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TampaRishon

How reliable are the estimated times on Visa Journey?

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Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Israel
Timeline

Hey Everyone, 

So my NOA 1 is from July 9th, 2020, I believe. My timeline is saying my I-130 should be “approved” (Lord willing) by December 26. It went from April 2021 to December 2020. The date keeps getting less and less with every other day. 
The USCIS website also says that Nebraska processing times went from 9-11 months, when I filed, to 6-8 months in the last two months. 
 

VisaJourney timeline thing is saying I could hear something by the end of the year. Are they normally accurate? Give or take a few weeks? I am watching it like a hawk and just want to know if I’m hoping for nothing and wasting my time? Or if it’s a pretty good indication? Obviously, it’s a computer, I just was curious how all of you faired with your “estimated” dates. 
 

Thanks in advance for any info 🙃

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Filed: AOS (apr) Country: Philippines
Timeline
7 minutes ago, TampaRishon said:

Hey Everyone, 

So my NOA 1 is from July 9th, 2020, I believe. My timeline is saying my I-130 should be “approved” (Lord willing) by December 26. It went from April 2021 to December 2020. The date keeps getting less and less with every other day. 
The USCIS website also says that Nebraska processing times went from 9-11 months, when I filed, to 6-8 months in the last two months. 
 

VisaJourney timeline thing is saying I could hear something by the end of the year. Are they normally accurate? Give or take a few weeks? I am watching it like a hawk and just want to know if I’m hoping for nothing and wasting my time? Or if it’s a pretty good indication? Obviously, it’s a computer, I just was curious how all of you faired with your “estimated” dates. 
 

Thanks in advance for any info 🙃

Only as accurate as data inputted by the membership.  Don't get your hopes up high as timelines change frequently and without reason. At best, use it as a Guage.  Your best is to find others with similar filing dates and monitor them


YMMV

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Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Wales
Timeline

I am not sure they account for COVID?


“If you know the enemy and know yourself, you need not fear the result of a hundred battles. If you know yourself but not the enemy, for every victory gained you will also suffer a defeat. If you know neither the enemy nor yourself, you will succumb in every battle.”

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Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Ukraine
Timeline

Timelines have been decreasing for IR1/CR1 recently, most likely due to Covid and the presidential proclamations.  Other visa categories are low priority, and according to USCIS there have been less applicants.

 

EDIT:  Please note that USCIS is just the first step.  Next is NVC, which takes 2-4 months on average.  Then it is the embassy stage, which takes a while if your particular embassy is not open.

Edited by SteveInBostonI130
Added information

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Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Israel
Timeline
4 minutes ago, SteveInBostonI130 said:

Timelines have been decreasing for IR1/CR1 recently, most likely due to Covid and the presidential proclamations.  Other visa categories are low priority, and according to USCIS there have been less applicants.

 

EDIT:  Please note that USCIS is just the first step.  Next is NVC, which takes 2-4 months on average.  Then it is the embassy stage, which takes a while if your particular embassy is not open.

Yeah! Thanks for adding that. I do know there are two more steps. I just have some personal (at home) goals I wanted to accomplish and was kind of attempting to get them done before the I-130 is accepted so I have free time to work on the NVC. I also wanted to make sure I wasn’t hoping on something that is normally far from accurate 🙃😁, but it makes sense they’ll be focusing more on the marriage visas now since America isn’t dealing with the other ones at this time. 
Our embassy is still shutdown so I know we ain’t going anywhere too fast 🙄😂

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Filed: Lift. Cond. (apr) Country: China
Timeline

Moved from IR-1/CR-1 Progress Reports to Site-Related Discussion.


Our journey:

Spoiler

September 2007: Met online via social networking site (MySpace); began exchanging messages.
March 26, 2009: We become a couple!
September 10, 2009: Arrived for first meeting in-person!
June 17, 2010: Arrived for second in-person meeting and start of travel together to other areas of China!
June 21, 2010: Engaged!!!
September 1, 2010: Switched course from K1 to CR-1
December 8, 2010: Wedding date set; it will be on February 18, 2011!
February 9, 2011: Depart for China
February 11, 2011: Registered for marriage in Wuhan, officially married!!!
February 18, 2011: Wedding ceremony in Shiyan!!!
April 22, 2011: Mailed I-130 to Chicago
April 28, 2011: Received NOA1 via text/email, file routed to CSC (priority date April 25th)
April 29, 2011: Updated
May 3, 2011: Received NOA1 hardcopy in mail
July 26, 2011: Received NOA2 via text/email!!!
July 30, 2011: Received NOA2 hardcopy in mail
August 8, 2011: NVC received file
September 1, 2011: NVC case number assigned
September 2, 2011: AOS invoice received, OPTIN email for EP sent
September 7, 2011: Paid AOS bill (payment portal showed PAID on September 9, 2011)
September 8, 2011: OPTIN email accepted, GZO number assigned
September 10, 2011: Emailed AOS package
September 12, 2011: IV bill invoiced
September 13, 2011: Paid IV bill (payment portal showed PAID on September 14, 2011)
September 14, 2011: Emailed IV package
October 3, 2011: Emailed checklist response (checklist generated due to typo on Form DS-230)
October 6, 2011: Case complete at NVC
November 10, 2011: Interview - APPROVED!!!
December 7, 2011: POE - Sea-Tac Airport

September 17, 2013: Mailed I-751 to CSC

September 23, 2013: Received NOA1 in mail (receipt date September 19th)

October 16, 2013: Biometrics Appointment

January 28, 2014: Production of new Green Card ordered

February 3, 2014: New Green Card received; done with USCIS until fall of 2023*

 

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