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retemad

How accurate are VisaJourney's estimates?

By retemad in Site-Related Discussion - Updates, Ideas, etc.

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LeftCoastLady Proficient

LeftCoastLady   441

Posted
Filed: Lift. Cond. (pnd) Country: United Kingdom
 Timeline
Posted

So I am noticing that "there are not enough timelines to give an accurate estimate", and noticed that they are processing Sept 19 filers? It seems like it is jumping a week every day. Of course this would be GREAT NEWS, but I can't help but be skeptical of this data. What does everyone think and when would they be able to provide estimates again? It seems like I am not the only one...

Since the data is dependent on VJ users updating their own timelines, who knows...

Part One: The K-1 Visa Journey:

USCIS Receipt of I-129F: January 24, 2012 | Petition Approval: June 15, 2012 (No RFEs)
Interview: October 24, 2012 - Review | Visa Delivered: October 31, 2012



Part Two: Entry and Adjusting Status:

POE: November 18, 2012 (at SFO) - Review
Wedding: December 1, 2012 | Social Security: New cards received on December 7, 2012.
AOS Package (I-485/I-765/I-131) NOA1: February 19, 2013 | Biometrics Appt.: March 18, 2013
AP/EAD Approved: April 29, 2013 | Card Received: May 6, 2013 | AOS Interview Appt.: May 16, 2013 - Approved Review Card Received: May 24, 2013

Part Three: Removal of Conditions:

Coming Soon...

"When you're born you get a ticket to the freak show. When you're born in America, you get a front row seat." – George Carlin

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ROTTYDOG0001 Apprentice

ROTTYDOG0001   0

Posted
Filed: Country: Iran
 Timeline
Posted

Yea, mine has been fluctuating too. I'm up to Feb 9 now from mid March, so I'm sure it's just based off members accurately filling in theirntimelines recently. Looking at the trend it does appear like the volume of applications is decreasing during the last month or two, which is a good sign I am assuming. Less to process? I have been ressearchin and the prevails do seems like they have been roughly accurate for the most part with a few exceptions. My case is very straightforward and I am positive that I have sent a thorough and complete packet wit the help of lots of friends who have married someone from Iran. I just was curious if they do the cases in batches and if anyone else who filed in the same timeframe is hearing anything or seeing the same estimates??

Thanks for all your replies. Thank god for this site as it has been more than helpful in this looooooooong process!

my husband and i got our first letter jeb 6 it is now jan and havnt had noting done he is from iran so dont count on any thing for at least a yr or more

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retemad Explorer

retemad   14

Posted
Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Iran
 Timeline
  • Author
Posted

my husband and i got our first letter jeb 6 it is now jan and havnt had noting done he is from iran so dont count on any thing for at least a yr or more

a. men take much longer getting approved from Iran

b. Vermont takes about 3 months longer than California Service Center

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  • 2 weeks later...
pagong Enthusiast

pagong   7

Posted
Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Philippines
 Timeline
Posted

my husband and i got our first letter jeb 6 it is now jan and havnt had noting done he is from iran so dont count on any thing for at least a yr or more

i'm not really sure if the VJ timelines are accurate. yesterday they're processing saptember 23 and now it moved back to July. it's the same thing that happened last New Year(though it can be some typo errors) . it's just so sad that they're actually processing 1 day at a time. i only hope that they will speed up because i feel like 100+ days are too much for initial review. Good luck to all filers

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ROTTYDOG0001 Apprentice

ROTTYDOG0001   0

Posted
Filed: Country: Iran
 Timeline
Posted

i'm not really sure if the VJ timelines are accurate. yesterday they're processing saptember 23 and now it moved back to July. it's the same thing that happened last New Year(though it can be some typo errors) . it's just so sad that they're actually processing 1 day at a time. i only hope that they will speed up because i feel like 100+ days are too much for initial review. Good luck to all filers

yes i agree its so slow and we had a friend that went to norway from iran took him 8 months .and im sure uscis dont feel guilty at all it takes so long and the stress we as ppl waiting to be with our love ones.jan 16 still noting will be a yr in 2 weeks.

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pagong Enthusiast

pagong   7

Posted
Filed: K-1 Visa Country: Philippines
 Timeline
Posted

yes i agree its so slow and we had a friend that went to norway from iran took him 8 months .and im sure uscis dont feel guilty at all it takes so long and the stress we as ppl waiting to be with our love ones.jan 16 still noting will be a yr in 2 weeks.

oh no. that's too much waiting. i am praying too hard to get everything sooner, i can't be away from my fiance for too long. i'm 4.5 months pregnant and this waiting is causing me fears and a lot of stress. goodluck to us.

