In the past the VJ Timeline system estimated approval dates and gave a single date. This was useful but after considering feedback from members it was determined that a "range of likely dates" that an application might be approved in is better. To that end we now provide a range of dates for estimated approval dates.
For the more curious, this range of dates can be looked at as follows. Roughly 60% of people should have approvals by the first estimated date and nearly 85% of all people should be approved by the second date. This range should give people a MUCH better idea of when they will be approved and allow people to plan much better "ahead of time" for their approvals. This is also a much more statistically useful method.
As usual there is a great degree of "data filtering" in the background being done to help eliminate extraneous timeline data and improve estimates.
Feedback is welcome!!
Full Version: VisaJourney Timeline Estimates Improved
QUOTE(Captain Ewok @ Jun 9 2008, 07:27 PM) 
In the past the VJ Timeline system estimated approval dates and gave a single date. This was useful but after considering feedback from members it was determined that a "range of likely dates" that an application might be approved in is better. To that end we now provide a range of dates for estimated approval dates.
For the more curious, this range of dates can be looked at as follows. Roughly 60% of people should have approvals by the first estimated date and nearly 85% of all people should be approved by the second date. This range should give people a MUCH better idea of when they will be approved and allow people to plan much better "ahead of time" for their approvals. This is also a much more statistically useful method.
As usual there is a great degree of "data filtering" in the background being done to help eliminate extraneous timeline data and improve estimates.
Feedback is welcome!!
For the more curious, this range of dates can be looked at as follows. Roughly 60% of people should have approvals by the first estimated date and nearly 85% of all people should be approved by the second date. This range should give people a MUCH better idea of when they will be approved and allow people to plan much better "ahead of time" for their approvals. This is also a much more statistically useful method.
As usual there is a great degree of "data filtering" in the background being done to help eliminate extraneous timeline data and improve estimates.
Feedback is welcome!!
I was wondering why we do not have a timeline estimate on our timeline site?
3 identical topics?
I'm going to contact Lal and ask her to suspend you for spamming the board.....
I'm going to contact Lal and ask her to suspend you for spamming the board.....
Lol. I could have done a mass announcement but I decided this was faster 
.
I was wondering why we do not have a timeline estimate on our timeline site?
You need to enter your I130 Sent Date to trigger the estimate.
.QUOTE(tracymike @ Jun 9 2008, 04:34 PM)
QUOTE(Captain Ewok @ Jun 9 2008, 07:27 PM)
In the past the VJ Timeline system estimated approval dates and gave a single date. This was useful but after considering feedback from members it was determined that a "range of likely dates" that an application might be approved in is better. To that end we now provide a range of dates for estimated approval dates.
For the more curious, this range of dates can be looked at as follows. Roughly 60% of people should have approvals by the first estimated date and nearly 85% of all people should be approved by the second date. This range should give people a MUCH better idea of when they will be approved and allow people to plan much better "ahead of time" for their approvals. This is also a much more statistically useful method.
As usual there is a great degree of "data filtering" in the background being done to help eliminate extraneous timeline data and improve estimates.
Feedback is welcome!!
For the more curious, this range of dates can be looked at as follows. Roughly 60% of people should have approvals by the first estimated date and nearly 85% of all people should be approved by the second date. This range should give people a MUCH better idea of when they will be approved and allow people to plan much better "ahead of time" for their approvals. This is also a much more statistically useful method.
As usual there is a great degree of "data filtering" in the background being done to help eliminate extraneous timeline data and improve estimates.
Feedback is welcome!!
I was wondering why we do not have a timeline estimate on our timeline site?
You need to enter your I130 Sent Date to trigger the estimate.
got it dont like the dates but ohhhh well guess you cant work miracles
QUOTE(brnidokiegurl @ Jun 9 2008, 04:42 PM)
got it dont like the dates but ohhhh well guess you cant work miraclesYou could be faster than the average VJ'er and beat the estimates too
. There is a % chance that will happen! The estimates are on the long end so there are certainly cases that are faster. As far as the estimates it is better not to over promise estimated approval dates (dates that maybe only a small % of people would be approved by). The estimated dates as they are calculated now are more reasonable for the large majority of people.
im sure everyone knows this, thanks
QUOTE(Captain Ewok @ Jun 9 2008, 07:41 PM)
Lol. I could have done a mass announcement but I decided this was faster .
I was wondering why we do not have a timeline estimate on our timeline site?
You need to enter your I130 Sent Date to trigger the estimate.
