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FiveThirtyEight.com projects Electoral College Tie 269-269

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w¡n9Nµ7 §£@¥€r Grand Master

w¡n9Nµ7 §£@¥€r   123

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We have been calling "battleground states" those states projected within five points, and states projected between 5-10 points "penumbra states." These are somewhat arbitrary labels, though ground game’s outer limit when one is overwhelmingly better than another is about five points.

When we last updated 538’s battleground states, we were in the midst of John McCain’s post-convention, post-Palin bloom-on-the-rose period. At that time, McCain’s projected win would be 274-264. Today, Barack Obama has 269 electoral votes outside the battleground zone. That is, if you only give Obama the states he is projected to win by more than five points, that is enough to get him an Electoral College tie.

http://www.fivethirtyeight.com/2008/10/oba...votes-even.html

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