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About aroabi

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  1. 80% of people experience mild-moderate symptoms. Mild-moderate cases are the cases that do not require supplemental oxygen. So a patient can have pneumonia but still will be considered a moderate case as long as he/she does not require supplemental oxygen. This mild-moderate classification is somewhat misleading. A lot of recovered people who had serious pneumonia will end up with permanent lung damage and the real long-term effects will only be possible to assess years after. Here is a very informative video that I would entourage everyone to watch and share it as much as you can.
  2. Thanks! Hope yours will get approved soon. It has been a long wait for all of us.
  3. Just got a notification that my card is being produced! 😃 Case # EAC19900557** NoA 2/5/19 Biometrics done 3/14/19 Card is being produced 3/10/20 Took 399 days from NoA to card production No RFE and no interview. CR6; from H1B to conditional green card Have not filed for n-400 yet, but will once the new card arrives. Best of luck to anyone who is still waiting! Hopefully you will be approved very soon - 6 people were approved today in the 55527-56023 range.
  4. Congrats! That's great news! Anyone who has not been approved yet and by chance falls between 55527-56023. This is for VSC. 77 Total 35 Approved 26 RFE 3 Transferred 13 Pending
  5. I highly doubt that it says in the system. However, I do believe that they somehow categorize the cases. They probably have a formula and if the case has those parameters they approve early. But we will never know. Was not Texas service center's time line longer before? Maybe when you called a month ago the upper end was 18 month. I think the tier 2 officer gave you the upper end of the processing time for Texas at that time. And if by that time your case is not completed then you can submit an inquiry. I remember that Vermont was the fastest center and now it is Texas (the upper end).
  6. It should be. By 15.5 month 50% cased should have been completed and by 17 months 93% should be completed. But the processing time line can change any time. I tracked the VSC time line for almost two months and it was accurate. i-751 is one of the 4 applications that USCIS is providing accurate processing time line.
  7. Thanks for you insights. You are not giving me a hard time. However, respectfully I disagree with most of your statements. Without going into details, I do not think they do a fantastic jobs at all. I am glad that someone thinks that they do a fantastic job. They have been criticized heavily by law makers, applicants, congress and house. I do not see how you can praise their inefficient work, but to each their own. 93% completion rate by 18.5-26 month, and likely longer in the future, is nothing to boast about. Most of those 7% cases are still stuck in fingerprints were received status and no RFE's were issued. If they need more information then they have to send and RFE and/or schedule an interview and not let the cases collect duct in some shelf for 26 months. I bet if you were in that 7% and by 26 month your case was pending and after passing your n-400 interview your local office was not able to approve your n-400, because simply the service center failed to transfer your i-751 to the local office you would have had a totally different perspective. I hope you realize that if they post 100% completion rate, their processing time will jump from 18-26 months to years. Funding... have they disclosed how they spent the additional funds they received from the increased number of applications? If no, then you and I have no idea what they have done with it. All we can tell is that they have not effectively channeled those funds for processing the cases on timely matter. If they did, there would not be huge backlogs. "Sure it can be a long wait but what we all should do, prior to filing applications, we shout first do some research and see which available closer offices provide you with a shorter processing time. That is especially if the location can be quite close in some cases. I lived in NYC for many years and I know for a fact that most things in government offices can be overrun with applications especially i n the city. Its not necessarily mismanagement. Now on top of that, with 45 in office, people are keen to his protocol so many people have flooded and rushed in their applications including N400 with upcoming fee increase. It is definitely conceivable." And as far as choosing a location for your application, I did not know you could do it. If you have information that it indeed is possible and you can share it with all of us that would be helpful. To my knowledge when you submit your application you have no control where it goes for most cases and for n-400 it will go to your local office. Unless you mean that we have to move to a location with shorter processing time before we submit our applications. If that is the case, then maybe a few percent of people can do it, but majority of people have their lives in certain area, they are not going to move. And honestly I do not know how you can give such an impractical advice.
  8. Thanks for your insights. I agree with you that they simply do not care and it is largely because they can. I personally dealt with IRS 4-5 times and found them very reasonable and fair. I was even shocked how professional and reasonable they were given their scary reputation. Same goes for DMV. I would put USCIS in a very different category, not its individual employees but the agency itself; it is the most unreasonable, illogical, inefficient and incompetent agency I have ever dealt with. As to voting for elections, we live in New York, so whoever the democratic candidate is will win here. There is no chance for a non-democrat to win this state. One thing I would point out is that even though USCIS is 99% funded by the application fees, at least for some cases those funds are taken from US citizens. If USCIS does not care about immigrants minimally USCIS should treat the constituents fairly. Otherwise they are going to open themselves to lawsuits for subjecting constituents from different jurisdictions to very different processing time lines. Local congressman/congresswoman and/or senator may chose or try to protect their constituents from unfair delays by USCIS. And a lot of local representatives are doing it. USCIS is hurting US citizens as well not just the immigrants and simply telling the immigrants to go back or find a different country is not the answer. And you would think that they as an agency would have a little respect for people who "pay" their salaries.