.QUOTE(tracymike @ Jun 9 2008, 04:34 PM)
QUOTE(Captain Ewok @ Jun 9 2008, 07:27 PM)
In the past the VJ Timeline system estimated approval dates and gave a single date. This was useful but after considering feedback from members it was determined that a "range of likely dates" that an application might be approved in is better. To that end we now provide a range of dates for estimated approval dates.
For the more curious, this range of dates can be looked at as follows. Roughly 60% of people should have approvals by the first estimated date and nearly 85% of all people should be approved by the second date. This range should give people a MUCH better idea of when they will be approved and allow people to plan much better "ahead of time" for their approvals. This is also a much more statistically useful method.
As usual there is a great degree of "data filtering" in the background being done to help eliminate extraneous timeline data and improve estimates.
Feedback is welcome!!
For the more curious, this range of dates can be looked at as follows. Roughly 60% of people should have approvals by the first estimated date and nearly 85% of all people should be approved by the second date. This range should give people a MUCH better idea of when they will be approved and allow people to plan much better "ahead of time" for their approvals. This is also a much more statistically useful method.
As usual there is a great degree of "data filtering" in the background being done to help eliminate extraneous timeline data and improve estimates.
Feedback is welcome!!
I was wondering why we do not have a timeline estimate on our timeline site?
You need to enter your I130 Sent Date to trigger the estimate.
thank you very much
ARe you filtering those timelines that haven't been updated ?? I think they may also skew the numbers some if they've been approved but never entered in VJ timeline???
QUOTE(Rajaa @ Jun 10 2008, 06:30 AM)
ARe you filtering those timelines that haven't been updated ?? I think they may also skew the numbers some if they've been approved but never entered in VJ timeline???
Any incomplete timelines are not used
.
It'd be nice if there were a tick box for people who were approved via expedite so that you could eliminate them from the data when you are coming up with your estimates. If you look at something like Vermont with CR1/IR1s where so few NOA2s are coming out, expedites are going to really skew the numbers in a very misleading direction.
"expedites"?
QUOTE(Captain Ewok @ Jun 9 2008, 06:27 PM)
In the past the VJ Timeline system estimated approval dates and gave a single date. This was useful but after considering feedback from members it was determined that a "range of likely dates" that an application might be approved in is better. To that end we now provide a range of dates for estimated approval dates.
For the more curious, this range of dates can be looked at as follows. Roughly 60% of people should have approvals by the first estimated date and nearly 85% of all people should be approved by the second date. This range should give people a MUCH better idea of when they will be approved and allow people to plan much better "ahead of time" for their approvals. This is also a much more statistically useful method.
As usual there is a great degree of "data filtering" in the background being done to help eliminate extraneous timeline data and improve estimates.
Feedback is welcome!!
For the more curious, this range of dates can be looked at as follows. Roughly 60% of people should have approvals by the first estimated date and nearly 85% of all people should be approved by the second date. This range should give people a MUCH better idea of when they will be approved and allow people to plan much better "ahead of time" for their approvals. This is also a much more statistically useful method.
As usual there is a great degree of "data filtering" in the background being done to help eliminate extraneous timeline data and improve estimates.
Feedback is welcome!!
Very nice. Would like a sooner date, but at least it gives me something to look for. Thank you for the post.
Yes, people who requested and received an expedited adjudication due to hardship or military service or whatever. Expedites.
QUOTE(Captain Ewok @ Jun 9 2008, 05:27 PM)
This range should give people a MUCH better idea of when they will be approved and allow people to plan much better "ahead of time" for their approvals. This is also a much more statistically useful method.
I think it is a great idea! I was curious about terminology. For "adjudication", is that the date for having the whole visa approved or just the particular form before the interview. Do you understand my question?
Officers adjudicate (process) petitions and decide to approve, deny or Request Further Evidence. So basically adjudication is the process of "processing" files.
QUOTE(Captain Ewok @ Jun 21 2008, 03:55 PM)
Officers adjudicate (process) petitions and decide to approve, deny or Request Further Evidence. So basically adjudication is the process of "processing" files.
so it means when you can expect your 129-F to be processed and passed on to the VSC (meaning the whole process will actually take longer then that date)
New June filer here. In just before the end of the month. File was received at CSC June 27, Check cashed July 1. Now we play the waiting game =(
Can anybody help me to fix my timeline? For some reason when I updated my timeline it or I created multiple entries. Now I can't get into my timeline at all. Any help would be appreciated.
Thanks
Thanks
I will fix for you.
QUOTE(Captain Ewok @ Jul 9 2008, 03:30 AM)
I will fix for you.
I guess that's why they call you the Captain. Thanks for your help.
I like my new timeline estimate! When I first read a finish time for late November I almost choked 
August is much better thanks
August is much better thanks
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