Stephenc111

I disagree with the logic. Don’t scare yourself unnecessarily. 
 
Under normal circumstance, we need to assume the immigration visa is under a dynamic equilibrium. the rate of case flowing-in is equal to rate of case closed. There is always a backlog steady. That’s why there is a average 8-month waiting period. 
 
the reason for the backlog to move up by 400,000 is because there was no action for almost one year. 400,000 maybe the normal number of immigration through visa route (family based plus employment based)
- most of employment based GC is issued through status adjustment ( such as me, since I work and live in US already.  My application here is follow-to-join case for my son)
- most of family based GC is issued through visa route, since most likely the applicants are outside US. 
 
so in case of Montreal, I think the new waiting time for any new case is 20 months (8 month plus the lost 12 months),  if Montreal consulate RESUME the same processing rate as pre-Covid 
 
this is a big assumption of course. 
 
Based on the record just before March 2020, people with Sep/19 Document Complete Date (the basis of the queue) was getting appointment in March for April 2020. 
 
So if everything resume to normal speed right away, you can guess when you would get appointment notice. for example 
- for me, DC is Nov/19, I hope get get notice 2 months from now, in May, for June appointment. 
- if your DC is June/20, you would expect notice in Dec, for Jan/22
 
lets see if that is true. 
 
 

I disagree with the logic. Don’t scare yourself unnecessarily. 
 
Under normal circumstance, we need to assume the immigration visa is under a dynamic equilibrium. the rate of case flowing-in is equal to rate of case closed. There is always a backlog steady. That’s why there is a average 8-month waiting period. 
 
the reason for the backlog to move up by 400,000 is because there was no action for almost one year. 400,000 maybe the normal number of immigration through visa route (family based plus employment based)
- most of employment based GC is issued through status adjustment ( such as me, since I work and live in US already.  My application here is follow-to-join case for my son)
- most of family based GC is issued through visa route, since most likely the applicants are outside US. 
 
so in case of Montreal, I think the new waiting time for any new case is 20 months (8 month plus the lost 12 months),  if Montreal consulate RESUME the same processing rate as pre-Covid 
 
this is a big assumption of course. 
 
Based on the record just before March 2020, people with Sep/19 Document Complete Date (the basis of the queue) was getting appointment in March for April 2020. 
 
So if everything resume to normal speed right away, you can guess when you would get appointment notice. for example 
- for me, DC is Nov/19, I hope get get notice 2 months from now, in May, for June appointment. 
- if your DC is June/20, you would expect notice in Dec, for Jan/22
 
lets see if that is true. 
 
 

I suggest we start fresh on the tracking, given old data in 2019 and early 2020 is now irrelevant. The new tracker can give us true idea how fast it is moving.
- hope you guys agree
 
I created a new doc file, and removed those who got the interview
- and data is sorted by Document Complete date,
- country of birth is added (optional)
 
for new addition, you can use the attached file, and edit accordingly

 
 
 
 
Montreal EB Interview Tracker.doc

I suggest we start fresh on the tracking, given old data in 2019 and early 2020 is now irrelevant. The new tracker can give us true idea how fast it is moving.
- hope you guys agree
 
I created a new doc file, and removed those who got the interview
- and data is sorted by Document Complete date,
- country of birth is added (optional)
 
for new addition, you can use the attached file, and edit accordingly

 
 
 
 
Montreal EB Interview Tracker.doc

I suggest we start fresh on the tracking, given old data in 2019 and early 2020 is now irrelevant. The new tracker can give us true idea how fast it is moving.
- hope you guys agree
 
I created a new doc file, and removed those who got the interview
- and data is sorted by Document Complete date,
- country of birth is added (optional)
 
for new addition, you can use the attached file, and edit accordingly

 
 
 
 
Montreal EB Interview Tracker.doc