  9. I agree that on individual level IOs may have somewhat of a hard time with quotas since their productivity is traceable and they cannot easily slack off. But are their officers working more than 8 hours? I doubt. What are their upper management doing? Why after 18.5-26 months they still have 7% of the cases not completed? This is where the problem is. They are hiding behind the 50% and 93% completion rate and posting an eye-pleasing time line based on that. They have to post a timeline in which their upper range shows 100% completion. They do not have to approve the cases but they have to make a decision on those cases. Then we will see the real ugly picture of their true backlogs and the unreasonable delays they are imposing on the applicants. With today's technology it is not hard to know their tactics and practices. The head of this agency deserves to be fired. If this was another agency and has created this crisis a lot of people would have been fired. As to the increase in application numbers, well the population worldwide is increasing and number of the applications are increasing as well. They have to have a reasonable "IO/# of cases" ratio to be able to keep up with number of the applications. We hear about increased number of applications, but we do not hear about the extra money they got from those applicants and what they have done with it. You mentioned earlier that they have the right to prioritize the type of applications. Fair enough, but they have to make sure that the congress/house agrees with them. As a Manhattan resident I have to wait 13-26.5 months for N-400 processing, yet a Queens resident that lives 10-15 min subway ride from me has to wait 10-15.5 months, not to mention offices where upper range is 10 months. If this not absurd and gross mismanagement, then I do not know what it is.
  10. It should have been updated, but we are dealing with human beings; they could have made a simple mistake. I would not worry about it. If your marriage is real i.e. you did not marry your spouse for obtaining immigration benefits then you have nothing to worry about. Most denied cases eventually get approved anyway. The only thing that could go against the applicant is if the spouse or someone close reports the applicant for marriage/immigration fraud with evidence.
  11. They update their time line every few weeks or once a month. Usually they update the timeline toward the end of the month. When it is freshly updated it is accurate. By accurate I mean that by 13.5 months they have completed 50% of cases and by 18.5 they have completed 93% of the cases. They just care to meet those two deadlines and if they realize they are not meeting those deadlines they simply increase the processing time. Maybe I should quit my job and become an immigration officer- seems like they have a nice stress-free jobs with those stretchable deadlines.
  12. Yes, this is for cases starting with EAC (Vermont Service Center).
  13. Anyone in this group who has not been approved yet, I did some analysis. I tracked the cases on the case tracker and put them on the spreadsheet. My case is in VSC. VSC’s timeline is 13.5-18.5-months. For cases around 13-13.5 months wait time- VSC completed the 50% of the cases by 13.5 months. If you are lucky to be in that 50% pool than you already got approved. 25% of the cases got RFE, some cases got transferred. After VSC reached its 50% completion goal, it slowed down the approval process. Because now VSC has 5 months to complete just 43% of the cases. So, they leave the cases hanging (especially the ones that are in fingerprints received status) and will start actively working on late February/March cases to finish their 50% completion quota by 13.5 months. RFEs will be approved after certain number of days when VSC receives them. This is why cases from October-December 2018 are still pending while the February-March 2019 cases are getting approved. USCIS has target deadlines that it has to meet, they do not care about the extra wait time they are imposing on applicants The Approval/RFE ratio is about 2:1. This seems to be quite consistent. Here are the numbers for early February cases (500 cases on case tracker) range 5527-6027. Total -66 Approved -26 RFE -13 Transferred -3 Pending (Fingerprints received) -22 So, my conclusion is that if you are not in that lucky 50%, then you have a better chance of getting approved if you got RFE than if you are in that “Fingerprints received” pool. Remember that by 18.5 months VSC just has to complete 93% of the cases by their own admission, meaning that 7% of the cases will be outside normal processing time. So, don’t be afraid of getting an RFE!
  14. The notice will explain why it was denied. 1. It could be a mistake/glitch on their side 2. Maybe you filed later than the 90-day window? 3. Or they sent you the fingerprint notice/RFE but you did not receive it and USCIS considers your case abandoned? 4. Maybe there were mistakes on your application or your case was incomplete and they did not catch during the initial review 5. Or they consider the case fraudulent for whatever reason; for example they found a problem with your initial Green Card application. Hard to tell.
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