the pimp with the limp

[justashooter 430]

in a radio show interview tonight with hannity, karl rove, arguably the most experienced election campaign manager in US history, reminded us that polls traditionally show dems up significantly until a week before the fat lady sings. then, mysteriously, they shift 6-8 points overnight so that the pollsters can save face. anyone old enough to have voted in 1980 remembers that carter was up 47-39 over reagan until a week before that landslide.

rove reminds that the guy with the big ears has not yet faced a single significant hardball interview, preferring to state on letterman that he doesn't know how big the deficit is, and that "it doesn't matter anyway". as for the burning of an American embassy and the murder of an high ranking appointee, well, that was just a "bump in the road". talking with the pimp with the limp, a close personal friend of obama, israel's cry for assistance in dealing with iran is "not worth listening to".

if history is any guide, early polls do not represent voting day results. we shall see.

[Mr. Big Dog 10,747]

in a radio show interview tonight with hannity, karl rove, arguably the most experienced election campaign manager in US history, reminded us that polls traditionally show dems up significantly until a week before the fat lady sings. then, mysteriously, they shift 6-8 points overnight so that the pollsters can save face.

Ole' Karl also gets lose with the truth. Comes with the job, I guess.

Actual Result: 53% Obama, 46% McCain. Margin of victory: 7%

Aside from CBS/NYT, I don't see the 13%-15% lead for Obama anywhere in these polls in mid October. If anything, some underestimated Obama's lead.

Or should I say misunderestimated?

Edited September 27, 2012 by Mr. Big Dog

[justashooter 430]

in your graphic penna shows a 13 point lead, and yet the actual result was just over 1%.

[Mr. Big Dog 10,747]

in your graphic penna shows a 13 point lead, and yet the actual result was just over 1%.

Amnesia? Obama 54.4%, McCain 44.2% - Obama won Pennsylvania by 10.2%. Typical MoE is around 3% on these polls. So, it was within the MoE.