 41,000 21,625 1,726 172,431 44,554 20,934 1,355 196,058 166,431 89,001
2016 35,536 32,246 1,725 122,558 37,944 30,275 2,249 127,140 35,741 39,672 2,129 120,903 35,427 32,095 1,993 121,412 144,648 134,288
2015 38,380 35,521 2,046 107,582 42,933 34,465 1,793 113,130 42,982 36,064 2,010 120,204 41,490 41,470 2,059 118,793 165,785 147,520
2014 41,807 43,876 2,638 81,444 49,602 35,878 2,719 98,413 45,140 42,223 2,263 97,779 41,810 33,006 1,892 104,883 178,359 154,983
2013 38,559 39,864 3,081 124,707 43,225 66,889 2,356 122,770 44,157 63,012 2,995 311,514 45,710 62,013 3,173 76,264 171,651 231,778

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10 hours ago, xillini said:

TLDR: After transferring all these I 751 applications, USCIS did outperform processing applications (whether to approve or deny), but it is a drop in the bucket, so hang on tight. 

 

USCIS lately published the statistics for 3rd quarter when they started to transfer I 751 to Nebraska and Texas, but still a lot of backlog remains and no feasibility to get it done on time. 

 

For instance, they processed 33000 cases in 3rd quarter of 2018 (April, May, June), It is somewhat tiny improvement considering in 1st and 2nd quarter of 2018 as well as all quarters in 2017, they only processed 24000 cases in average,

which is why the processing time is guaranteed an year if luckiest, and around 18-20 months in average. 

 

However, based on historic USCIS's data, quarterly I 751 application received is around 42000 cases in average, and therefore USCIS did not even catch up the speed that they receive, in other words. 

Specifically, USCIS received total of 43592 cases in 3rd quarter, and processed only 33200 cases in the same period, leaving roughly 10,000 cases are stacking up in their storage. 

 

 

Now some questions to bring in a reasonable way to ask to USCIS would be

1) If they transfer to Nebraska and Texas, how many IOs are reviewing I 751 in each service center (including CSC/VSC)?

Based on my understanding each field service center has department and chief section, and one department leads family/employment/others type category, under which a section has a chief supervising I 751. 

 

2) How IOs are assigned to each I 751, and what is the average time that IOs are completing to adjucate the cases with standard deviation once it is assigned? 

 

3) Looking at the data, in 2013, USCIS processed almost 65,000 cases per each quarter, and how were they able to do?

2013 can be exceptional year to adjucate I 751, but in average, looking at the data, USCIS successfully adjucated around 40000 cases until 2017 fiscal year.

Why, starting in 2017, USCIS failed to catch up I 751 adjucation? (I.e were there any specific guidance change? If so, what change? If not, Please give specific answers such as some departmental restructures that resulted in less numbers of IOs were assigned to?) 

 

These can be questions to share some concerns with your congressman and congresswomen, especially Alexandra Ocasio to name a few when they have chances to hear USCIS director and what they have to offer to explain. 

 

To evaluate whether the transfer of I 751 really accelerate the I 751 processing time, still we would need 4th quarter, but apparently, the transfer was not really effective until 3rd quarter. 

Hope this helps to explain why I 751 backlog got even worse. 

 

quarter 1st Quarter1       2nd Quarter1     3rd Quarter1     4th Quarter1     Fiscal Year 2015 To-Date
year Forms Received2 Approved3 Denied4 Pending5 Forms Received2 Approved3 Denied4 Pending5 Forms Received2 Approved3 Denied4 Pending5 Forms Received2 Approved3 Denied4 Pending5 Forms Received2 Approved3
2018 42,913 23,385 1,340 215,780 45,745 24,017 1,213 243,300 43,592 31,649 1,608 259,207         132,250 79,068
2017 36,263 23,838 1,448 133,568 44,614 22,604 1,853 153,009 41,000 21,625 1,726 172,431 44,554 20,934 1,355 196,058 166,431 89,001
2016 35,536 32,246 1,725 122,558 37,944 30,275 2,249 127,140 35,741 39,672 2,129 120,903 35,427 32,095 1,993 121,412 144,648 134,288
2015 38,380 35,521 2,046 107,582 42,933 34,465 1,793 113,130 42,982 36,064 2,010 120,204 41,490 41,470 2,059 118,793 165,785 147,520
2014 41,807 43,876 2,638 81,444 49,602 35,878 2,719 98,413 45,140 42,223 2,263 97,779 41,810 33,006 1,892 104,883 178,359 154,983
2013 38,559 39,864 3,081 124,707 43,225 66,889 2,356 122,770 44,157 63,012 2,995 311,514 45,710 62,013 3,173 76,264 171,651 231,778

This totally makes sense and thank you for pulling all that information together. It has been unfortunate but the processing times have increased, just because they transferred bunch of cases doesn't mean the other centers are not processing anything else.

 

When I did my AOS, it was sent to NBC where things would go smoothly. Now, it is one of the slowest service centers and you can only imagine what's happening now after all the transfers.

 

I read somewhere that they did in fact receive a lot of applications but also they have also slowed down in processing the files, so the volume is not the only impact but also the time they take to make a decision on a case.

 

Let's sit tight and watch it all unveil in Q4.


AOS i-130, i-485 & i-765 in New York (Queens field office)

12/29/2014 - Priority Date; receipt number starting with MSC

1/2/2015 - Fingerprint fee accepted

1/26/2015 - Case suspended - RFE sent out

2/3/2015 - Fingerprint done at Jamaica Center, Queens

2/11/2015 - RFE received - Case resumed

3/2/2015 - EAD ordered

3/13/2015- EAD card mailed out -- received it 3 days later

7/8/2015 - AOS interview ready to be scheduled for an interview

9/27/2015 - AOS Interview scheduled for Nov 3

11/3/2015 - AOS interview

12/11/2015 - APPROVED!!!

ROC (Vermont Service Center)

10/3/2017 - Sent out ROC package to VSC

10/6/2017 - Date on NOA (Received NOA on 10/16/2017)

11/6/2017 - Biometrics done

8/15/2018 - Extension letter for 18 months received

Now waiting patiently... :whistle:B-)

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