Guys guys this VB is not Accurate!!

[tchock 0]

Hi DV winners (especially high CN winners) after analyzing this terrible Visa bulletin i came up with some facts that makes me think that this April VB is not accurate/official and contains errors!

Please read this facts with me and give me your ideas :

First : The release of this VB was very late March 14th when most bulletins released non late then 8th

Second : They did not sent email notification for subscribers atleast for me (did you guys received it??)

Third : they announced this note on their website!!

Archived Visa Bulletins: Online versions of the Visa Bulletin are for informational purposes only and every effort has been made to ensure their accuracy. Any questions regarding a cut-off date for a specific month can often be confirmed by consulting an official copy of the Visa Bulletin, available upon request from the Visa Office.

I hope am right in looking forward for an acceleration in the next VB

Thanks

[milimelo 4,156]

They had email issues for couple of days - can explain why you didn't get email notification...

http://abcnews.go.com/US/state-dept-shuts-email-cyber-attack/story?id=29624866

[aaron2020 11,651]

Hi,

The VB is usually released around the 10th of the month. The April 2015 VB was released on March 11, 2015. Everything is normal. No late VB.

I got the email for the VB. It usually takes about a week after the VB is released online.

There is nothing wrong with the VB.

And there is no reason to believe that the PD will run faster. The Feb 2015 VB contains how the PDs are anticipated to run in the coming months.

[Britsimon 18]

Hi DV winners (especially high CN winners) after analyzing this terrible Visa bulletin i came up with some facts that makes me think that this April VB is not accurate/official and contains errors!

Please read this facts with me and give me your ideas :

First : The release of this VB was very late March 14th when most bulletins released non late then 8th

Second : They did not sent email notification for subscribers atleast for me (did you guys received it??)

Third : they announced this note on their website!!

I hope am right in looking forward for an acceleration in the next VB

Thanks

Of course it is accurate and official! And in terms of the numbers - it was all predictable (I had predicted the numbers accurately and put "stretch" targets" on my website hoping they would push for a little more pace. So - nothing wrong or unusual - all explainable.

[SusieQQQ 11,584]

All the above. Plus as for the "note" you quote on their website, it has always been there. I understand that the reason is that the "official" visa bulletin is the printed edition so if there is a discrepancy on the website it will always be resolved in favor of the printed one. I have never heard of such a discrepancy actually occurring however.

Finally, for some reason DV people seem to forget that the visa bulletin applies to many more people in other categories and that any delays , etc with publication are much more likely to be because of those categories than DV. But in any case it is not "delayed" unless you have gone past the 15th of the month.

[tchock 0]

And there is no reason to believe that the PD will run faster. The Feb 2015 VB contains how the PDs are anticipated to run in the coming months.

What you mean please ? Feb of this year was better then the last year but its now 5000 behind!!!

[tchock 0]

Of course it is accurate and official! And in terms of the numbers - it was all predictable (I had predicted the numbers accurately and put "stretch" targets" on my website hoping they would push for a little more pace. So - nothing wrong or unusual - all explainable.

Really you predicted it? Can you please tell me what you think the highest cn for AF will be

[SusieQQQ 11,584]

What you mean please ? Feb of this year was better then the last year but its now 5000 behind!!!

He's talking about priority dates for other categories.

[Britsimon 18]

Really you predicted it? Can you please tell me what you think the highest cn for AF will be

Yes I predicted it, and explained the reasoning behind the predictions including the assumption that they would increase the pace a bit. However the pace (or perhaps capacity) seems somewhat fixed - and they are on target anyway. Here is where I predicted and explained.

http://britsimonsays.com/april-2nl-analysis/

In the past I have published final cutoff predictions (this post http://britsimonsays.com/dv2015-analysis/).I intend to revisit them and update those predictions. AF DS260 rate is much lower than other regions, but it is hard to imagine the numbers exceeding my max number by much. That would require 4 large VB increases, which does not look likely given that the already current numbers are currently supplying the majority of the interviews....

[upkilo 6]

I Think the cause of this delay of this Month is February is a short month, so they needed 2 more business day this month

Edited March 23, 2015 by upkilo