Let me tell my story:
My petition was approved 13-Dec-2007. Received NAO2 Dec 17. NVC sent letter to Ghuangzhou on Dec 20, 2007 per telephone discussion and letter with GUZ case number. 3-5 days DHL shipping - supposedly. Sound good? Not really. Guangzhou verbally told me it takes 2-4 months to get through Chinese customs. Told to call back in 2 months to see if arrived yet - February 15th or so. I do not know if true. Also, Ghuangzhou website says 3 months after NAO2 until they receive and process. DO I believe? Still more. They then do background check. Takes 3-5 months to send packet three with forms to fiancee after receipt of NVC papers. Then packet 4 later.
From the web site -
http://guangzhou.usembassy-china.org.cn/kvfaq.html - faqs for processing
1. How long does it usually take for the Consulate to receive the K-1 petition?
We normally receive K-1 visa petitions three months after they are sent out from the National Visa Center.
2. MY FAVORITE - Why does the K-1 process seem to be taking longer than previously?
The K-1 visa petition has become more popular as a means of immigrating to the United States. In 2000, we processed approximately 2,800 K-1 visas. However, we have received more than 4, 000 K-1 petitions in just the first half of 2001. At the same time, serious fraud problems have slowed down processing for everyone. Due to these issues, most K-1 applicants wait an average of three to five months to be scheduled for an interview after the Consulate receives their petition.
3. When should I be concerned about my K-1 petition?
If it has been three to four months after CIS has approved your petition and your fiancee has still not received an instruction packet, you should contact us or the original CIS office where the petition was approved. You may use this form to contact the Immigrant Visa Unit.
4. What if my petition expires?
Consular officers have the authority to extend the validity of petitions that have expired. Because many petitions often expire before an applicant can be interviewed, officers at the Consulate routinely extend the validity of K-1 petitions.
end of website quotes from faqs
There is a serious problem with disconnects and divergent information with what I am finding for answers. This website says 134 days from consulate receiving package to interview. Do not see how. Average 34 days from NAO2 to papers at consulate - obviously not applicable to China visas with consulate saying 3 months - read 90 days. Do not bother filing form for 3 or 4 months after NAO2 if consulate does not have. Oh, and consulate will not answer any emails until they have your NVC paperwork.
So, for Chinese immigrant:
1. 3 (or is it 2-4?) months for papers to get to consulate from NVC, 2. 3-5 months to schedule interview, and 3. 1 month from scheduling to appointment. 7-9 (6-10?) months using old fashioned math before possible immigration becomes real for any of us.
Think I am frustrated? You bet. Anybody have real live data? I just figured this data out yesterday and I have been depressed as h_ll! Told my fiancee, she actually is taking it better than me. I actually asked her to find out what it would take for me to immigrate to her country. Talk about me being more than a little angry. I understand security, I have had security clearances most of my life, but we are giving up freedoms here, and no one seems to care.
Somebody prove me wrong, I love to eat warm crow - especially on this time topic.