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ROTTYDOG0001 Apprentice

ROTTYDOG0001   0

Posted
Filed: Country: Iran
 Timeline
Posted

oh no. that's too much waiting. i am praying too hard to get everything sooner, i can't be away from my fiance for too long. i'm 4.5 months pregnant and this waiting is causing me fears and a lot of stress. goodluck to us.

I AGREE WAY TOO MUCH AND I SEE ANOTHER 4 TO 6 MONTHS WAIT

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ndu26 Proficient

ndu26   114

Posted
Filed: IR-1/CR-1 Visa Country: Nigeria
 Timeline
Posted

my timeline estimate was right into the prediction( i think the 1st or 2nd day into the date range given)

GOD has been WONDERFUL!!!
CR-1 (for Husband):
09/15/2012: Got Married
09/26/2012: Mailed I-130 from Nigeria( delayed by customs)
USCIS stage ( 66 days)
10/12/2012: NOA 1
12/17/2012: NOA 2 (case was transferred to NYC office 11/27/12)
NVC stage ( 20 days)
01/08/2013: Case # and IIN assigned ( file arrived NVC mail room 12/20/12)
01/09/2013: AOS invoiced and paid, DS-3032 emailed and mailed.
01/16/2013: IV invoiced &paid. AOS & IV mailed in one package(arrived 01/18).
01/28/2013: Case complete!!!
04/19/2013: Interview; APPROVED!!!!!
05/13/2013: POE; JFK

N-400: (3 months and 12 days)
Filed N-400 : 2011-06-17
Interview: 2011-09-27
Oath Ceremony: 2011-09-30

IR-5 for Mom Entire process took 5 months exactly
USCIS (22days)
mailed I-130 : 2011-09-30
NOA 1: 2011-10-03 (text & email)
NOA 2: 2011-10-25 (text and email)
NVC: (19 days)
Case entered and # assigned: 2011-11-18
NVC Case COMPLETED: 2011-12-07 ( 43 days from NOA 2 and 65 days from NOA 1)
Interview Date(Lagos): 2012-01- 23 Mom was late for interview
New Interview date: 2012-02-29 : VISA APPROVED

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  • 5 years later...
TBoneTX Grand Master

TBoneTX   43,058

Posted
Filed: Citizen (apr) Country: Ecuador
 Timeline
Posted

A new post has been split from this thread into its own thread; old one here is now closed.

06-04-2007 = TSC stamps postal return-receipt for I-129f.

06-11-2007 = NOA1 date (unknown to me).

07-20-2007 = Phoned Immigration Officer; got WAC#; where's NOA1?

09-25-2007 = Touch (first-ever).

09-28-2007 = NOA1, 23 days after their 45-day promise to send it (grrrr).

10-20 & 11-14-2007 = Phoned ImmOffs; "still pending."

12-11-2007 = 180 days; file is "between workstations, may be early Jan."; touches 12/11 & 12/12.

12-18-2007 = Call; file is with Division 9 ofcr. (bckgrnd check); e-prompt to shake it; touch.

12-19-2007 = NOA2 by e-mail & web, dated 12-18-07 (187 days; 201 per VJ); in mail 12/24/07.

01-09-2008 = File from USCIS to NVC, 1-4-08; NVC creates file, 1/15/08; to consulate 1/16/08.

01-23-2008 = Consulate gets file; outdated Packet 4 mailed to fiancee 1/27/08; rec'd 3/3/08.

04-29-2008 = Fiancee's 4-min. consular interview, 8:30 a.m.; much evidence brought but not allowed to be presented (consul: "More proof! Second interview! Bring your fiance!").

05-05-2008 = Infuriating $12 call to non-English-speaking consulate appointment-setter.

05-06-2008 = Better $12 call to English-speaker; "joint" interview date 6/30/08 (my selection).

06-30-2008 = Stokes Interrogations w/Ecuadorian (not USC); "wait 2 weeks; we'll mail her."

07-2008 = Daily calls to DOS: "currently processing"; 8/05 = Phoned consulate, got Section Chief; wrote him.

08-07-08 = E-mail from consulate, promising to issue visa "as soon as we get her passport" (on 8/12, per DHL).

08-27-08 = Phoned consulate (they "couldn't find" our file); visa DHL'd 8/28; in hand 9/1; through POE on 10/9 with NO hassles(!).

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