Eligibility for Nigeria?

[Hammed71 0]

Hi guys please what is probability of Nigeria getting eligible for the dv lottery again. Thanks

[NigeriaorBust 4,087]

Basically none.   Once off the list the immigration rate will normally keep a country off the list.

[SusieQQQ 11,584]

There have been a couple of cases where a country has gone back on the eligibility list but that tends to be quite special circumstances (like when Poland joined the EU, so everyone could easily go to Western Europe and lost interest in the US). You can follow the migration data to see if the relevant immigrant numbers from Nigeria fall below 50000 over a 5-year period, which is when it would become eligible again. 

[Hammed71 0]

2 hours ago, SusieQQQ said:

There have been a couple of cases where a country has gone back on the eligibility list but that tends to be quite special circumstances (like when Poland joined the EU, so everyone could easily go to Western Europe and lost interest in the US). You can follow the migration data to see if the relevant immigrant numbers from Nigeria fall below 50000 over a 5-year period, which is when it would become eligible again. 

Thank you susie, does this number include non immigrants visas and adjustment of status as well? Because the number of immigrants for the past 5years through the past five years was 20,603

[Hammed71 0]

Just now, Hammed71 said:

Thank you susie, does this number include non immigrants visas and adjustment of status as well? Because the number of immigrants for the past 5years through consular processing for the past five years was 20,603

 

[Boiler 43,397]

Applies to Immigrants.

[SusieQQQ 11,584]

27 minutes ago, Hammed71 said:

Thank you susie, does this number include non immigrants visas and adjustment of status as well? Because the number of immigrants for the past 5years through the past five years was 20,603

Nope your number is wrong, Nigerians are typically issued 7k-9k immigrant visas per year (in some recent years it has been almost 10k) at embassies/consulates and yes you need to add adjustment of status in as well as they are immigrants.  I don’t know the AOS  numbers but clearly they don’t need to be that high to tip total immigrants to average 10k a year.

 

data for consular issuance https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/AnnualReports/FY2018AnnualReport/FY18AnnualReport - TableXIV.pdf

 

remember trends tend to rise because as people immigrate they sponsor family members, who sponsor more when they come, etc. it’s not going to necessarily increase every year but very likely to over time.

Edited February 28, 2019 by SusieQQQ

[Hammed71 0]

21 hours ago, SusieQQQ said:

Nope your number is wrong, Nigerians are typically issued 7k-9k immigrant visas per year (in some recent years it has been almost 10k) at embassies/consulates and yes you need to add adjustment of status in as well as they are immigrants.  I don’t know the AOS  numbers but clearly they don’t need to be that high to tip total immigrants to average 10k a year.

 

data for consular issuance https://travel.state.gov/content/dam/visas/Statistics/AnnualReports/FY2018AnnualReport/FY18AnnualReport - TableXIV.pdf

 

remember trends tend to rise because as people immigrate they sponsor family members, who sponsor more when they come, etc. it’s not going to necessarily increase every year but very likely to over time.

Wow thanks Susie, checked the numbers for the past five years almost 50,000(without counting Aos cases) I guess I have to take my mind off dvlottery for now

[DamilolaA 81]

On 2/28/2019 at 9:56 AM, Hammed71 said:

Hi guys please what is probability of Nigeria getting eligible for the dv lottery again. Thanks

Nigerians will be eligible for the US DV lottery if and when fewer than 50,000 total of its natives will have immigrated to the United States in the previous five years, which is basically impossible considering the population of the country is way over 100Million and there are tons of people immigrating to the USA from Nigeria yearly.

[Boiler 43,397]

200 million

[SusieQQQ 11,584]

Lol

”tons of people”

Anyway population is not the singular determination of immigration to US.  For example Indonesia has population of over 264m people but is eligible, Jamaica has population of less than 3m but isn’t. 

I did link official data of immigration via CP above. No need for vague statements.