Waiting for NOA2 at TSC? There are 6,716 petitions in front of you

[sweetswinks 400]

I know you are wondering how long your NOA2 will take, so for perspective here is some information for you.

USCIS has updated their dashboard and added February 2014 to the data here

As of February 2014 there is a backlog of 6,716 petitions awaiting approval

What does this mean?

There are 6,716 petitions awaiting approval in front of all March and April TSC filers

How many approvals have been made per month?

In December there were 1710 petitions completed

In January there were 1465 petitions completed

Lets do some math!

Total number of petitions completed/approved in Jan + Dec = 3,175

31 days in Jan + 31 days in Dec = 62 days.

Minus any weekend days (there were 17 weekend days in total) = 44

That works out to be an average of 72 petitions approved per day (not including weekends) at TSC alone

Edited April 19, 2014 by sweetswinks

[AlissaCarly 44]

Wow, that's still a heap of petitions left! Thanks for doing the math I'm a January filer, still no NOA2.. Hope we both get approved soon!

[VicAus 7]

+1 original post

[Hiroshi 宏 64]

Where do you find this information? I saw someone said that someone has had their NOA2 and there number isn't far from where they were. What does that mean and where can I find it? Thanks for doing the maths, Im a March filler and seeing this makes things more realistic

[sweetswinks 400]

Where do you find this information? I saw someone said that someone has had their NOA2 and there number isn't far from where they were. What does that mean and where can I find it? Thanks for doing the maths, Im a March filler and seeing this makes things more realistic

Hi there, I included the link in my original post.

You can find the data in this link Just click on "Download as raw data" on the left (i've included a screenshot for you)

I would not base your timeline estimate on anyone else, no matter when they filed or where they are from. All files are adjudicated in a different manner.

To be more realistic, I would say you can expect to have your petition approved by August (5 months). Anything before then is a bonus.

Please don't forget that only 9 months ago, the stats for TSC and CSC were in fact 200+ days for petition approval.

Edited April 19, 2014 by sweetswinks

[Hiroshi 宏 64]

Hi there, I included the link in my original post.

You can find the data in this link Just click on "Download as raw data" on the left (i've included a screenshot for you)

raw data.jpg

I would not base your timeline estimate on anyone else, no matter when they filed or where they are from. All files are adjudicated in a different manner.

To be more realistic, I would say you can expect to have your petition approved by August (5 months). Anything before then is a bonus.

Please don't forget that only 9 months ago, the stats for TSC and CSC were in fact 200+ days for petition approval.

Awesome! Thank you so much! I am really looking at August, Not getting my hopes up

[SparklePony 238]

That certainly helps to put things in perspective. A lot of people on here forget that not everyone filing a I-129F petition is a contributing member on VJ and get antsy when they don't see approvals on here go as fast as they would like.

To everyone still waiting, I'm thinking of you and crossing fingers for your approvals.

[derrickmichille 55]

Wow!! that is a bunch of petitions. Safe to say we January filers could probably expect a June approval, if its earlier than that, it will be a bonus.

Thank you sooooo much for that information, it helps understand where we are at this point in our petition.

Good luck to everyone on this journey!!!

Sweetswinks, you are awesome!!!!

[jfgk1987 303]

I know you are wondering how long your NOA2 will take, so for perspective here is some information for you.

USCIS has updated their dashboard and added February 2014 to the data here

As of February 2014 there is a backlog of 6,716 petitions awaiting approval

What does this mean?

There are 6,716 petitions awaiting approval in front of all March and April TSC filers

How many approvals have been made per month?

In December there were 1710 petitions completed

In January there were 1465 petitions completed

Lets do some math!

Total number of petitions completed/approved in Jan + Dec = 3,175

31 days in Jan + 31 days in Dec = 62 days.

Minus any weekend days (there were 17 weekend days in total) = 44

That works out to be an average of 72 petitions approved per day (not including weekends) at TSC alone

Great, now they're just going to whine some more

I believe they release this information on the 3rd Friday of every month, sometime in the afternoon. Judging by the current trend, I'm hoping they go on a crazy approval bender either this month or next month just like they did in September.

[sweetswinks 400]

Great, now they're just going to whine some more

I believe they release this information on the 3rd Friday of every month, sometime in the afternoon. Judging by the current trend, I'm hoping they go on a crazy approval bender either this month or next month just like they did in September.

Providing the right info for every VJer at TSC will help us all to see that no matter what month we filed, we're all in the same line!

Guys, I know it's hard, I've cried, I miss my fiancé!

But there is one thing guaranteed that keeps me calm and on track and that is that the NOA2 WILL COME! It's just that I don't know when!

I try not to whine about my wait because I know there are others in front of me from Sept - Dec that deserve an NOA2 before me

[lorella 65]

Great, now they're just going to whine some more

I believe they release this information on the 3rd Friday of every month, sometime in the afternoon. Judging by the current trend, I'm hoping they go on a crazy approval bender either this month or next month just like they did in September.

I don't remember where I heard this...but i believe the data is updated on the 18th of each month.

[Al422 221]

Welcome to hurry up and wait. This is just the beginning. Next you wait for the NVC and then you wait for your consulate to interview and then issue the visa.

It is frustrating. I know. This is my third trip through the visa mill. But you just have to hurry up and wait.

[Avery Cates 1,141]

So at 6716 petitions and an average of 72 done a day, that's only about 93 days before they get through those and start on newer ones.

That's not bad.

[sweetswinks 400]

So at 6716 petitions and an average of 72 done a day, that's only about 93 days before they get through those and start on newer ones.

That's not bad.

But that's not including the already existing waited time for these petitions.

Assuming all 6,716 of these are approved in the next 93 days, so by July lets say.

With that math it means that of the 6716 petitions (which are all Sept - Feb petitions that are backlogged) the total wait time including the next 93 days could be:

Sep filer currently at 7 months waiting: 7 - 10 month total approval time

Oct filer currently at 6 months waiting: 6 - 9 month total approval time

Nov filer currently at 5 months waiting: 5 - 8 month total approval time

Dec filer currently at 4 months waiting: 4 - 7 month total approval time

Jan filer currently at 3 months waiting: 3 - 6 month total approval time

Feb filer currently at 2 months waiting: 2 - 5 month total approval time

Does that still seem not bad?

Edited April 19, 2014 by sweetswinks

[lorella 65]

So at 6716 petitions and an average of 72 done a day, that's only about 93 days before they get through those and start on newer ones.

That's not bad.

the 93 days also does not include weekends. if you include weekends in the calculation it works out to be about 130 days.