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Monmouth University poll shows New Jersey belongs to the Kenyan! No Mormon need apply.

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Droves of independents are once again powering the Democratic candidates for federal office to growing leads in New Jersey, according to results from the latest Monmouth University/Asbury Park Press Poll.

President Barack Obama leads Republican nominee Mitt Romney by 15 percentage points among likely voters, 52-37, compared with an 8-point edge in the Monmouth/APP survey conducted in July. A similar shift in the U.S. Senate race has pushed incumbent Robert Menendez to a 49-34 advantage over Republican challenger Joseph Kyrillos Jr.


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It could have been a lot closer. From the same article:

Independents now back Obama by 50 percent to 30 percent, up from a narrow 44 percent to 42 percent two months ago.

Romney can't speak to the independents w/o alienating the Republican base and he can't turn out the Republican base w/o alienating himself from the independents. That's the catch-22 that he's in.

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