isoballer

my pd 2nd February 2003 f3 was case completed on 6th October 2015, im from India (Mumbai consulate) can anyone give me a approximate timeline for me to receive interview letter? any replies will be very much appreciated

When can PD 02 Feb 2003 expect COA??

Happy New year to all

No sign in fail at ceac.state.gov till now

Pd 06/05/2002 (f4) when can I expect interview letter.

Best wishes to all vj member's for 2015

you will definitely get it within the next month or so

Happy new year to everybody

hopefully 4 weeks movement this month.. any predictions??

Any idea when December 2002 will be current?

any predictions on the movement in the next vb? 3-4 weeks?

Any IL's recieved?

yeah, its reasonable to expect atleast 3-4 weeks for the next three months, or else it will be very underwhelming

hello everyone..my pd is APRIL 01,2002 under F4 category. it has been more than 12 years since we applied. i was hoping that i would get my green card this year but when i read about the retrogression news i was heartbroken. can anyone please give some more detail about what is going to happen in the coming months. it feels awful when you expect something and suddenly realise that you will have to wait for more time. i seriously want to get green card as soon as possible.please enlighten me !!

i have been facing bad news every month since the last three years in terms of slow VB movement. i was expecting a huge movement in coming months because june to sep is the last quarter of the fiscal year when major movement takes place. how is this possible that retrogression takes place again. the previous one has not recovered till now ( it has been more than 3 years). even the movement was very slow. then how come the applicant demand suddenly increased?

help me please..i feel depressed

dont worry, you will be current in october or at most november, you will be getting green card this year 100% dont worry dude

Starting PD JAN 2002 I guess it will be Four weeks per month.

yeah hope so

May VB: 08 DEC 01

June VB: 22 DEC 01

July VB: 15 JAN 02

August VB: 08 FEB 02

September VB: 01 March 02

I see - the underlined part

1) is based on the data I tabulated from I130 receipient published by USCIS. The average number of applications in 2002 is smaller than that of 2001. Of course, this is the total number of family based petititions, include immediate family members , F1, F2A,..... I am assuming proportion stays the same

2). think about this: how long does it usually take for an applicant to complete the case after receiving COA ? The fastest I saw was 2.5 months. Most take over 6 months because 1) they hire attorneys to handle all the steps, attorneys are always slow and lazy 2) they are not familiar with the procedure at all, thus they do things slowly. 3) in some countries, document issuing and mailing are extremely time - consuming.

I consider this variable (time it takes for an applicant to complete the case after receiving COA) follow a normal distribution curve, which is, a few of them complete the case within a short period of time (say 3 month), most take about 6 - 8 months, few takes longer (above 9 months). Then it's evident to see why F4 cutoff date is slow in 2001 - it has been 3 years since COA was issued. Every single application was almost complete, none of them got the visa yet since cutoff dates retrogressed immediately after reaching Jan 1st 2002.

thank you very much, understood it

No retrogression for F4 category will occur in the next 3 years. The May visa bulletin was talking about retrogression for F2A, which has been advancing at a fanatical pace in the past two years.

I was checking the number of applicants in India every month, the two week movement in recent months has caused a decreasing number of applicants (going to the interview), the number is also well below the monthly average in the past.

Cutoff dates for F4 is likely to advance 3 weeks next month. For July, August and September it will move 3 - 4 weeks every month. Currently the documentary qualified applicants is lining up to July 2002. (NVC issued COA up to July 2002). All cases has been stuck there for 3 years thus the demand is extremely high at this point because every single case is almost complete, and essentially none of them received the visa.

Once the cutoff date approaches July 2002,( say June 2002, which is likely to happen later this year, most likely November), NVC will start issuing new COAs to August 2002 onward applications. Once the cutoff date goes past July 2002, there will be fast movement for F4, because 1) only a small portion of August 2002 (and onward) applications can be completed in such a short period of time. 2) number of applications in 2002 is lower than that of 2001.

F3 is a very good example. COAs were issued up to April 2003 prior to the retrogression in 2010. At the beginning of this year, PD for F3 moved past April 2003; NVC start issung new COAs almost the same time, and we have been seeing fast movement in F3 ( 1.5 - 2 months per month), and recently June 2004 applications have already received COA (pending confirmation).

any source?

I doubt that retrogression will be happen in F4(Brothers & Sisters) in the coming months ... hope so i am wrong..... ...please don't take it granted......these analysis is not mine..... few days back i called NVC and operator on phone told me that dates for F4 will retrogress in the coming months...............bull ######

Sorry to hear about your troubles.. and i hope that he goes back to nigeria and leaves you in peace I know that it is hard to tolerate such things but you have done a admirable job in saving your life from him, hope you have a good life ahead

Any IL received ?????????? at any forum ???????

looks like no movement because travel.state.gov already said that may vb will be coming soon and movement rarely happens after that.. but i guess a 1 week movement this month and a 4 week movement the next month will be enough for getting JAN 02 VB

very soon for July Aug

and soon for Sep Oct

and Nov Dec

good luck for all PD 2002

what will be very soon??

next VB is 15DEC01 .... jolly said ....

jolly786, on 21 Feb 2014 - 11:29 PM, said:

hope so but very unlikely

will cuttoff date of february 2002 be in july vb? thanks in advance

nothing certain but my guess is that is june vb is jan 02 then yes but if june vb is dec 22 then it will be jan 22, nothing's for sure though, as i said earlier

hi guys my pd jan 03 when it will be current? any idea???

my pd's 02 feb 03 and i think we will definitely be current by november 15

http://blog.mygcvisa.com/2014/03/may-2014-visa-bulletin-predictions.html

http://www.visajourney.com/timeline/visa-bulletin-predictions-family-sponsored.php

looks like its definitely going to be 8 dec 2002 for may vb and maybe 1 jan 2003 for june VB

Hi guys

PD January 17 2002 waiting for interview, maybe june or july.

yup, you'll be current in june when the july bulletin is released

july2002 COA will come this month (March) ?

jolly786 said on Feb about supervisor told him he will get the letter next month

maybe on May for me ?

Jolly786 said that July 2002 will get would get COA not him that's what im wondering about, he said that in April VB July 2002 would get their COA but then again Harsh Patel said that July 2002 would get COA in May 2014 VB so take it as this, in May 2014 VB; July 2002 will get COA, so approximately 3 months for you, that means in August VB.. which means you get your COA approx in july/august. Moreover you will be current 9 months after recieving COA

True , I thought it PD being current , But are you sure july2002 COA will come in April 2014.

yes, because jolly&harsh patel said that Supervisor informed them about it and DOS rarely tells wrong information (IMO)

No, It will March/April2015

he asked when his COA will come, July 2002 COA will be on April 2014, so why will September 2002 COA come on March/April 2015? i guess you confused with when his date will be current his COA will definitely come on july/august 2014