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Charzy

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    Charzy reacted to Daniel P in October 2017 I-129 K-1 filers   
    Hi guys. After my last post, I started to think about a way to compare different months when it comes to length of time from Received to Approved, to try to identify a possible tendency over the months.
     
    The first problem was to actually get the data from April, that had to be old enough so that the cases in it hadn't been touched yet. Unfortunately the oldest raw data @Naes had wasn't as old, but she did a wonderful job modifying it so that it showed the most probable received dates for all already touched cases. Believe me when I say that wasn't a job of a few minutes, so I can't thank her enough!
     
    After that, the next problem was to find a way to compare April and May, something that initially wasn't possible since the "conditions" for both months weren't the same. Why? Simply because April had had "more time" to accumulate cases with longer approval times (long cases that May will also eventually have, but it's just to soon for them to show up).
     
    So I thought, ok, in order to be able to compare them let's give them the same amount of time. From the last day that May received cases (05/31/17) up to the day of the last scan (11/20/17), a number of 173 days passed. Since the last day of April to receive cases was 04/28/17, for this month I only considered cases approved within the next 173 days (up to 10/18/17), just like May.
     
    In other words, what I'm trying to do here is to compare what happened within the next 173 days after that last day of both, April and May, received cases.
     
    And the graph below is what I came up with.
     
    In that time, with a total of 1412 and 1522 approved cases respectively:
     
    April had a global mean of 153.12 days from Received to Approval date, with a standard deviation of 15.08 days. May had a global mean of 169.95 days from Received to Approval date, with a standard deviation of 9.46 days.  
    As you guys can see, the tendency clearly worsened from April to May, with less disperse lengths of time for the latter, which is good because that means more people get their cases approved in "around" the same time, but with higher lenghts of time for those cases to actually get approved.
     
    I'm hoping to see how that tendency improves from June on, we'll just have to wait a little for the next report 
     
     

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