QUOTE(MegDan @ May 26 2007, 06:01 AM)

Gosh, I hope you are right.

Me too. The sad thing is that i don't really know

. I know many have said that one should stop estimating timelines, but there's just so much statistics to use (and it's rather reliable too) that it's hard to resist the temptation

.
I really hope that I'm not giving you false hope, but in my opinnion at least three things point out that February filers should be approved soon.
1) When you look up the percentages (in stats avail in VJ, for CSC) you find that almost all of January filers are approved, almost 80% of February filers are approved and less than 20% of March filers are approved, meaning that they should be working on February now mostly.
2) The CSC average is 111 day's as today, but it's been lower lately too. Our NOA1 dates are quite close to being 100 days old (if they aren't that already), meaning our files shoud - based on averages - be approved soon.
3) The CSC I-130 processing dates moved forward to November. Assuming that it's the end tail of a normal standard deviation (and today being naturally the other end) the mean of that deviation should hit around the 20th of February (I haven't counted this exactly though), pointing again that they should be working on February filers.
The thing that worries me, however, is that the CSC hasn't really moved forward in processing dates for three weeks now. It has processed many applications of course, but these have been for filers who sent their I-130 prior to February

. It seems for me that what CSC is currently doing, is the approval of the early VSC filers who have been sent there. While this is good, it really doesn't help us

.
Then again, everything I just said isn't science, so I don't really know

. Even so, it doesn't mean that I would be practicing witch craft or other vice just making things up. My estimates, or rather educated guesses, do have a logical basis, but they still can't give any absolute answers. Even if they approval rates should be streamlined, it's still impossible (in this case) to remove all white noice or random walks and thus uncertanity remains

.