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RCP polls update this morning...

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Campaign 2012: Ohio turns blue

CLEVELAND, Ohio — Who are you calling a tossup? With just days to go before early voting starts in Ohio, the Buckeye State is looking less like the battleground it has long been, and more like a comfortable win for President Barack Obama.

Over the past week, this Midwestern electoral prize has hosted both major candidates, seen unprecedented amounts of cash flow in for a nasty Senate race, and, just incidentally, moved over to the “leaning Obama” column in the polls of respected political organizations.

The website Real Clear Politics now shows Ohio as a blue state, while another site, 270towin, has moved its arrow from its uncompromising middle position ever so slightly toward the president.

Recent polls show Obama up by as much as 10 points here and, in general, the voters of Ohio seem to be stating their preference in no uncertain terms.

The reason, according to Karen Beckwith, political science professor at Case Western Reserve University in Cleveland, is simple: Republican challenger Mitt Romney has been unable to connect with voters.

“The mistakes that Romney has made are consistent with the image the Democrats have tried to paint of him,” said Beckwith. “He is seen as a man of extraordinary wealth who cares little about those not like himself, who does not at all understand their circumstances."


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